Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

DVR, Eno and Welsh welcome in the debut and expectations for Reds top prospect Elly De La Cruz. Andrew Abbott vs AJ Smith-Shawver, listener mailbag and more!

Rundown

0:34 Elly De La Cruz

4:55 Eno is the Elly ice-man

9:08 Is Elly more Javy Baez or Tatis Jr?

21:11 Elly or Volpe ROS

22:56 Reds future lineup

29:52 Andrew Abbott

34:26 AJ Smith-Shawver or Abbott ROS

39:09 Will Eury stay in Marlins rotation?

51:11 Luken Baker

53:43 Henry Davis to Triple-A 

61:00 Listener Questions 

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Eno and DVR discuss another wave of pitching prospects that have arrived in the big leagues including Andrew Abbott, Reese Olson, Bryan Woo and AJ Smith-Shawver. Plus, they discuss a few tough rankings from Eno's June Starting Pitcher Rankings update, and mailbag questions about Jazz Chisholm Jr., Luis Robert, and Taylor Ward.

Rundown

1:15 Andrew Abbott Gets the Call

3:41 Reese Olson Pitches Well in MLB Debut

7:55 Bryan Woo's Tough Debut

14:32 AJ Smith-Shawver Arrives in Atlanta

19:47 Will the Yankees Continue to Show Patience with Anthony Volpe

27:48 Two Bad Months, Four Good Ones

35:18 Bad Injury Luck for the Brewers?

39:15 Jackson Chourio's Chances of a 2023 Debut

41:16 Banking on a Big Summer From Freddy Peralta?

49:12 Where Did Aaron Nola's Strikeouts Go?

54:47 Tough Rank: Nathan Eovaldi

58:13 Can We Trust Michael Kopech's Turnaround?

1:02:43 Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s Long-Term Outlook

1:07:18 Where Are Luis Robert Jr.'s Stolen Bases?

1:10:57 Taylor Ward's Disappointing 2023

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DVR and Al weigh their interest in adding Royce Lewis and Jordan Walker in shallower leagues and discuss their approaches to FAB bidding for AJ Smith-Shawver. They also gauge their interest in adding the Tigers’ Akil Baddoo and Zach McKinstry, as well as Reds righty Ben Lively and Braves southpaw Jared Shuster. DVR and Al conclude with some difficult two-start dilemmas and a few closer candidates to consider.

Rundown

0:59 Top developments heading into the weekend

16:54 Hitters to consider

31:48 A few starting pitchers of interest

38:47 Start/sit dilemmas for two-start Hunter Greene and Nestor Cortes

45:40 Two-start pitchers

55:26 Closer corner

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Eno and DVR discuss the promotion of AJ Smith-Shawver, a pair of key injuries for the Tigers with Eduardo Rodriguez and Riley Greene heading to the IL, another injury for Harrison Bader, the pitch mix of Grayson Rodriguez, and several second-chance league surprises -- including big risers Joe Ryan, Esteury Ruiz, Josh Lowe, and Merrill Kelly. 

Rundown

1:10 AJ Smith-Shawver Joins the Braves

7:55 Eduardo Rodriguez's Finger Injury; Tarik Skubal Nearing Rehab Assignment

12:28 Opportunity for Reese Olson?

16:56 Riley Greene's Breakout Slowed by Tibia Injury

20:42 Colt Keith Time?

30:08 Harrison Bader Goes Back to the IL

37:43 Grayson Rodriguez's Pitch Mix

42:20 Second-Chance League Surprises

48:02 A Detour to Discuss Luis Medina

53:05 Esteury Ruiz Rising Up Boards in Second-Chance Leagues

58:20 Josh Lowe's Move Up; ROS Expectations

64:17 Merrill Kelly's Strikeout Rate Surge

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DVR, Eno and Welsh are back for a Project Prospect trade edition. We're looking at long-term trade for and away options. We're also discussing Royce Lewis' rest-of-season value, Bobby Miller and more.

Rundown

3:27 Royce Lewis

12:59 Royce vs McLain and Elly talk

18:36 Bet on Royce or Elly ROS

19:32 Bobby Miller

21:25 Rank these prospect pitchers ROS

28:11 Hunter Brown

34:04 Pitchers to target in trades

37:22 Nick Lodolo

38:22 Trading Justin Verlander

41:31 Buying Pfaadt and Grayson

43:38 Oneil Cruz

44:45 wRC+ buys

50:00 Drew Gilbert

59:27 wRC+ vs age/level

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Eno and Al discuss Bobby Miller’s major league debut and consider if he needs to be added to all leagues where he is available. They also discuss Julio Teheran’s return to the majors, a pair of widely-available leadoff hitters, Eno’s ongoing fascination with Rougned Odor and a surprisingly robust week for streaming two-start pitchers.

Rundown

0:42 Bobby Miller debuts

4:30 Other recent news items

17:21 Lineup developments

34:16 Pitchers of note

42;38 Streamers/two-start pitchers

55:03 Closer corner

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Eno and Welsh discuss a couple of Statcast anomalies, and deep dive into a listener question of the how trust worthy Statcast pages really are. We're also digging into Bryce Miller, Michael Kopech and more.

Rundown

1:53 - The curious case of Ke'Bryan Hayes Statcast page

8:21 - Will Ke'Bryan ever live up to his Statcast page?

12:13 - Top and Bottom 10 Barrel % leaders

14:20 - What Eno looks for to determine future power

19:09 - The curious case of Bryce Elder's Statcast page

20:27 - Eno's first time looking at Statcast pitcher sliders

26:20 - Statcast percentile screen shots

28:27 - Prospect who beat projection

34:22 - Expected stats and Projections

36:12 - Stuff+ variance over the season

39:08 - Bryce Miller

42:45 - Bryce Miller release point vs the league

46:07 - Bryce Miller vs Jacob DeGrom pitch release points

50:42 - Michael Kopech success

54:57 - Andrew Abbott's 21 WHIFF Wednesday

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DVR, Eno and Welsh look into the big opportunity in LA for prospect pitchers. Is Patrick Bailey someone to watch? Is George Valera underrated? Is this the time to buy Jordan Lawlar? Plus plenty more!

Rundown

1:10 - Gavin Stone's odd outing

9:05 - Rookie pitching game. Welsh vs Eno

15:51 - Bobby Miller debut

22:08 - Emmett Sheehan

25:08 - Is Hayden Wesneski a hold?

30:59 - Is Luis Ortiz good?

35:44 - Forrest Whitley

44:30 - Patrick Bailey

49:42 - George Valera

55:35 - Is now the time to buy Jordan Lawlar

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Eno and DVR discuss the promotion of Bobby Miller and the return of Gavin Stone as the Dodgers turn to their pipeline of starters to backfill from injuries to Dustin May and Julio Urías. Plus, they examine the 2023 step forward from Logan Gilbert, pushing starting pitchers more aggressively in the early rounds of 2024 builds, the recent struggles of Jameson Taillon and Graham Ashcraft, and the potential value of hard-hit averages. 

Rundown

4:47 Bobby Miller En Route to Los Angeles

8:06 Reservations About Gavin Stone?

11:23 Why Don't Projections Like Logan Gilbert More?

17:08 DVR Gets Too Cute with a Keeper League Deal, Likely Falls on Face

21:02 Planning A More Pitching-Heavy Approach in 2024 Drafts?

31:52 What's Wrong with Jameson Taillon?

41:39 Graham Ashcraft Slams the Breaks on April's Breakout

47:37 Any Concerns About Julio Rodríguez

51:03 Looking at Batting Average on Hard-Hit Balls

55:34 Power Outages: Ke'Bryan Hayes, Ryan McMahon & Andrew Benintendi

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DVR and Al look into how Matt McLain and Casey Schmitt stack up against other hitters in the shortstop pool, and they make the case for adding Jake Burger in a wide swath of leagues. They also consider the fantasy impact of the returns of Matthew LIberatore, Gavin Stone and Taj Bradley to the majors, and sort through a less-than-inspiring group of streamable pitchers.

Rundown

0:29 Where should Matt McLain and Casey Schmitt be rostered?

12:28 Jake Burger’s return and other lineup developments

23:33 Josh Lowe is the No. 4 Roto outfielder?

28:09 Rotation developments

42:33 Streamers/two-start pitchers

54:34 Closer corner

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Eno and DVR discuss the sticky stuff suspension for Domingo Germán, a new source of saves for the Yankees, a few surprisingly valuable pitchers, the actual benefit of LODEM, treating Jacob deGrom like an elite reliever, Emmanuel Clase's low strikeout rate, and more. 

Rundown

0:56 Domingo Germán's Sticky Stuff Suspension

12:43 Wandy Peralta is Getting Saves

17:22 Surprising Pitchers: Earned Auction Values

22:54 The Actual Case for LODEM

27:51 Alek Thomas Demoted to Triple-A

33:24 Lance Lynn's Gradual Decline

38:05 The Importance of Updating & Adjusting Models

48:16 Matthew Liberatore is Back

52:13 Concerned About Emmanuel Clase's Strikeout Rate?

55:28 Should We Value Jacob deGrom Like an Elite Reliever?

59:06 Shallow League Decisions & Gunnar Henderson

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DVR, Eno and Welsh breakdown Matt McLain's Reds debut and his value rest of season. We're also talking Dynasty strategies, how to approach prospect pitchers and more.

Rundown

0:52 Matt McLain

10:11 Souring on Tovar

12:17 Elly De La Cruz

14:25 More prospects coming for the future

18:58 What happened to Brandon Williamson

20:53 Eury Pérez

25:31 Eury Pérez's Curveball

28:34 Today's run environment

32:26 Pitching prospects in dynasty

38:02 Investment in pitching prospects

41:12 Lodem or Ledom?

43:10 Jake Eder

47:40 Listener dynasty questions

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Eno and DVR discuss the injury to Drew Rasmussen and another test for the Rays' pitching depth, the return of James Paxton , the growth of Mitch Keller, and the tension between rest-of-season projections and growing samples of over- and underperforming players. 

Rundown

6:41 Drew Rasmussen's Injury

11:01 Taj Bradley & The Rays' Pitching Depth

20:31 James Paxton is Back! Is James Paxton Back?

25:32 Mitch Keller's Past Calendar Year

34:22 DVR Joins Eno's Skeptical View of Alek Manoah

40:40 Rest of Season Projections: Navigating Risky Rebounds & Coping with the Buzzkill

53:41 Buying High Despite ROS Projections?

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DVR and Al discuss how much FAB they think should be dedicated towards adding just-promoted Marlins pitching prospect Eury Pérez and consider the fallout from Max Fried’s forearm injury. They also look at several infield options, including Orlando Arcia, Nick Pratto, Casey Schmitt and Andy Ibáñez. DVR and Al walk through the pitching options on waivers (other than Pérez) and assess the Phillies’ closer situation.

Rundown

0:32 How much FAB should we dedicate to Eury Pérez?

6:15 Other news items of note

23:56 Lineup developments

37:51 Pitchers of interest

44:54 Streamers/Two-start pitchers

51:49 Closer Corner

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Eno and DVR discuss the Twins' decision to send Jose Miranda to Triple-A, Casey Schmitt's place in the Giants' infield mix, the rapidly rising number of injured pitchers, a Phillies bullpen bracing for the absence of Jose Alvarado, budgeting in-season FAB resources, the struggles of Corbin Burnes and the likelihood of a rebound back toward previous levels, and much more.

Rundown

0:55 Jose Miranda: Optioned to Triple-A

8:34 Casey Schmitt: Homers in Debut, DVR's Corrected Comp

13:08 Brett Wisely v. David Villar

18:48 Jacob deGrom: Could Return in 2-3 Weeks; Then What Happens?

21:52 Significant Injuries Mounting Among Starting Pitchers

25:07 Changing Pitching Strategy in the Future?

34:44 Jose Alvarado Placed on IL with Elbow Injury

38:28 Becoming More Disciplined with In-Season Resources

44:16 Examining Corbin Burnes' Strange Start to 2023

51:26 Will Pitch Clock Push Older Starters Out of the Game Sooner than Expected?

57:23 IP Leaders Since 2017

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DVR, Eno and Welsh talk about Bryce Miller's pitch mix, Eno's conversation with him and why he struggled at Double-A. Are the Rays messing with Taj Bradley? Plus we've got some listener questions and tons more.

Rundown

0:34 - Bryce Miller

2:23 - What is a Gyro slider

3:53 - What Savant says about Millers pitch mix vs what it really is

6:55 - Why Bryce Miller struggled at AA according to Bryce

13:14 - What's going on with Taj Bradley

20:23 - If minot league stats aren't sticky, can we trust stat driven prospect lists?

26:21 - Ben Brown

30:06 - Is Liberatore the next big FAAB pitcher

30:42 - DVR only likes bad pitchers

35:51 - Eury Perez

37:01 - Can a high K and high BB pitcher like Edward Cabrera work?

44:09 - Can Chase Silseth be DVR's bad pitcher?

46:47 - Casey Schmitt

50:53 - Can Dominic Fletcher take real time away from Alek Thomas?

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Eno and DVR discuss the Cardinals' unusual decision to move Willson Contreras out of the catcher rotation (at least temporarily), the struggles of Jack Flaherty, a return to the big leagues for Christopher Morel and Luis Ortiz, and several mailbag questions. 

Rundown

1:14 Willson Conteras: Moving Off Catcher, For Now?

7:59 Failures in Logic

12:44 Jack Flaherty's Ongoing Struggles

20:31 Luis Ortiz Back in the Pirates' Rotation

23:41 Christopher Morel is Back with the Cubs

28:02 Matt Strahm to the Bullpen?

30:09 Jack Suwinski Comp?

32:46 Cody Bellinger's Rebound; Statcast Numbers

36:47 Brandon Woodruff Injury Update

40:33 Jarren Duran: Post-Hype Sleeper?

44:45 Drew Rasmussen: Model Numbers v. Ranking

48:28 Falling Behind Season IP Pace

52:25 Aaron Judge is Coming Back on Tuesday

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DVR, Eno and Al discuss the latest round of prospect callups, including Matt Mervis, Bryce Miller, Brandon Pfaadt and Gavin Stone, and share their approaches for determining FAB bids. They also talk about the two latest additions to the Twins’ rotation and assess the coming week’s cohort of streamable pitchers.

Rundown

1:04 This week’s big callup news

16:59 Deeper-league hitter callups

22:33 Should we stash Christian Encarnacion-Strand?

26:24 Lineup developments

28:35 Notable pitchers

45:10 Streamers/two-start pitchers

55:42 Bullpen report

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Eno and DVR discuss an excellent battle between rookie starters Bryce Miller and Mason Miller in Oakland on Tuesday night before a rookie pitcher installment of 'Would You Rather'. Plus, they examine some of the biggest risers among starting pitchers from the first month of the season. 

Rundown

0:35 Mason Miller v. Bryce Miller

6:11 Would You Rather? Rookie Pitchers Edition

14:21 Per-Pitch Stuff+ Question

19:09 Hayden Wesneski's Low K%

22:16 Will Smith Takes Over As Rangers Closer

29:29 Shifting Toward Rostering Non-Closer Relievers?

35:55 April Risers & Fallers: Hitters

46:34 Jack Suwinski's Rise to Shallow League Relevance

52:48 Brandon Lowe's Elevated K%, Power Returns

57:47 Any Concerns About J.D. Davis & Michael Conforto?

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DVR, Eno and Welsh review some of the biggest rookie performances from April. Who to buy and sell, plus some Dynasty rank overall changes.

Rundown

1:27 - Outman production vs K rate

12:45 - Corbin Carroll

18:28 - Esteury Ruiz

22:31 - Josh Jung's adjustment for more power

26:39 - The "who got demoted" game

29:25 - Oscar Colas

34:04 - Outman vs Colas

42:34 - Could Evan Carter get called up?

50:45 - Wander Franco's dynasty rise

59:33 - What pitchers are left to speculate on in the minors

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Eno and DVR discuss some of the biggest risers -- and a few fallers -- among starting pitchers from the first month of the season. 

Rundown

0:45 Jacob deGrom Returns to the IL

6:23 Nathan Eovaldi's First Month in Texas

13:51 Dustin May's Rise Up Eno's Rankings

18:50 Freddy Peralta's Velo Returns; Pitch Mix is Strong

23:08 Jesús Luzardo's Step Forward in Miami

26:26 Joe Ryan New Arsenal

28:54 Zac Gallen's Continued Dominance

31:20 Other Big Movers

44:10 JP Sears: Sneaky Fallback Add From April?

50:30 Hunter Brown's First 50 MLB Innings

57:04 Big Fallers in the Rankings

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DVR and Al consider how aggressively they want to pursue Guardians pitching prospects Tanner Bibee and Logan Allen, now that they have made their major league debuts. They also discuss the shallow-league appeal of Jack Suwinski and Jason Heyward and identify the streamable pitchers with the best upcoming matchups.

Rundown

0:54 Prospect promotions and demotions

22:13 Injury fallout

28:35 Hitter developments

40:14 Notable pitchers

51:09 Streamers and two-start pitchers

1:02:13 Bullpen update

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Eno and DVR discuss the excellent start to 2023 for Jarred Kelenic, other young players who may be on the brink of breaking through after initial struggles at the big league-level, Jake McCarthy's demotion, the Rays' approach with Taj Bradley, monitoring command in-game, Pete Alonso's power binge, and the 2023 version of Charlie Morton. 

Rundown

0:56 Jarred Kelenic's Year 3 Step Forward

6:27 Looking for Other Young Players Nearing Breakout

14:47 Jake McCarthy's Demotion = Alek Thomas' Extended Opportunity

18:26 An Attempt to Understand the Rays' Approach with Taj Bradley

31:32 What Are Teams Using to Monitor Command During Games?

40:44 Pete Alonso's Early Power Binge

50:32 The 2023 Version of Charlie Morton

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DVR, Eno and Welsh breakdown some Stuff+ factors to consider for Triple-A pitchers, the latest call-ups and prospects to stash.

Rundown

1:07 - Welsh was on Logan T. Allen before Bibee

3:15 - Tanner Bibee

8:14 - Stuff+ numbers for pitchers who go 50 pitches vs 80 pitches

12:31 - Altitude and it's affect on Stuff+ in the minors

18:16 - Tanner Bibee vs Brandon Pfaadt

31:05 - Michael Busch to the Majors

36:09 - Pirates prospects that could be on their way up

46:14 - Liberatore vs Silseth

52:!6 - Jordan Westburg vs Connor Norby vs Joey Ortiz

1:00:00 - Heston Kjerstad

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Eno and DVR discuss several players with significantly changed swing rates to begin 2023 before considering the possibility of some toolsy players getting overlooked due to a flaw. They also answer a few mailbag questions, including one in pursuit of cheap sources of power via trade or waivers. 

Rundown

1:08 Swing Rate Changes; Juan Soto Concern Level?

6:15 Jorge Mateo's Big Adjustments

9:23 ROS Would You Rather: Mateo or Gunnar Henderson?

12:43 Learning From Adolis García's Continued Success

18:07 Defense Buying Players Longer Opportunities to Adjust

21:53 Scouting + Stats: Finding Extreme Tools

24:56 A Look Into the Future of Will Benson

31:03 Making Sense of Josh Lowe's Changes

36:58 Hitters Going the Wrong Direction with Swing Rate Changes

41:47 Should Jazz Chisholm Jr. Be More Aggressive at the Plate?

44:58 Pitching Drops in 12-Team Leagues

56:08 The Early-Season Pursuit of Power

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DVR and Al discuss how much to bid on Mason Miller and when to start anticipating the major league debuts of Brandon Pfaadt and Tanner Bibee. They also look at several hitters benefitting from expanded roles and assess the pool of streamable pitchers for the coming week.

Rundown

0:31 It’s Mason Miller Week

6:05 Other pitching prospects to consider

14:20 News items: Bryce Harper/Max Scherzer/Mookie Betts

19:44 Lineup matters

30:20 Notable pitchers to target

39:48 Streamers/Two-start pitchers

53;50 Bullpen update

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Eno and DVR discuss the promotion of Mason Miller to Oakland, Brayan Rocchio and a potentially brief look in Cleveland, an extension for Hunter Greene, another impressive outing from Taj Bradley, Mike Soroka's comeback bid, A.J. Puk's early results in Miami, and a few mailbag questions.

Rundown

1:17 Mason Miller Promoted!

9:20 Brayan Rocchio Gets the Call to Cleveland

11:30 Hunter Greene Extension

13:53 Taj Bradley Continues to Impress

19:01 Adjusting for Alek Manoah's Disappointing Start to 2023

25:45 Josiah Gray's New Pitch Mix

33:49 Trusting A.J. Puk

37:10 Jake Burger's Impressive Power Profile

42:22 Statcast v. FanGraphs' Hard-Hit Rates

49:12 Other Factors to Consider w/Pitching Model

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DVR, Eno and Welsh are taking a look at Prospects on the fast track. Is Brett Baty here to stay? Zach Neto or Edouard Julien? Plus a now hilarious conversation about Mason Miller vs Brandon Pfaadt minutes before Mason Miller is called up.

Rundown

0:46 - Brett Baty

6:20 - Minor league hard hit hard leaderboard

11:46 - Yeison Morrobel hard hit numbers

14:39 - Lenyn Sosa a thing?

17:39 - Zach Neto

20:24 - Volpe vs Tovar vs Neto

32:29 - Edouard Julien

33:50 - Of course Welsh brings up Corbin Carroll

36:21 - Could Vaughn Grissom go to the outfield?

42:38 - Old crusty vs lottery tickets

45:24 - Matt Mervis vs Nolan Jones

51:28 - Mason Miller vs Brandon Pfaadt

56:38 - Ricky Tiedemann vs Kyle Harrison

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DVR and Eno discuss a few sluggish early bats that have been on the radar to be dropped before examining some unlucky hitters. Plus, they break down the great start to 2023 for Nolan Gorman, the ongoing struggles of José Berrios, and the step forward for Louie Varland and several other Twins starters. 

Rundown

3:14 Terrestrial v. Aerial Movers

6:57 Early-Season Drop Decisions

8:49 Jean Segura Falling Toward Waiver Wire

12:37 Chris Taylor's Ongoing Contact Woes

16:29 Trey Mancini's Slow Start in Chicago

21:24 Nick Gordon: King of the Unlucky Hitters?

26:21 Byron Buxton: Regular DH Now

31:02 Is This a Nolan Gorman Breakout?

35:47 Tyler O'Neill's Slipping Playing Time

43:52 José Berrios: Is This It?

48:33 Stuff+ on FanGraphs

54:07 Big Bids From the Weekend

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DVR and Al assess the short- and long-term fantasy value of Taj Bradley and Edouard Julien, both of whom debuted this week, and they look at at the pool of free agent shortstops who could replace Corey Seager or other injured shortstops. They also look at other free agent hitters and pitchers to target in FAB.

Rundown

1:22 Shortstop injury replacements

9:05 Edouard Julien and Taj Bradley debut

17:17 Rotations in flux: Diamondbacks, Guardians, Brewers

23:39 DVR makes a case for Brad Keller

29:54 Streamable pitchers to pursue

37:30 Hitters to target

44:06 Have these fantasy zombies come alive?

52:54 Who are we targeting for saves?

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DVR and Eno discuss some of the biggest movers in Stuff+ according to Eno's pitching model, early K-BB% laggards to target (and a few to worry about), and Taj Bradley's impressive arrival and potential for more starts due to another injury in the Rays' rotation. 

Rundown

0:44 2023 Changes to the Run Environment

4:20 Stuff+ Improvers, No. 1 Graham Ashcraft

9:30 Looking for Differences Between Low-End Starters & Waiver Options

13:30 Ashcraft v. Bubic

17:17 Fastball Movement Impacted By Park Factors?

21:23 Good in the Model, Bad Results 

32:12 Improved Command From Hunter Greene?

38:42 K-BB% Laggards; Potential Buy-Low Targets?

49:25 DVR Sticking with Chris Sale, Eno Sticking with Blake Snell

53:12 Taj Bradley's Debut; Chances to Stick Around w/Three Rotation Injuries

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DVR, Eno and Welsh dig into some Triple-A stuff+ numbers. The guys look at what these numbers mean and how much more we need, as well as the latest prospect news, call-ups and graduations.

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DVR and Eno discuss the lengthy absence on tap for Oneil Cruz, another frantic weekend of free-agent pickups in fantasy baseball, the value of two-start weeks in weekly leagues, and several players of interest as the second week of action winds down. 

Rundown

1:47 Oneil Cruz's Injury & Lengthy Absence

6:40 A Woefully Thin Waiver Wire Position

13:26 Pitchers of Interesting From Weekend Pickups

22:41 A Wide Range of Outcomes for Kris Bubic?

25:51 Why Two-Start Weeks Are So Valuable

34:02 JP Sears: A Second Viable Starter in Oakland?

44:28 Digging for Deep League Bats

52:29 Francisco Álvarez's Opportunity to Stick

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DVR and Al explore this weekend’s waiver wire options, starting with top prospects Grayson Rodriguez and Francisco Álvarez. They also discuss several hot-hitting Brewers, Seth Lugo’s impressive return to starting, a thin cohort of streamable starters and some bullpen developments.

Rundown

0:41 Breaking news, including Grayson Rodriguez and Francisco Álvarez promotions

16:07 Notable lineup developments

30:18 Pitchers of note: Seth Lugo, Kris Bubic, Braxton Garrett

40:24 Streamable pitchers

50:32 Bullpen check-in

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DVR and Al are joined by Mike Kurland of The Athletic and Gaining The Edge Fantasy to talk about playing time analysis. Mike reveals his process for analyzing lineups and batting orders, and the group sorts through some rest-of-season player toss-up dilemmas.

Rundown

0:39 Mike talks about his process for analyzing playing time

4:47 How important is it to track pinch-hitting trends?

6:49 How does Mike use lineup analysis in order to give him an edge?

18:50 How does Mike handle making decisions in the absence of larger samples?

22:36 How far ahead in the schedule should we be looking?

27:05 Player toss-ups

39:18 Looking for stability in fluid roster situations

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DVR and Welsh discuss some prospect impact in the majors with Brice Turang and others. The Triple-A season is underway with some interesting performances, plus a look at a few minor league assignments.

Rundown

1:03 - Brice Turang

8:47 - Esteury Ruiz vs Brice Turang

15:47 - Jhony Brito

24:24 - Jared Shuster

26:59 - Are we back in on MacKenzie Gore?

36:48 - Brandon Pfaadt's less than great Triple-A debut

39:57 - Brett Baty

45:00 - Tyler Soderstrom's 113.5 Max EV

48:36 - Interesting Minor League Assignments

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DVR and Welsh discuss takeaways from the Opening Series, including a closer look at the arsenal of Kodai Senga, the 'new' Noah Syndergaard, the significant increase in steals right out of the gate, plus a few massive free-agent bidding pickups from the first in-season waiver run in many leagues. 

Rundown

4:30 Kodai Senga's Mets Debut

7:23 New Pitches & Velo Spikes Drive Quick Decisions

14:27 Jeffrey Springs & 'Buy High' Considerations

22:04 Noah Syndergaard Version 3.0

36:27 Ranking Dodgers Starting Pitchers By Expected Innings Pitched

42:52 By the Numbers, Early Impact of New Rules

47:04 Weekend FAB Takeaways

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DVR and Al look at some actionable news items from opening day, including IL stints for Justin Verlander, Max Fried and Ryan Pepiot, and they consider players worth pursuing on the waiver wire, such as Elehuris Montero, Clarke Schmidt and Hunter Gaddis.

Rundown

0:34 A new approach to the waivers show

1:40 Opening day lineup Implications

31:37 Injury news impacting waiver options

35:42 Other pitching options on waivers

42:33 Which teams should we stream pitchers against?

47:12 Two-start pitchers to stream

55:53 Opening day bullpen observations

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DVR returns to join Eno and discuss their takeaways from the 2023 draft season including teams' varying processes for promotion prospects on Opening Day, a few of their most heavily-rostered players, and a few things they need to go right to have a successful season.

Rundown

3:45 Taking a Moment to Look Back at Draft Season

8:34 Was DVR's Heavy Targeting of Fringe Top-100 SPs Too Risky?

15:28 Leaning Into Mid-Tier First Basemen

20:55 Did Spring Performances in WBC Have Elevated Impact on Drafts?

23:02 Rookie Helium: Anthony Volpe & Jordan Walker

30:42 What Puts Prospects Over the Top for a Roster Spot During Spring Training?

37:39 Team Factors Are Critically Important and Tough to Read

43:32 What Needs to Go Right For You in 2023?

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Welsh and Eno are discussing Grayson's option to the minors and discussing prospects with stand out stats from spring training.

Rundown

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Eno dropped his top-10 bold predictions for the season on the Athletic this weekend. Welsh is picking to find which makes Eno nervous, plus a breakdown of Eno's main event draft.

Rundown

3:10 - Which prediction made Eno nervous

8:00- Bold Ryan McMahon call

10:38 - Votto story and the Reds pitching staff

16:03 - Welsh wonders about pitch shape manipulation

26:23 - Prospects make the bigs

32:21 - Welsh watched Juan Soto on the backfields Monday

37:47 - Eno's Main Event roster breakdown

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Eno and Al look at the Phillies’ roster in the aftermath of Rhys Hoskins’ season-ending injury and consider first base replacements in fantasy. They also discuss FAB options for both 12- and 15-team leagues.

Rundown

1:20 Replacing Rhys Hoskins

7:47 Spend early in FAB or save up?

13:06 12-team FAB hitting targets

26:36 12-team FAB pitching targets

32:32 15-team FAB hitting targets

42:00 15-team FAB pitching targets

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Eno and Al look at the players who have moved up and down the farthest in NFBC ADP over the last week, and they also discuss the fantasy fallout from the injuries to Adam Wainwright and Raisel Iglesias.

Rundown

1:24 Who takes Adam Wainwright’s spot in the Cardinals’ rotation?

7:44 Who gets saves for Atlanta with Raisel Iglesias out?

10:36 Top ADP risers overall

27:34 Top ADP hitting risers

41:29 Top ADP fallers

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Eno and Welsh react to Roki Sasaki's electric stuff in the WBC. Project Prospect continues as the guys look at players that were optioned, but could still be up soon, as well surprising names still in camp.

Rundown

3:20 - Roki Sasaki reactions

14:35 - Brandon Pfaadt

23:10 - Christian Encarnacion-Strand

27:12 - Addison Barger

33:37 - Kyle Manzardo

38:52 - Gavin Stone

41:52 - Bryce Miller

47:09 - Ben Joyce

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So much news one little weekend can pack in. Eno and Welsh discuss Altuve's injury, should we be worried about Soto's oblique and Eno digs into some of the biggest Stuff+ numbers from the WBC.

Rundown

4:19 - Jose Altuve's injury and how to draft him

22:34 - Juan Soto's oblique

29:45 - Jacob DeGrom's first spring start

32:55 - Brandon Nimmo

34:43 - Jurickson Profar to the Rockies

39:34 - Weird Vaughn Grissom situation

44:57 - WBC Stuff+ numbers

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Eno and Al discuss the latest news items, including some positive developments for Kyle Wright and Byron Buxton, and they look at several position battles that are still looming with opening day less than two weeks away. Eno also identifies several pitchers who are Stuff+ laggards.

Rundown

1:08 News updates: Edwin Díaz, Kyle Wright, Byron Buxton, Mitch Haniger, David Villar, Eric Haase, Jackson Jobe

20:12 Position battles - hitters: NYM 3B, LAD CF, MIA OF, CHC OF/DH, KC OF, OAK CF

37:03 Position battles - rotations: OAK, ATL, ARI, TB, CIN

49:06 Stuff+ laggards

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Eno and Al talk about the latest injury updates, including Edwin Díaz’s knee injury, Tony Gonsolin’s return from a sprained ankle and Harrison Bader’s strained oblique. They also consider whether certain spring training stats have meaning, such as Michael Toglia’s playing time and Oscar Colás’ lack of strikeouts.

Rundown

1:16 The media reaction to Edwin Díaz’s knee injury

6:05 Implications of Díaz’s injury for the Mets bullpen

9:34 Implications of Díaz’s injury for the reliever pool

15:36 Mark Melancon’s shoulder injury and the Diamondbacks’ bullpen

18:49 Starting pitcher injury updates (Tony Gonsolin, Garrett Whitlock, Ranger Suárez, José Quintana, Cade Cavalli)

36:11 Harrison Bader’s oblique strain and the Yankees’ roster crunch

39:45 Do these spring stats mean anything?

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Welsh watched Jacob DeGrom pitch his first live game on the Rangers backfield Tuesday, so Welsh and Eno breakdown the videos. We've also got 10 prospects to watch for re-draft leagues that don't currently have a set job.

Rundown

5:10 - Welsh's live look and video of Jacob DeGrom's first game against live hitters

12:21 - Where and how to draft DeGrom

27:05 - Jasson Dominguez

35:10 - Mark Vientos

37:06 - Zac Veen

44:03 - Ricky Tiedemann

49:07 - Brett Baty

51:17 - Matt Mervis

53:45 - Sal Frelick

57:12 - Bradon Pfaadt

59:56 - Christian Encarnacion-Strand

1:03:37 - Anthony Volpe

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Eno returns from his Florida trip with some wild tales for Welsh, as well as some great conversations and perspectives with players. Eno and Welsh also dig into some interesting March ADP trends from the NFBC.

Rundown

6:18 - Eno talks with Clay Holmes, Pete Fairbanks and more

14:36 - Can a starter have one pitch to a righty or lefty and succeed?

19:56 - Is adding a pitch tangible enough to up someone's rank?

24:27 - Crazy high min picks on NFBC

48:40 - NFBC guys inside the top 100 min, with a post 130 ADP

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Eno is at the trop recording live on location. Welsh and Eno are talking about the latest spring training injuries and the new stuff+ release. **Warning: Welsh is a dummy, and had a mic issue that is less than we normally expect**

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