Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

Eno and DVR discuss several recently promoted players in the wake of September roster expansion including Gunnar Henderson, Spencer Steer, Garrett Mitchell, Hunter Brown, and Ken Waldichuk -- plus a few second-half pitchers competing for long-term opportunities with their respective clubs. 

Rundown

2:02 Gunnar Henderson is Up!

8:33 Spencer Steer's Late-Season Opportunity

16:55 Nick Senzel's 2023 Role?

19:58 Spencer Torkelson, Round 2

22:59 Miguel Vargas Returns

27:17 Michael Toglia's Regular Run

33:57 Hunter Brown's Promotion in Houston

37:31 Ken Waldichuk Debuts

46:03 Brayan Bello, Cade Cavalli & Javier Assad

54:54 Julio Rodríguez's Long-Term Deal with the Mariners

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the promotion of Corbin Carroll, his chances of being relevant in all league formats down the stretch, second-half risers in contact quality, how we missed on Paul Goldschmidt's MVP-worthy 2022 campaign, and a few late reliever pickups capable of making meaningful contributions. 

Rundown

-- Corbin Carroll Gets the Call

-- Jesús Aguilar DFA'd by the Marlins

-- Second-Half Barrel & Hard-Hit Surgers

-- What's Next for Rowdy Tellez?

-- How Did We Miss on Paul Goldschmidt?

-- The Timing of Taking Chances on Young, Breakout Players

-- Ketel Marte's Pursuit of His 2019 Peak

-- Waiting on Shortstop Worked Out

-- Late-Season Bullpen Help

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss a few challenging late-season decisions, how to potentially avoid the issues in the future, a disappointing 2022 from Jared Walsh, the search for help at first base, their latest installment of Prospect of the Week, pitching in the zone 'too much' and more. 

Rundown

-- Tough Late-Season Decisions

-- How to Avoid Chasing Pitching in the Future

-- Making the Difficult Drop

-- Jared Walsh's 2022: What Went Wrong?

-- Finding First Base Help

-- Prospect of the Week

-- More Info on Cade Cavalli

-- Removing Bias Against Old Pitchers

-- Pitching In the Zone Too Much?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper

e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the long-term outlook for Walker Buehler following his second career Tommy John surgery, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s decision to undergo shoulder surgery while serving his suspension, a few approach similarities between Bo Bichette and Michael Harris II, late-season promotions thanks to new CBA rules, Oneil Cruz's Statcast-breaking feat, and much more.

Rundown

-- Walker Buehler Undergoes a Second Tommy John Surgery

-- Fernando Tatis Jr. Set for Shoulder Surgery

-- Michael Harris II and Similarities to Bo Bichette's Profile?

-- Cade Cavalli & Late Promotions

-- Oneil Cruz Sets New Max Exit Velocity Record

-- Has Amed Rosario Finally Reached His Ceiling?

-- What's Next for Yoán Moncada?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss several late-season pitchers to monitor in hopes of finding undervalued arms for stretch run, and potential big movers in 2023 -- including young starters, relievers w/the chance to move into larger roles, and the next group of elite closers.  

Rundown

-- Starters with Stuff+ Improvements From Last Season

-- Jake Junis' Emergence in San Francisco

-- Potential Movers from Current Bullpen Role to Future Starting Opportunities

-- Making Sense of DL Hall's Debut

-- Nick Lodolo in the Face of Sinkers Disappearing

-- Edward Cabrera's Recent Success

-- The Next Group of Elite Relievers

-- Yusei Kikuchi as a Bullpen Arm?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss Fernando Tatis Jr.'s positive PED test and subsequent 80-game suspension, CJ Abrams' long-term power outlook, the biggest risers and fallers in slugging percentage from 2021 to 2022, and much more. 

Rundown

4:07 Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Suspension, Future Outlook

12:27 CJ Abrams' Long-Term Power Trajectory; Early-Career Comps

21:05 Stat Traps?

25:59 Slugging Percentage Year-over-Year Risers

28:35 Andrés Giménez's Step Forward

33:41 Nick Gordon's Surprising Power

42:04 Yasmani Grandal's Plummeting Pop

45:26 Better Rebound Candidate: Castellanos v. Winker

51:25 Marcus Semien's Mid-Season Turnaround

58:45 Moves Allowed for Non-Playoff Teams in Keeper League?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss several second-half standouts that they are optimistic about beyond 2022, factors to consider when looking for deep pitching stashes late in the season, the possibility of two massive contracts for Juan Soto given his age, and whether it's time to shift more leagues to a combined 'Saves + Holds' stat to remedy closer inflation. 

Rundown

-- Bullish On Young KC Bats?

-- Targeting Jose Barrero Despite Elevated K%?

-- J.D. Davis' New Opportunity in San Francisco

-- Holding Out Hope for Luis Rengifo?

-- Interest in JJ Bleday?

-- What to Consider with Keeper/Dynasty Pitcher Stashes?

-- Two Massive Deals for Juan Soto?

-- Why Hasn't There Been a Shift to More Saves+Holds Leagues?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the value provided (or lack thereof) from the top-end closers in the pool so far this season, and whether that might lead to a less aggressive draft market toward the saves category in 2023. Plus, they consider what would go into a calculation that better quantifies risk, expectations for a few pitchers making late-season returns from injury, and candidates to be the 'next Jesse Winker'. 

Rundown

-- Early Alternatives to Josh Hader and Liam Hendriks

-- Are Relievers Valued Incorrectly?

-- Overshopping the Bargain Bin

-- Will Sanity Return to Closer ADPs Next Season?

-- A Lot of Disappointment: Pick 100-200 Range

-- Quantifying Risk

-- Expectations for Late-Season SPs Returning From Injuries

-- An Approach to Hitters

-- Finding the Next Jesse Winker

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper

e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

Related Reading 'Inter-Projection Volatility & The ATC Projections' by Ariel Cohen (@ATCNY): https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/inter-projection-volatility-the-atc-projections/

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Eno and DVR discuss Trade Deadline takeaways, the frustration when teams try to 'thread the needle' in the wake of the Brewers' recent moves, the seemingly light activity of the Mets, a fascinating Brandon Marsh-Logan O'Hoppe trade, the absence of Ronald Acuña Jr.'s power (so far) this season coming off of a torn ACL, Walker Buehler's pre-injury struggles, and their favorite Vin Scully stories. 

Rundown

-- All-In v. Threading the Needle

-- Wild Card Bubble v. First Place Team in Deadline Decisions

-- Shorten Service Time to Free Agency, Push More Teams to Play For Now?

-- More Disappointment Per Capita: Mets Fans or Brewers

-- Was the Mets' Deadline Really *That* Bad?

-- Most Intriguing Deals

-- Eno's Bad Mike Trout Trade

-- Prospect of the Week

-- Getting Dunked On By Kids & A Ronald Acuña Jr. Question

-- Injury Risk in Long-Term Trade Targets?

-- Walker Buehler's Pre-Injury Woes

-- Remembering Vin Scully

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper

e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the blockbuster trade that sent Luis Castillo to Seattle, big surprises in the latest update to Eno's Starting Pitcher Rankings, a breaking news(!) trade that sent Josh Hader to San Diego, and much more. 

Rundown

-- Getting Luis Castillo Out of Great American Ballpark

-- Cincinnati's Future Focus

-- David Peralta to the Rays

-- Eno's Updated Starting Pitcher Rankings (Subscribers to The Athletic can view the rankings here: https://theathletic.com/3458778)

-- Chris Bassitt's Ascent

-- Breaking News: Josh Hader Traded to the Padres!

-- Jon Gray, Year 1 in Texas

-- Nick Lodolo: Young Starting Pitcher on the Rise?

-- Is Corey Kluber a Younger Adam Wainwright?

-- Lucas Giolito's 2022 Slide

-- The New Reid Detmers

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR comb through several rosters ahead of the Trade Deadline in search of current backups and upper level minor leaguers with paths to more playing time in the near future. Plus, they consider the implications of Mike Trout's injury on the Angels in the future, and the importance of the A's hitting on the likely trades of Frankie Montas, Sean Murphy and Ramón Laureano. 

Rundown

0:00 It Starts (Intro Music)

1:47 Andrew Benintendi to the Yankees

4:23 PT for Kyle Isbel, Edward Olivares (Once Healthy)?

8:59 Finding Replacement in Chicago

14:36 Will Jose Barrero & Jake Fraley Play More for the Reds?

19:04 Who Moves in Baltimore, Who Steps Into Larger Roles?

24:06 Still Interested in Jack Suwinski?

31:13 Cheap Stolen Bases Coming from D.C.?

42:04 The Mike Trout Situation

52:33 Uncharted Territory in Oakland?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the early applications of Statcast Bat Tracking data, as well as what they hope to learn as the dataset grows in the future before examining several struggling starting pitchers, and a few Pitching Model v. Results disagreements. 

Rundown

-- Statcast Bat Tracking

-- Max Swing Speed & Max EV for Power, Barrel Precision for Hit Tool?

-- A Closer Look at Astros & Dodgers

-- Ian Anderson, We Were Warned, But Can He Be Fixed?

-- Yusei Kikuchi: Any Reasons for Rebound Optimism?

-- Aaron Ashby: Extended by Brewers, Big Breakout Looming?

-- Daniel Lynch: Still Frustrating, Still Offers Potential

-- Pitching Model v. Results

-- Nathan Eovaldi's Brutal Weekend Start

-- Prospect of the Week!

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Related Reading: Mike Petriello 'What you need to know about Statcast bat tracking' https://www.mlb.com/news/what-you-need-to-know-about-statcast-bat-tracking

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Eno and DVR discuss several hitters with the potential to rebound in the second half -- with the emphasis on players whose value has fallen since the start of the season -- the potential impact of the "Pie Slice" Rule on current big leaguers, and the Marlins' offensive slide with Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Jon Berti on the IL.

Rundown

-- DVR Makes Another Spreadsheet

-- Another Drop on the Joey Votto 2022 Rollercoaster

-- Biggest Difference: ROS Projection v. Earn Value So Far

-- Josh Smith: Deep Leagues Only?

-- Vinnie Pasquantino v. Nolan Gorman, Long Term?

-- Nick Castellanos, Rebound Coming?

-- Seiya Suzuki is Healthy Again

-- The 'Pie Slice' Rule

-- Who Would Benefit From This Change?

-- Adjustments Coming in Miami?

-- Four-Man Outfields/Outfield Shifts

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Related Reading: Jayson Stark on The "Pie Slice" Rule: https://theathletic.com/3417955

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Eno and DVR discuss several pitchers facing potential workload limitations in the second half -- including a large group of rookie pitchers, and a few veterans who have lost time in recent years due to significant injuries. Plus, they attempt to find a few solutions via trade and waivers to help remedy an expected shortcoming of innings during the final two-plus months of the season. 

Rundown

-- Young Pitchers Facing IP Concerns

-- George Kirby & 2021 Injury Impact

-- Any Reason to Worry About Shane McClanahan?

-- What If You Have Multiple Pitchers In This Situation?

-- Veterans w/Major Injuries

-- The Downside in Pushing Starting Pitcher Volume From Waivers

-- Helpful Changes for Aaron Civale?

-- Max Meyer Pops in Pitching Model

-- Short Relievers of Interest

-- Long-Term Ceiling of Glenn Otto?

-- Any Signs of Slowing Down for Nestor Cortes?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss why Esteury Ruiz might have a difficult time becoming Jon Berti 2.0 despite blazing speed and a growing path to playing time with the Padres, before examining several young hitters whose underlying skills point to future success, and why the stabilization point of a hitter's barrel rate still messes with our minds. 

Rundown

-- It Starts (Intro Music)

-- Esteury Ruiz: Stolen Bases Galore on the Waiver Wire?

-- Spencer Torkelson: Second-Half Turnaround On Tap?

-- More Likely to Improve Barrel Rate: Andrew Vaughn or Ke'Bryan Hayes?

-- Andrés Giménez: Is This His Ceiling?

-- Where is Gavin Lux's Power Amidst a Breakout?

-- More Power Coming From Nico Hoerner

-- DVR is Still In on Brandon Marsh

-- Raw Power Search: Below Average Barrel Rates, Top 20 Max EV

-- When to Trust a Dramatic Shift in Barrel Rate for a Veteran Player?

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Eno and DVR discuss a few different midseason problems and try to determine which is the easiest to solve in the second half, plus they examine several young pitchers that might be worth acquiring via trade or pickup for the long-term future before attempting to make sense of Byron Buxton's unusual 2022 season (so far). 

Rundown

-- Midseason Roster Flaws

-- Where Have Steals Come From This Season?

-- Pricey Closer Panning Out (So Far)

-- Fighting Tanked Ratios with Trades, Young Pitchers

-- MacKenzie Gore's First Half

-- Other Pitchers to Target

-- Paying Up for George Kirby in Long-Term Leagues?

-- Has Reid Detmers Changed with the Return of His Slider?

-- Who Is Byron Buxton?

-- Did Brendan Rodgers Figure It Out?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss Luis Castillo's case for 'ace' status and the possibility that he's the best pitcher moved at the August trade deadline before examining other Stuff+ risers from June to July, and a few big movers on the pitching front from the first half of the season. 

Rundown

-- It Starts (Intro Music)

-- Luis Castillo's Recent Changes

-- Castillo as a Seasonal Streamer?

-- Taijuan Walker's First-Half Adjustments

-- Jackson Kowar: Deep League Help in the Second Half?

-- Is Mike Clevinger 'Back'?

-- Other Recent Stuff+ Risers

-- Sandy Alcántara's Continued Ascent

-- Trust Level in Luis Severino's Health?

-- Kyle Wright: Long-Term SP2?

-- Framber Valdez is Better Than DVR Thought

-- Joe Ryan v. Projections & The Model

-- Shane Bieber 3.0?

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Eno and DVR discuss the increasing likelihood of Julio Rodríguez becoming 2023 first-round pick, other movers into the early rounds, recent barrel rate surgers -- including Ryan Mountcastle and Dylan Carlson -- the unique challenge of trading for currently injured players, and a handful of mailbag questions.

Rundown

-- Maybe the Pitch Clock Will Reduce Pitcher Injuries?

-- Julio Rodríguez: First-Round Bound in 2023?

-- A Very Brief J-Rod v. Acuña Comparison

-- Ryan Mountcastle: DVR's Perpetual Skepticism, BB/K Laggards

-- Real-Life Replaceable Power?

-- Dylan Carlson's Adjustments

-- Yordan Alvarez & Other Big Movers

-- A Significant Jump for Jazz Chisholm Jr.?

-- Eno Turns the Tables

-- Trading for Injured Players

-- Making Sense of Triston McKenzie

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss several struggling players who may open up opportunities for significant role changes during the second half of the season. Plus, the latest installment of Prospect of the Week & Beer of the Month!

Rundown

-- Opportunities in the Cards' Rotation?

-- Brad Keller as a Reliever Would Be Interesting

-- Concerns About Cal Quantrill, Despite Good Ratios?

-- Looking Forward to a New Closer in Arizona?

-- How Safe is Ryan Pressly?

-- Joe Barlow: Time to Buy?

-- Germán Márquez: Would Teams Still Trade For Him?

-- Jonathan Schoop Replacements?

-- Second-Half Expectations for Max Muncy & Justin Turner

-- Prospect of the Week

-- Beer of the Month

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the challenge of replacing a star in the wake of Bryce Harper's thumb injury, Alejandro Kirk as an 'unusual' player having a breakout season, the surprising lack of second-half leagues, a messy roster management situation in Pittsburgh, when to chase (and when to punt) batting average, and a promotion Kansas City on the heels of a small trade with Seattle. 

Rundown

-- The Beginning of the Episode (Music)

-- Replacing Bryce Harper (and Other Stars)

-- Alejandro Kirk: Top-15 Position Player?!

-- An Increasingly Crowded Pittsburgh Depth Chart

-- Where Are the Second-Half Drafts?

-- Chasing Batting Average; Who to Target?

-- Breaking News! Carlos Santana to Seattle + Vinnie Pasquantino Promoted

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss several potential 'Buy High' pitchers, on the heels of very strong performances through the first two-and-a-half months of the season. Which starters have taken big steps forward in 2022? Which relievers are sneaky-good trade targets as the deadline approaches? Plus, what is Spencer Strider's ceiling as a starter?

Rundown

-- Shane McClanahan: Elite of the Elite?

-- Tony Gonsolin: What Will the Second Half Bring?

-- Alek Manoah & The Value of a Good Four-Seamer + Two-Seamer

-- Finally Believing in Nestor Cortes Jr.!

-- Martin Pérez, Miles Mikolas

-- Buy-High Relievers?

-- New Bats in San Francisco

-- Spencer Strider's Ceiling as a Starter

-- What's Up with José Berríos?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first six months: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels

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Eno and DVR discuss several potential 'Buy High' hitters, on the heels of very strong performances through the first two-and-a-half months of the season. Will C.J. Cron stay in Colorado beyond the trade deadline? Should you believe in Tommy Edman's step forward? Is Dansby Swanson likely to continue stealing bases at his current clip?

Rundown

-- Anthony Rizzo and Yankees Barrel Rate Risers

-- C.J. Cron: Top-10 Player (So Far) in 2022

-- Did DVR Whiff on Adolis García?

-- Tommy Edman, 2.0?

-- Dansby Swanson: 20+ Steals Coming?

-- Other 'Buy-High' Bats to Consider

-- Paying the Steals Tax?

-- Will Smith is Underperforming his xStats

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first six months: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels

Watch the show on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels

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Eno and DVR are back to discuss a few major shifts in park factors thanks to a myriad of changes for 2022, why trusting smaller volumes of park data can be risky, and how it might be effectively leveraged despite limitations going forward. Plus, questions about rolling barrel rates, Corey Seager's lagging slash line, Freddie Freeman's missing homers, Ranger Suárez, Logan Gilbert, and more.

Rundown

-- Park Factor Changes 

-- St. Louis is Completely Different; Will It Last?

-- How Might We Take Advantage of Parks Playing Differently?

-- Rolling Barrel Rates; Recent Standouts

-- Corey Seager's Disappointing Slash Line

-- Freddie Freeman's Missing Homers

-- Want to Make Sure You Get a Speed Ticket? Do This!

-- Ranger Suárez & Logan Gilbert Mailbag Questions

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

(Query referenced during show: https://atmlb.com/3QurM63)

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DVR is joined by Clay Link, Senior MLB Editor of RotoWire.com to discuss Vinnie Pasquantino, the pursuit of future value, avoiding prospect traps while taking appropriate risk with young players, and much more. 

Rundown

-- Italian Breakfast or Italian Beef?

-- What Matters to Clay When Seeking Future Value?

-- Christopher Morel's Arrival

-- Shifting K% Marks at Double-A for Elite Hitting Prospects?

-- The New Cody Bellinger Baseline?

-- Balancing Prospect Risk Appropriately

-- Ezequiel Duran's Opportunity in Texas

-- A 2022 Mulligan?

-- Finding Joy in This Season's Cincinnati Reds

Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper

Follow Clay on Twitter: @claywlink

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the challenging balance of giving young left-handed hitters ample opportunities against same-handed pitching, a few interesting power surges from hitters at Triple-A, pitchers that have underperformed through the first two months relative to the Pitching Plus model, and more. 

Rundown

-- Jazz Chisholm Jr. v. Lefties

-- Noise in the Very Limited Split Samples

-- Jesús Sánchez & Growing Pains

-- Nolan Gorman & Future Strikeout Rates

-- Luis García and Triple-A Power Surges

-- The Tigers' Lack of Hard Contact

-- Pitching Plus Targets (Current Underperformers)

-- Bat Fitting Like Golf Clubs?

-- How Are Taylor and Tyler Rogers *So* Different?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss how the top of the draft board would look different today compared to the final ADP of 2022. How much would Vlad Jr. and Bo Bichette slide? Who would replace Walker Buehler in the Top 15 overall? And how much would Aaron Judge's injury history factor into his re-do ROS draft slot?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper

e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first six months: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels

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Eno and DVR discuss the disappearance of hitter's counts thanks to reduced fastball usage, hitters that are better equipped to take advantage of a more slider-heavy environment, struggling hitters that continue to lag in production as the end of May draws closer, and a few pitchers in need of adjustments due to poor fastballs. 

Eno's story about the loss of hitter's counts as fastball use changes: https://theathletic.com/3331525/

Rundown

-- Goodbye to Hitter's Counts

-- Hitters With Good Results Against Sliders

-- Good Against Sliders, Bad Against Fastballs?

-- Struggling Bats: What To Do?

-- Where Did Robbie Grossman's Power Go?

-- Making Sense of Nelson Cruz's 2022

-- Rebound Coming from Yasmani Grandal?

-- Making Sense of Jeffrey Springs

-- Fastball Laggards

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the ongoing challenge of finding common ground with in-season player valuations, the arrival of the annual 'Trade Itch', Tommy Edman's surprising start to 2022, the possibility of a summer home-run surge, and more. 

Rundown

-- Finding Common Ground with In-Season Player Values

-- Managing Ratios When Doing Well

-- Dealing with Roster Surplus

-- Tommy Edman's Great Start; Similarities to Ozzie Albies

-- Joey Votto: Bat Change + Return to Health = Summer Turnaround?

-- Gary Sánchez: Any New Adjustments?

-- Expecting A Summer Home-Run Surge

-- Ballpark Shadows; Advantages for Pitchers?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the promotion of Matthew Liberatore and Nolan Gorman, Shane McClanahan's rise to 'ace' status, a few potential breakouts in progress, the value of xStats as a comparative tool, and more. 

Rundown

-- Steps Forward From Josh Naylor & Manuel Margot?

-- Hard-Hit Rate Laggards

-- Nolan Gorman & Matthew Liberatore: Short-Term Expectations

-- Pavin Smith & Willi Castro as Deep League Darts

-- Shane McClanahan & Tarik Skubal Move Way Up

-- Prospect of the Week!

-- Using xStats as a Comparative Tool?

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss ways to consider making adjustments for struggling teams now that the calendar has progressed to the second half of May. Plus, opportunities to find value with pitchers in unique roles, and reasons for optimism about Ke'Bryan Hayes' future power contributions. 

Rundown

-- How to Fix a Struggling Squad

-- Accepting a 'Sell Low' Situation

-- Pitching Profiles to Target

-- Stuff v. Role & Non-Closer Pitchers

-- Felix Bautista's Future 

-- Ke'Bryan Hayes, Launch Angle & Future Power

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In episode two of the Future of Sports series, The Athletic's Mike Smeltz looks at how the team experience may change in the future: increased use of technology in gameplay, robotic umpires and the unique initiatives of a startup sports league.

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In episode one of the Future of Sports series, The Athletic's Mike Smeltz looks at how the fan experience may change: how going to games, watching games at home and how memorabilia is shifting from physical to digital.

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Eno and RotoWire's James Anderson to discuss when to decide to sell in dynasty leagues, which prospects will be big movers on his prospect list next week, what his ranking process is like, how organizational context matters for prospects, and end with a would you rather between two veteran pitchers who have been pitching well.

Rundown

-Deciding when to sell in your dynasty league

-What types of prospects to rebuild around

-James Anderson’s top prospect target

-Young major leaguers on the fringe that might take a job

-Organizational contexts for prospect ranking

-More Twins depth chart discussion

-Three top-ten prospect outfielders?

-Learning from Jeremy Pena and Hedbert Perez

-Moxie, pitch mix, and minor league Stuff+

-Max Meyer vs. Grayson Rodriguez

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the impressive debut of George Kirby, several prospects emerging to find playing time at the big-league level, players exceeding their scouting grades and expected production, bat humidors, Justin Verlander's post-surgery arsenal, and more. 

Rundown

- George Kirby's Debut; Future Expectations

- Interest in Josh Winder?

- Royce Lewis & Jose Miranda

- Can Juan Yepez Maintain an Everyday Role?

- MJ Melendez & The Royals' C-1B-DH Crowd

- A Boring Pickup in Cincinnati?

- Grit+ & Exceeding Expectations

- Bat Humidor Technology

- Justin Verlander Pre v. Post-Surgery Stuff

- Odds & Ends: Yadiel Hernandez, Michael King v. Luis Gil & Stuff+ Laggards

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Eno and DVR discuss the value of not swinging the bat, and why that might be a big problem for baseball to solve. Plus, they examine several slow-starting pitchers in search of underlying problems that could persist, and potential trade targets. 

Rundown

- Swinging Is Bad, Mmmm K?

- Is Something Wrong With Freddy Peralta?

- José Berríos' Slow Start

- Fading Interest in Targeting Charlie Morton?

- What's Up with Trevor Rogers?

- Tyler Mahle: Not an SP1 (Shocker)

- "You Can't Go Rapid Fire On José Urquidy!"

- Taking the 'L' with Kyle Hendricks

- Germán Márquez's Awful Start

- Scouting & Projections

- xStats v. ROS Projections

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss several slow-starting bats and try to determine where there are opportunities to make viable trades, and where the early downturn in performance might be a warning sign of a disappointing 2022 season. Plus, they discuss some of the fallout from rosters shrinking, and Joe Ryan's success despite underwhelming pitching model numbers. 

Rundown

- Making Sense of Marcus Semien's April

- Is Anything Actually Wrong with Whit Merrifield?

- Randy Arozarena's GB% & O-Swing% Spike

- Is Ketel Marte Broken?

- Trent Grisham's Post 2020 Stumble

- Jesse Winker's Quiet Start in Seattle

- Franmil Reyes & Max Muncy

- Justin Turner v. Time

- Willie Calhoun Wants a Trade; Would You Trade For Him?

- Josh Lowe Heads Back to Durham

- Joe Ryan v. the Pitching+ Model

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss a the idea of streaming stolen bases, Adalberto Mondesi's ACL injury, early fallers and subsequent shallow-league drop considerations, stabilization points, and the potential value of foul balls, and more. 

Rundown

Streaming Steals in Daily Leagues?

Adalberto Mondesi Suffers a Torn ACL

When Can You Determine a Player is Droppable Based on Statcast Numbers?

Stuff+/Pitching+ Stabilizing

Is Charlie Morton a Buy Low?

Foul Balls & Hit Probability

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss their weekend roster churn -- including another low-cost closer dart in the wake of a poor outing Sunday -- early hard-hit rate surprises, another major injury for Eloy Jiménez, whether the ball has historically been in a state of flux, and more. 

Rundown

- Taking a Chance on Tanner Scott in the Face of a Sunday Meltdown

- Cristian Javier Moves Back Into the Houston Rotation

- Early Hard-Hit Ball Leaders

- Admiration of the Yankees' Pitching Depth

- Keeping the Faith in Brandon Marsh (& Christian Yelich)

- Has the Ball Always Been Fluctuating?

- Micro Decisions: Daily League Lineups

- Opportunities in the White Sox's Lineup with Injuries

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss their ongoing search for quality innings, how to adjust if you're already looking to make up ground in pitching categories, a new early-season hitting metric to consider, reaching maximum velocities on a situational basis, and more. 

Rundown

- Finding Starting Pitchers Early in the Season

- Beyond the Streamers

- Regrets About an Early Tyler Wells Drop?

- Prospect of the Week is Back!

- A New Early Sample Hitting Metric (From Dorsey)

- Situational Max Velocity?

- An Exercise in Pickup Decisions

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss early worry, weekend drops, fast-rising starting pitchers, Jacob deGrom's long-term approach with velocity, Alex Verdugo's impressive start to the season, and Jarren Duran's eventual path back to a prominent role in Boston. 

Rundown

When to Worry: Early Slump v. Problematic Underlying Numbers

Healthy Drops From Week 12

Is Owen Miller a Significant Upgrade?

Fast-Rising Starting Pitchers

Am I Mad at Jacob deGrom, or Am I Just Wrong?

Kyle Wright's Adjustments

Pitching_Bot's 2022 Team Pitching Summaries

Alex Verdugo's Early Statcast Numbers & Jarren Duran's Path

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss Clayton Kershaw's gem in Minnesota, playing the long game with his health, changes made by Jesús Luzardo in Miami, a new Stuff+ Leader, making early drop decisions, and more. 

Rundown

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss a busy Opening Weekend including a few disappointing performances from fantasy aces, more confusion with multiple teams deploying closer committees, in-season tools they use for managing their rosters, and much more. 

Rundown

Disappointing Aces: Brandon Woodruff, Shane Bieber & Julio Urías

Do Foul Balls Matter in Pitching Performances?

More Committee Questions & Electric Firemen

Weekend Starting Pitcher Stuff+ Leaders

Bigger Leadoff Bats

In-Season Management Tools & Projections

Plate Discipline & Quality of Contact

Steven Kwan's Power Ceiling

Hector Neris Appeal w/Ryan Pressly's Velo Dip

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the Opening Day swap between the Twins and Padres, and the fallout for each team's bullpen and rotation. Plus, their takeaways from draft season, most rostered players for 2022, and a few bold predictions from DVR. 

Rundown

The Free-Agent Frenzy in LABR

An Opening Day Twins-Padres Swap

Late Draft Season Helium: Bobby Witt Jr. & Julio Rodríguez v. CJ Abrams

Most Rostered Players

Draft Season Takeaways

DVR's Bold Predictions (Judged by Eno)

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss the Jacob deGrom shoulder injury, Spencer Torkelson and Matt Brash making the Opening Day rosters, Craig Kimbrel's bumpy spring debut with the Dodgers, the Angels' decision to DFA Justin Upton, and more.

Rundown

Jacob deGrom's Shoulder Injury

Opportunity for Tylor Megill

Spencer Torkelson Makes Opening Day Roster

Craig Kimbrel-AJ Pollock Trade

Gavin Lux is DVR's New Victor Robles

Justin Upton DFA's by Angels

Matt Brash & Reid Detmers Earn Rotation Spots

Important Show Links!

Swab for Caryn: https://linktr.ee/SWABFORCARYN

Steve Moyer Memorabilia Auction: https://kitsonauctions.hibid.com/catalog/351463/steve-moyer-estate-and-sports-memorabilia-auction/?

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Important Show Links!

Swab for Caryn: https://linktr.ee/SWABFORCARYN

Steve Moyer Memorabilia Auction: https://kitsonauctions.hibid.com/catalog/351463/steve-moyer-estate-and-sports-memorabilia-auction/?

Eno and DVR sort through the growing number of closer committees around the league and discuss their approach to build teams with enough saves potential. Plus, they discuss a question about the predictability of starting pitcher's workloads, opportunities for a few forgotten players, and a chance to help friends of Rates & Barrels (links above). 

Rundown

Bullpen News, Bullpen Blues?

Cubs, Padres, Rockies, Reds

It Gets Worse!

Rangers & Pirates

Clarity in Tampa Bay?

Predicting Starter Workloads

Greg Allen & Forgotten Players Battling for Time This Spring

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Eno and DVR discuss a few takeaways from another weekend of drafts including the first wave of NFBC Main Event drafts. Closers continue to rise, Jacob deGrom shoots back into the first round, and early oatmeal players take a tumble down the board. Plus, is it time to target Cody Bellinger amidst a strikeout-heavy spring? And, how will the use of humidors in all 30 MLB parks change offensive output?

Rundown

Eno Main Event; Being 'Ready' On Draft Day

Another Bump in Closer Prices

Discounts on Injured Players

Seiya Suzuki & Logan Gilbert Move Up

Cody Bellinger's Spring Struggles

All 30 MLB Parks to Use Humidor

Fantasy Baseball Category Ideas

Dakota Hudson and the Pitching+ Model

Cleveland's Pitching Development

Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss a few takeaways from draft season so far including the choice between overpaying for early speed v. early steals, risky injury profiles, and new teams for Tommy Pham, Randal Grichuk and Raimel Tapia. 

Rundown

What Have We Learned This Draft Season? (So Far)

Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Injury Discount

Innings & Injury Risk

Lingering Concerns About Shane Bieber?

Randal Grichuk to Colorado, Raimel Tapia to Toronto

Tommy Pham Signs with the Reds

Tommy Edman's Hold on the Leadoff Spot

Shane McClanahan's Hard Contact Issue

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR discuss a busy weekend that included more big signings as Trevor Story (Boston), Carlos Correa (Minnesota), Nicholas Castellanos (Phillies), and Jorge Soler (Marlins) found new teams, Luke Voit gets traded to San Diego, Kenley Jansen relocates to Atlanta, and MacKenzie Gore impresses in his first outing of the spring. 

Rundown

Trevor Story Chooses the Red Sox

Carlos Correa to Minnesota w/Multiple Opt-Outs

Kyle Schwarber & Nicholas Castellanos to Philly

Jorge Soler: An Undervalued Masher in Miami?

Kenley Jansen to Atlanta?!

Luke Voit Traded to San Diego

Tyler Anderson Signs with Dodgers

Drew Smyly to the Cubs

Injury Update

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Eno and DVR discuss the latest round of signings, trades and injury updates including Freddie Freeman to the Dodgers, Kris Bryant to the Rockies, Seiya Suzuki to the Cubs, and big trades that sent Matt Chapman to Toronto, and Jesse Winker + Eugenio Suárez to Seattle. 

Rundown

Freddie Freeman to the Dodgers

Kris Bryant to the Rockies!(?)

Seiya Suzuki to the Cubs

Matt Champan Traded to Toronto

Jesse Winker & Eugenio Suárez to Seattle

Anthony Rizzo Returns to the Yankees

Injury Updates: Jack Flaherty, Chris Sale, Zac Gallen, Jacob deGrom

Minor Moves

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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Eno and DVR finish their 2022 Position Preview series with a breakdown of catchers, and a few UT-only players including Shohei Ohtani, Franmil Reyes & Nelson Cruz. 

Groups by NFBC ADP Tiers

Tier 1 – Top 50(ish) Overall Catchers

Salvador Perez, J.T. Realmuto & Will Smith

Tier 2 – Top 50-110 Overall Catchers

Daulton Varsho, Yasmani Grandal & Willson Contreras

Tier 3 – Top 110-200 Overall Catchers

Tyler Stephenson, Keibert Ruiz, Mitch Garver & Adley Rutschman

Tier 4 – Top 200-300 Overall Catchers

Christian Vázquez, Travis d’Arnaud, Elias Díaz, Alejandro Kirk, Mike Zunino, Omar Narváez, Gary Sánchez, Sean Murphy, Carson Kelly, Joey Bart & Max Stassi

Late Darts

UT-Only Bats

Shohei Ohtani, Franmil Reyes & Nelson Cruz

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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com

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