Rankings vs. projections & what factors fantasy analysis doesn't get right
As any fantasy manager or stock trader knows, predicting the future is hard. That's why we rely on analysis from experts to distill complicated systems down to their most easy to understand metrics so we can get a leg up on the competition. But even then, oftentimes, fantasy analysis isn't perfect.
On today's episode, Matt Harmon is joined by Ben Gretch to discuss two of fantasy football's most consumed prediction metrics: rankings and projections. How do fantasy analysts such as ourselves come up with them? What situations should you read one versus the other? And in what situations are they completely useless?
Ben also helps explain four ways in which fantasy analysis and human instinct just consistently get things wrong, and how to watch out for those common pitfalls.
Towards the end of the show the guys discuss two younger players out west whose disappointing 2023 campaigns are causing them to be undervalued this year in Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Javonte Williams, before sharing one rookie wideout that is certainly worth a dart-throw in a high-volume offensive situation.
(4:40) - How fantasy projections are made & how rankings differ
(25:30) - What four things fantasy analysis gets wrong
(1:01:15) - Undervalued situations: SEA's Jaxon Smith-Njigba
(1:08:00) - Undervalued situations: DEN's Javonte Williams
(1:12:20) - Rookies worth a dart throw: KC's Xavier Worthy
And check out Matt Harmon and Yahoo Fantasy on our socials:
🏆 @MattHarmon_BYB: https://twitter.com/MattHarmon_BYB
📷 @YahooFantasy: https://www.instagram.com/YahooFantasy
⌚ @YahooFantasy: https://www.tiktok.com/@yahoofantasy
🐦 @YahooFantasy: https://twitter.com/YahooFantasy
🟦 @YahooFantasy: https://www.facebook.com/YahooFantasy/
💸 Sign up for a Yahoo fantasy football league for a chance to win one million dollars!
🏈 Draft your team on Yahoo Fantasy before September 5th for one entry. If any players you start score a touchdown in the Week 1 games on NBC, earn up to seven additional entries per TD scored.
🎟️ Enter at http://www.yahoo.com/fantasymillion
🖥️ Watch this full episode on YouTube
Check out the rest of the Yahoo Sports podcast family at https://apple.co/3zEuTQj or at Yahoo Sports Podcasts
Subscribe to the Yahoo Fantasy Forecast on your favorite podcast app:
📢 Check out the Yahoo Sports podcast network or yahoosports.tv
And check out Matt Harmon and Yahoo Fantasy on our socials:
📷 @YahooFantasy: https://www.instagram.com/YahooFantasy
⌚ @YahooFantasy: https://www.tiktok.com/@yahoofantasy
🐦 @YahooFantasy: https://x.com/YahooFantasy
🟦 @YahooFantasy: https://www.facebook.com/YahooFantasy/
More description
As any fantasy manager or stock trader knows, predicting the future is hard. That's why we rely on analysis from experts to distill complicated systems down to their most easy to understand metrics so we can get a leg up on the competition. But even then, oftentimes, fantasy analysis isn't perfect.
On today's episode, Matt Harmon is joined by Ben Gretch to discuss two of fantasy football's most consumed prediction metrics: rankings and projections. How do fantasy analysts such as ourselves come up with them? What situations should you read one versus the other? And in what situations are they completely useless?
Ben also helps explain four ways in which fantasy analysis and human instinct just consistently get things wrong, and how to watch out for those common pitfalls.
Towards the end of the show the guys discuss two younger players out west whose disappointing 2023 campaigns are causing them to be undervalued this year in Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Javonte Williams, before sharing one rookie wideout that is certainly worth a dart-throw in a high-volume offensive situation.
(4:40) - How fantasy projections are made & how rankings differ
(25:30) - What four things fantasy analysis gets wrong
(1:01:15) - Undervalued situations: SEA's Jaxon Smith-Njigba
(1:08:00) - Undervalued situations: DEN's Javonte Williams
(1:12:20) - Rookies worth a dart throw: KC's Xavier Worthy
And check out Matt Harmon and Yahoo Fantasy on our socials:
🏆 @MattHarmon_BYB: https://twitter.com/MattHarmon_BYB
📷 @YahooFantasy: https://www.instagram.com/YahooFantasy
⌚ @YahooFantasy: https://www.tiktok.com/@yahoofantasy
🐦 @YahooFantasy: https://twitter.com/YahooFantasy
🟦 @YahooFantasy: https://www.facebook.com/YahooFantasy/
💸 Sign up for a Yahoo fantasy football league for a chance to win one million dollars!
🏈 Draft your team on Yahoo Fantasy before September 5th for one entry. If any players you start score a touchdown in the Week 1 games on NBC, earn up to seven additional entries per TD scored.
🎟️ Enter at http://www.yahoo.com/fantasymillion
🖥️ Watch this full episode on YouTube
Check out the rest of the Yahoo Sports podcast family at https://apple.co/3zEuTQj or at Yahoo Sports Podcasts
Subscribe to the Yahoo Fantasy Forecast on your favorite podcast app:
📢 Check out the Yahoo Sports podcast network or yahoosports.tv
And check out Matt Harmon and Yahoo Fantasy on our socials:
📷 @YahooFantasy: https://www.instagram.com/YahooFantasy
⌚ @YahooFantasy: https://www.tiktok.com/@yahoofantasy
🐦 @YahooFantasy: https://x.com/YahooFantasy
🟦 @YahooFantasy: https://www.facebook.com/YahooFantasy/
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