Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)
Read the essay here.
Timestamps
00:00:00 What are we scaling?
00:03:11 The value of human labor
00:05:04 Economic diffusion lag is cope00:06:34 Goal-post shifting is justified
00:08:23 RL scaling
00:09:18 Broadly deployed intelligence explosion
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.dwarkesh.com
More description
Read the essay here.
Timestamps
00:00:00 What are we scaling?
00:03:11 The value of human labor
00:05:04 Economic diffusion lag is cope00:06:34 Goal-post shifting is justified
00:08:23 RL scaling
00:09:18 Broadly deployed intelligence explosion
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.dwarkesh.com
2025-12-23
12 min
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