Episode 240: How to Beat NFL Player Props with Pro Bettor Rufus Peabody
NFL player props are one of the softest markets available to us. It's why ETR is putting a much bigger emphasis on them this year in our In-Season Package. Adam Levitan sits down with one of the world's best professional bettor, Rufus Peabody, to discuss all things player props.
Show Notes
In this episode, we discuss:
- Rufus' background in props
- Why they can be beat by sharp fantasy players
- The correct player prop process
Links mentioned in the episode:
- Silva’s Top 150 - https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-fantasy-football-top-150/
- 2021 Rankings Homepage - https://establishtherun.com/2021-draft-kit-rankings-homepage/
- Subscriber-Only Discord Instructions - https://establishtherun.com/my-account/discord/
- ETR Player Prop Plans 2021: https://establishtherun.com/2021-nfl-etr-player-props-overview/
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- Follow Adam on Twitter - https://twitter.com/adamlevitan
- Follow Evan on Twitter - https://twitter.com/evansilva
Timestamps:
Rufus’ background in Player Props (2:20) | Prop Betting opportunities in 2021 (4:30) | What is a good ROI for a casual player? (6:34) | What threshold do we need to bet? (8:06) | Is it the smart play to side with Unders? (14:41) | Baking in injury rate by position (18:19) | Can you eyeball prop bets? (20:37) | Is the market more or less efficient? (22:22) | Why launch Unabated?(26:27)
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