Bloomberg Surveillance

- Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors
- Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro
- Gennadiy Goldberg, Head: US Rates Strategy at TD Securities
- Kelly Grieco, Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center

Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, joins to discuss the outlook for markets and the labor market ahead of Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro, talks about the chances of a September rate cut as mixed data on inflation and the consumer come in. Gennadiy Goldberg, Head: US Rates Strategy at TD Securities, discusses the Fed's rate easing cycle and when it could begin. Kelly Grieco, Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center, breaks down the Trump-Putin summit and what's next for the war in Ukraine.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 18th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Michael Darda, Chief Economist at Roth Capital Partners, joins to discuss the Fed's case for a rate cut and what he expects from Jackson Hole this week. Traders are staying cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s annual retreat at Jackson Hole later this week, with Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech keenly watched for guidance on a September interest-rate cut.
2) Blake Gwinn, Head of US Rates Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, joins to discuss his rate cut call as traders prep for Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Investor expectations for monetary easing next month fluctuated in recent days, pricing in more than a quarter-point cut at one point, amid mixed signals on inflation and the strength of US consumers.
3) Angela Stent, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute, offers her analysis of the Trump-Putin summit and what Russian President Vladimir Putin gained from the meeting. President Trump and Vladimir Putin agreed that the US could offer security guarantees to Ukraine, according to Steve Witkoff, Trump's special envoy. The details of the security guarantees and any potential territorial concessions remain unclear, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio offering less certainty on the topic than Witkoff.
4) Kona Haque, Head of Commodities Research at ED&F Man, discusses her note on the major moves in coffee prices and how tariffs will affect it, and offers her macro and oil outlook. Coffee remains highly volatile due to geopolitical and weather instability.

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US President Donald Trump called his meeting with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin “extremely productive” but indicated that a deal to end the war had still not been finalized, adding that he would speak to NATO allies and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy.

“There’s no deal until there’s a deal,” Trump said Friday in Anchorage, Alaska as he stood alongside Putin for a joint event. 

Putin spoke first at the event, casting the conversations as useful and said they were held “in a constructive atmosphere.” He talked of unspecified agreements with Trump, and suggested that Ukraine was only one of multiple issues discussed, pointing to the potential for increased trade and business cooperation as well as work in the Arctic and in space exploration.

The event followed the longest ever face-to-face meeting between the two leaders.

On this special edition of Bloomberg Balance of Power, we hear instant reaction to and analysis of the summit and the press conference. Host Joe Mathieu speaks with:

• Bloomberg Politics Contributors Rick Davis and Jeanne Sheehan Zaino.
• Bloomberg Managing Editor Kevin Whitelaw. 
• Bloomberg Chief Political Correspondent Annmarie Hordern.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Peter Tchir & Jennifer Lee.

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- Binky Chadha, Chief US Equity & Global Strategist at Deutsche Bank
- Eddie Fishman, Professor at Columbia University
- Marc Sumerlin, Managing Partner and founder at Evenflow Macro
- Veronica Clark, Director: Research at Citi

Binky Chadha, Chief US Equity & Global Strategist at Deutsche Bank, joins to discuss his S&P target and outlook for equities amid policy and global uncertainty. Eddie Fishman, Professor at Columbia University, previews the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. Marc Sumerlin, Managing Partner and founder at Evenflow Macro, discusses the latest on the Fed and chair candidates. Veronica Clark, Director: Research at Citi, offers her outlook on markets, the economy, and inflation.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 15th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Kate Moore, CIO at Citi Wealth, brings us into retail sales and discusses the outlook for equities and rate cuts amid concern over an inflation resurgence. S&P 500 futures edged higher 0.1% after a flat session Thursday, following back-to-back record closes earlier in the week, after a surprising PPI report that showed higher services costs in the US as tariffs take effect.
2) Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, talks about how markets might play or shrug off the Trump-Putin summit and inflation fears reigniting in the US. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 advanced 0.2% toward the highest level since March amid guarded hopes that Friday’s US-Russia summit could be an initial step toward brokering a peace deal in Ukraine and thawing relations.
3) Heidi Crebo-Rediker, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, talks about the Trump-Putin summit and why she believes there's "no chance" that Russia negotiates a ceasefire on acceptable terms for Europe and Ukraine. President Trump and Russian president Vladimir Putin will measure success at their summit in Alaska very differently, with Trump seeking a ceasefire in Ukraine and Putin seeing the meeting as a win without making concessions.
4) Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, reacts to retail sales and discusses the paradigm shifts across global economies.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Jim Bianco & Scott Ladner.

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- Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research
- Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies
- David Malpass, former President at The World Bank
- Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP

Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research, discusses the equity bull case amid clarity on tariff policy and the potential for rate cuts. Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies, previews the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. David Malpass, former President at The World Bank, discusses political and economic priorities for the second Trump administration with just over a year to go until the 2026 Midterms. Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP, reacts to jobless claims and PPI and talks about the health of the US labor market.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 14th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Jim Bianco, founder at Bianco Research, joins for an extended discussion on the Fed and rate cuts, as he calls for the Fed to hold and believes an easing cycle would mark a serious policy error. US short-dated bonds yields are near their lowest level in more than three months, reflecting conviction among traders that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month.
2) Dean Curnutt, CEO and founder at Macro Risk Advisors, joins to talk about the "GOAT Portfolio" and the volatility outlook as the Fed looks like it could soon ease monetary policy. Henry Allen, macro strategist for Deutsche Bank AG, said that "suddenly a 25 basis point rate cut seems fairly modest and achievable" in contrast to the large moves called for by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and President Donald Trump.
3) Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, talks the resilience in equities and the pain trade as we get jobless claims and PPI.
4) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, joins for an extended look at geopolitical risks ahead of the Trump-Putin summit and how it will ripple through markets. President Trump warned he would impose "very severe consequences" if Vladimir Putin didn't agree to a ceasefire agreement. Trump said he hoped to use his meeting with Putin to set up a "quick second meeting" with Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy, and that he would "rate" the call with European leaders "a 10." Trump assured leaders that he wouldn't negotiate territories with Putin and would push the Russian leader to meet with Zelenskiy, according to multiple people briefed on the discussions.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on Walmart's newest employee benefit and the Financial Times' sotry on Italy expanding in the pet service industry.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with David Seif & Jens Nordvig.

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- Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary
- Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab
- Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities
- Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income

Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary, joins to discuss tariffs, US economic data, the Fed, and the economic priorities of the second Trump administration. Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, talks about the sustainability of the equity rally as tariffs take hold. Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities, talks about the latest developments in President Trump's economic and political priorities. Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income, talks about recent eco data and the outlook for the US economy.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 13th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Jens Nordvig, founder & CEO at Exante Data, joins for an extended discussion about FX opportunities and President Trump's strategy to weaken the dollar.
2) David Seif, Chief Economist for Developed Markets at Nomura, joins to discuss recent eco data and why September may mark the beginning of a Fed easing cycle. Equity markets are swept up in a risk-on rally as a modest rise in US goods prices has tempered fears over the impact of tariffs, bolstering bets that the Fed will resume rate cuts.
3) Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss his S&P target and why he remains extra bullish in the second half of 2025. A rally in global stocks persisted as expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts stoked risk-on sentiment and drove bond yields lower.
4) Stephanie Baker, Senior Writer with Bloomberg News, previews the Trump-Putin Summit. Vladimir Putin is heading to a summit with President Trump confident that Russia is in a dominant position on the battlefield as his military advances in Ukraine. Putin has repeatedly rejected calls for a ceasefire and is likely to seek major territorial concessions in return for one, according to the article.
5) Brent Schutte, Chief Investment Officer at Northwestern Mutual, brings us into the market open and talks about a potential equity boon from rate cuts.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Rebecca Patterson & Ira Jersey.

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- David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management
- Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO
- Jon Lieber, Head: Research at Eurasia Group
- Elizabeth Economy, Hargrove Senior Fellow and professor at Stanford University

David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management and Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO react to CPI and discuss thee outlook for inflation and rate cuts in the US. Jon Lieber, Head: Research at Eurasia Group, talks about President Trump's tariffs and economic and political priorities in a second Trump administrating. Elizabeth Economy, Hargrove Senior Fellow and professor at Stanford University, discusses the latest developments in US-China relations

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 12th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU and Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater, react to CPI and discusses weakening US labor data, as well as President Trump naming EJ Antoni the new BLS chief. Despite economists concerned about the potential for rising inflation, Wall Street firms, including JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley, expect investors to focus on strong corporate earnings and interest-rate cuts, according to Andrew Tyler and Mike Wilson.
2) Ethan Harris, former Head of Global Economic Research at Bank of America, talks about CPI and the reliability of American economic data with a new BLS chief. President Trump wrote that Antoni will ensure that the numbers released are "HONEST and ACCURATE", and Steve Bannon called Antoni "the perfect guy at the perfect time to run the BLS." Erica Groshen said that what worries her is that the nominee and his work are not well known in the business, academic or public service communities, and Jason Furman said that Antoni is "completely unqualified" to lead BLS.
3) Kira Rudik, Member of Parliament for the Ukrainian government, on the war in Ukraine, President Trump's summit with Vladimir Putin in Alaska this Friday, and the scheduled call between President Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskiy and other European leaders on Wednesday. President Trump is downplaying expectations for his upcoming meeting with Russian leader Vladimir Putin, calling it a "feel-out meeting."
4) Huw van Steenis, Partner at Oliver Wyman, discusses private credit outlook and the enablement of retirement savings to invest in private assets.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Wall Street Journal on salaries and Bloomberg's reporting on Taylor Swift's album announcement.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Angela Stent & Jonathan Hill.

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- Eric Rosengren, former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
- Peter Oppenheimer, Chief Global Equity Strategist at Goldman Sachs
- Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners
- Ryan Petersen, Chairman and CEO of Flexport

Eric Rosengren, former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, joins to discuss recent eco data and outlook for the US labor market and potential for rate cuts. Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss the Trump administration's trade policy and how it will impact its broader economic agenda. Peter Oppenheimer, Chief Global Equity Strategist at Goldman Sachs, joins to discuss global inflation and the equity outlook in the US and abroad. Ryan Petersen, Chairman and CEO of Flexport, talks tariffs and how the US' reshaped trade policy impacts businesses.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 11th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI, joins to talk about the AI rally and whether there will be more choppiness in equities to end 2025. Stocks erased gains as traders dialed back optimism that a summit between US President Trump and Russia’s Vladimir Putin would bring the war in Ukraine closer to a resolution. Traders are also awaiting US inflation data on Tuesday to gauge the impact of tariffs on prices.
2) Lauren Saidel-Baker, Economist at ITR Economics, previews tomorrow's CPI report and talks about a well-positioned consumer in spite of a weakening labor market. US consumers probably experienced a slight pickup in underlying inflation in July as retailers raised prices on items subject to higher import duties. Higher US tariffs have started to filter through to consumers in categories such as household furnishings and recreational goods, but a separate measure of core services inflation has so far remained tame.
3) Angela Stent, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute, previews the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. Markets initially found some reassurance in renewed diplomatic efforts to end the war in Ukraine, with President Trump and Russian president Vladimir Putin set to meet in Alaska on Friday, even as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy continues to reject ceding land. However, optimism in markets began to dim.
4) Geoffrey Meacham, Global Head of Healthcare at Citi, discusses his price targets across health stocks and why he's signaling a rebound for Eli Lilly after last week's drop.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on noise cameras becoming the new frontier in automated traffic enforcement and a Bloomberg News piece on sports entering its streaming era.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with James Steel & Dan Tannebaum.

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- Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy at Bank of America
- Bruce Hirsh, former Chief International Trade Counsel at the US Senate Finance Committee
- John Vinh, Equity Research Analyst at Keybanc
- Collin Martin, Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab

Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy at Bank of America, discusses the equity bull case and her S&P 500 target. Bruce Hirsh, former Chief International Trade Counsel at the US Senate Finance Committee, discusses the Trump administration's tariff strategy and outlook for US trade. John Vinh, Equity Research Analyst at Keybanc, talks about Intel after President Trump called on their CEO to resign. Collin Martin, Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab, discusses how the bond market is pricing in recent economic data.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 8th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Ian Lyngen, Head of US Rates at BMO Capital Markets, talks about the 2-year and 10-year yield paths amid economic weakening and the outlook for rate cuts. A gauge of the dollar was was flat and Treasury yields were little changed after Thursday’s a weak sale of 30-year debt signaled waning appetite for US debt.
2) Larry McDonald, founder at the Bear Traps Report, joins to talk about how the bond market is pricing in recent tariff and economic policies out of the Trump admin and speculates how President Trump could reshape the Fed and its impact on markets. The S&P 500 is near a record high following a 30% surge from its April lows, supported by robust corporate earnings and hopes the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to support the economy.
3) Dan Tannebaum, Partner and Global Anti-Financial Crime Practice Leader at Oliver Wyman, talks about the Trump admin's approach to the war in Ukraine and how global economies are managing US tariffs. President Trump said he’d be willing to meet with Vladimir Putin, even if Putin hadn’t yet agreed to also sit down with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. Trump told reporters he was “very disappointed” with Putin’s behavior and left open the possibility of additional penalties over the war in Ukraine as soon as Friday.
4) Stefanie Stantcheva, Economist at Harvard University, talks about how "zero-sum thinking" is reshaping economics and how a rearing back of inflation could further weigh on American consumers.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on doctors warning about "AI psychosis" and a Business Insider story on how TikTok users are booking hotels.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Anna Wong & Kathy Bostjancic.

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- Kate Moore, CIO: Wealth at Citi Wealth
- Everett Eissenstat, former Chief Trade Counsel at the Senate Financial Committee
- Yelena Shulyatyeva, Senior US Economist at The Conference Board
- Mark Hoplamazian, CEO at Hyatt

Kate Moore, CIO: Wealth at Citi Wealth, discusses asset allocation and the equity bull case amid continued policy uncertainty out of Washington. Everett Eissenstat, former Chief Trade Counsel at the Senate Financial Committee, discusses President Trump's global tariffs taking effect. Yelena Shulyatyeva, Senior US Economist at The Conference Board, reacts to jobless claims and talks about weakening in the labor market. Mark Hoplamazian, CEO at Hyatt, discusses the travel industry, the impact of tariffs, and the health of US and international consumers.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 7th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Kelsey Berro, Executive Director: Fixed Income at JP Morgan Investment Management, joins to discuss fixed income markets and portfolio positioning as she asses Fed rate cuts and eco fundamentals. Three Fed policymakers voiced concerns about the US labor market Wednesday with remarks that pointed to a potential interest-rate cut in September. Fed San Francisco President Mary Daly said policymakers will probably need to adjust interest rates in “coming months” to prevent a further deterioration in hiring.
2) John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer & Co., discusses his bullish S&P stance and whether it could change amid policy uncertainty. Stocks gained in early trading after the Kremlin confirmed Presidents Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump will meet for summit talks, raising hopes of a truce in Russia’s war with Ukraine.
3) Mark Dowding, CIO at RBC BlueBay Asset Management, talks about how tariff rates could weigh on the global economy, risk appetite, and the US labor market. Market sentiment got a boost earlier after President Trump announced that companies producing goods in the US, such as Apple Inc., would be eligible for exemptions from his proposed 100% tariff on chip imports. Increasing speculation on a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut are also supporting optimism in stocks as sweeping new tariffs to reshape global trade officially took hold Thursday.
4) Joe Carson, former Chief Economist at AlllianceBernstein and publisher of The Carson Report, talks about the dismissal of the BLS chief and what it means for broader US economic policy and outlook.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a New York Times story on how President Trump is weighing getting involved in NYC Mayors race to try to stop Zohran Mandani and a WSJ report on college kids using Google calendar for all sorts of things.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Mike Wilson & Darrell Cronk.

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- Stephen Auth, CIO: Equity at Federated Hermes
- Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist: Private Wealth & Retirement at Partners Group
- Frank Lee, Global Head: Tech Hardware & Semi Research at HSBC
- Richard Greenfield, Partner at Lightshed Partners

Stephen Auth, CIO: Equity at Federated Hermes, joins for a discussion on market volatility and economic data and offers his market outlook for 2025. Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist: Private Wealth & Retirement at Partners Group, discusses opportunities in private investments and the outlook for private markets. Frank Lee, Global Head: Tech Hardware & Semi Research at HSBC, talks tech in the US and globally and 2025 growth across the space. Richard Greenfield, Partner at Lightshed Partners, discusses Disney earnings.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 6th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Mike Wilson, Chief US Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley, joins for an extended discussion on the equity rally, his S&P target, and whether he expects further volatility this year. European stocks erased an advance and US equity futures posted modest gains as investors assessed US President Trump’s latest tariff threats and disappointing economic data.
2) Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist at Partners Group, joins for an extended discussion on private investments and how she's approaching markets and investing in her new role. Recently, Apollo CEO Marc Rowan said trading private assets has the potential to turn the industry “on its head” and that those who resist it are generally charging high fees. Rowan stated that in every industry where transparency of pricing and daily price availability has taken place, the industry has grown massively, and that Apollo's partnership with banks to trade private credit will provide real-time pricing on the asset class.
3) Steve Auth, CIO, Equities at Federated Hermes, talks the soft-hard data gap and the outlook for equities. Data Tuesday showed weakening US services amid sticky price pressures, further complicating the Federal Reserve’s policy challenges after last week’s weak jobs numbers.
4) Douglas Holtz-Eiken, President at the American Action Forum and former Director of the Congressional Budget Office, joins to discuss the dismissal of the BLS chief and the tariff impact on the US economy.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Bloomberg's coverage of Disney's ESPN buying NFL Network and other assets and Business Insider's story on Microsoft's stricter return-to-office policy.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Paul Donovan & Erica Groshen 

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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• Jack Caffrey, Equity Portfolio Manager, JPMorgan Asset Management
• Lauren Goodwin, Chief Market Strategist/Economist, NY Life Insurance
• Amanda Lynam, Head of Macro Credit Research, BlackRock 

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 5th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Andrew Cuomo, NYC Mayoral candidate and former NY Governor, on the state of the race and how New York City is a national story.
2) Erica Groshen, former Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and currently a Senior Advisor at Cornell, on President Trump firing a BLS chief after weak jobs data.
3) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, on President Trump's tariff push
4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including how AI is listening to your meetings and how NYC's iconic Flatiorn Building will get bathed in lights for the first time in 123 years

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- Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist and founder at Yardeni Research
- Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist at the Mastercard Economics Institute
- Lynn Martin, President at NYSE
- Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former NY Fed President

Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist and founder at Yardeni Research, discusses the outlook for the equity rally after President Trump's tariff deadline and his firing of the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist at the Mastercard Economics Institute, talks about the outlook for the US consumer, consumer spending, and the US economy. Lynn Martin, President at NYSE, discusses the outlook for IPOs, regulation, and crypto products. Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former NY Fed President, discusses his Opinion column on how the Fed is currently under siege and why he believes it will come out OK.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 31st, 2025
Featuring:
1) Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, offers her S&P target and talks about risks to the market and whether US government data can be trusted. Stocks clawed back some of last week’s steep losses as equity investors pinned their hopes on the Federal Reserve to ride to the rescue with interest-rate cuts following Friday’s dismal US jobs data.
2) Kathy Jones, Chief Investment Strategist, Fixed Income at Charles Schwab, on how the bond market could punish President Trump for firing the BLS chief, or whether the warnings will go unheeded and the market will continue to rally. Treasuries pared last week’s gains, with yields on the 10-year climbing three basis points to 4.25%. The US 10-year yield had dropped 16 basis points Friday, while policy-sensitive two-year yields fell 28 basis points.
3) Kara Murphy, CIO at Kestra Investment Management, brings us into the market open and talk about asset allocation and the equity outlook. Friday’s tumble on Wall Street — sparked by rising US unemployment and slower job creation — boosted bets on a Fed rate cut to support the economy. Traders rushed into Treasuries despite worries about the inflationary effect of President Trump’s tariffs, which have kept policy makers in hawkish mode.
4) Sevasti Balafas, CEO at GoalVest Advisory, discusses the true risks to the market following a big week of eco moves last week and how clients are positioning.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on graduate school and the New York Times' story on Curtis Sliwa's appearance as he runs for NYC mayor.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Stephanie Roth & Michael Darda.

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- Jamieson Greer, US Trade Representative at Office of the US Trade Representative
- Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research
- Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager: Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock
- Tom Forte, Senior Consumer Internet Analyst at Maxim Group
- Michael Collins, Exec Portfolio Advisor: Multi-Sector at PGIM Fixed Income

Jamieson Greer, US Trade Representative at Office of the US Trade Representative, joins Bloomberg Television for a discussion on tariff policy and US trade as the Trump administration reaches its August 1 deadline on tariffs. Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research and Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager: Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock, and Michael Collins, Exec Portfolio Advisor: Multi-Sector at PGIM Fixed Income react to the July jobs report. Tom Forte, Senior Consumer Internet Analyst at Maxim Group, reacts to Apple earnings as Big Tech earnings wrap up.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 30th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, Michael Darda, Chief Economist at Roth Capital, and Kristina Campmany, Senior Portfolio Manager at Invesco, react to the July jobs report.
2) Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at the Yale Budget Lab, offers his latest analysis of US tariffs. The average US tariff will rise to 15.2% if rates are implemented as announced, according to Bloomberg Economics, up from 13.3% earlier — and significantly higher than the 2.3% in 2024 before Trump took office.
3) Anurag Rana, Senior Tech Analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, wraps Amazon and Apple earnings. Amazon dropped in premarket trading after projecting weaker-than-expected operating income and trailing the sales growth of its cloud rivals, while Apple gained after a beat.
4) Sebastien Page, CIO and Head of Global Multi-Asset at T. Rowe Price, joins to discuss staying in the market and asset allocation. Global stocks extended a selloff in early trading as President Trump’s sweeping import tariffs fueled concerns about the outlook for economic growth.
5) Anna Wong, Chief US Economist at Bloomberg Economics, brings us into the market open and discusses her outlook for labor and the impact of US tariffs.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Rich Clarida & Lael Brainard.

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- Esther George, former President and CEO at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
- Jason Furman, Professor: Practice Economic Policy at Harvard Kennedy School
- Walter Piecyk, Partner at Lightshed Partners
- Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment and Portfolio Strategist, Americas at BlackRock

Esther George, former President and CEO at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, joins to discuss Fed Chair Jay Powell's press conference yesterday and the outlook for rate cuts in 2025. Jason Furman, Professor: Practice Economic Policy at Harvard Kennedy School, joins to discuss the outlook for US growth ahead of President Trump's tariff policy deadline. Walter Piecyk, Partner at Lightshed Partners, joins to preview Apple earnings. Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment and Portfolio Strategist, Americas at BlackRock, joins to talk the outlook for equities and the S&P.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 29th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Lael Brainard, Senior Fellow at Harvard University and former Fed Vice Chair and former Director of the National Economic Council, talks about the Fed, rate cuts, and Fed independence. Fed Chair Jay Powell said in his press conference after the Fed held rates yesterday that the central bank needed to stay on guard against inflation risk and rejected arguments for an interest-rate cut.
2) Rich Clarida, Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO, offers his reaction to yesterday's Fed decision and talks about the outlook for rate cuts and Fed independence. Fed Chair Jay Powell said the Fed is well-positioned for now, given lingering uncertainties surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariffs and their economic impact, and that a reasonable base case is that the effects on inflation could be short-lived.
3) Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist at JPMorgan Investment Management, talks markets and rates ahead of tomorrow's jobs report and tariff deadline. Stocks rose in early trading as Big Tech earnings delivered on optimism around the AI boom, with Microsoft Corp. on course to become the second company to reach a $4 trillion market capitalization.
4) Mark Lehmann, CEO at Citizens JMP, on growing M&A sentiment and how the AI race is playing out in San Francisco. It comes as Meta said yesterday it is increasing spending next year, with executives saying now is the time to seize on investment opportunities in artificial intelligence.
5) Anurag Rana, Senior Tech Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, wraps Microsoft earnings and looks ahead to Amazon and Apple.

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Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz discuss remarks from Fed Chair Jay Powell following the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance|

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said interest rates are in the right place to manage continued uncertainty around tariffs and inflation, tempering expectations for a rate cut in September.
“There are many, many uncertainties left to resolve,” Powell told reporters Wednesday following the central bank’s decision to once again keep rates unchanged. “It doesn’t feel like we are very close to the end of that process.”

The Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-2 to hold its benchmark federal funds rate in a range of 4.25%-4.5%, as they have at each of their meetings this year. Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman voted against the decision in favor of a quarter-point cut.

Traders pared back their expectations for rate cuts as Powell spoke. Interest-rate futures indicated roughly even odds on a reduction at the next meeting in September, down from about 60% earlier in the day. Treasuries extended losses, the dollar surged to the highest since May and the S&P 500 fell.

In their post-meeting statement, officials downgraded their view of the US economy, saying “recent indicators suggest that growth of economic activity moderated in the first half of the year.” The Fed had previously characterized growth as expanding “at a solid pace.”

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature a conversation with Abby Joseph Cohen.

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- Jim Bullard, Business School Dean at Purdue University
- Joseph Amato, CIO: Equities at Neuberger Berman
- Heidi Crebo-Rediker, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations
- Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors

Jim Bullard, Business School Dean at Purdue University, looks ahead to the Fed decision and whether the Fed will signal that it will cut rates. Joseph Amato, CIO: Equities at Neuberger Berman, talks about how earnings from Big Tech companies can help propel the S&P rally. Heidi Crebo-Rediker, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, discusses recent trade deals as the August 1st tariff deadline approaches. Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, talks about trade, the Fed, and US labor health.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 28th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Abby Joseph Cohen, professor at Columbia University and former Chief Investment Strategist at Goldman Sachs, brings us into the market open and talks about Fed and trade policy. Fed policymakers are largely expected to hold rates steady for a fifth consecutive meeting in the face of sustained pressure from President Trump on Powell to lower borrowing costs.
2) Amy Wu Silverman, Head of Derivatives Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, joins for an extended discussion on US stock volatility and why expectations are volatile but not volatility itself. S&P 500 contracts were little changed in the lead-up to the Federal Reserve interest-rate decision, which have become a cause of contention between the White House and Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
3) Ryan Majerus, former Assistant General Counsel at the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative during the first Trump Administration, talks about who's driving the Trump administration's trade policy and what tariffs will look like August 1st. President Trump's recent trade deal announcements are light on detail, with key aspects still under negotiation and partners giving mixed signals about what they signed up for.
4) Mark Howard, Managing Director and Senior Multi-Asset Specialist at BNP Paribas, joins to discuss why today will either prove to be a "trifecta" of economic news, or a "trilemma." As the Fed meeting comes into focus in the afternoon, investors will watch for any signs of a greater openness from the Fed to easing when it next gathers in September.
5) Ari Wald, Head of Technical Analysis for Oppenheimer, talks about why the bull market is just overbought but not over. Before the Fed, GDP figures this week will offer an update on the health of the American economy in the buildup to Friday’s key payrolls report. The relentless rush of big earnings continues in the US later, with Microsoft and Meta both reporting.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Myles Miller and Tony Hatch

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• Mike Wilson, Chief US Equity Strategist/Chief Investment Officer, Morgan Stanley
• Kevin Gordon, Director/Senior Investment Strategist, Charles Schwab
• Stephen Stanley, Chief U.S. Economist, Santander U.S. Capital Markets

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 29th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Nisha Patel, Portfolio Manager at Parametric on the big week with the Fed, earnings, and economic data. No one expects the Fed to cut rates, but any shift in guidance or comments from Powell will be key takeaways.
2) Neil Dutta, Head of Economics Renaissance Macro Research, on how Trump won on his terms and the Europeans lost on theirs. Perhaps now that this deal is done (Europe has a slightly higher tariff rate than the UK but same as Japan) they can all pivot to China as a group. China is the surplus country that needs to rebalance. As an aside, the Europeans totally did the Canadians dirty. So much for them getting closer together. No upside for the Canadians to go that route anymore.
3) Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, on a fresh look at the jobs JOLTS (I focus the QUIT rate as it is almost a “crowd sourced” measure of sentiment in the labor force. We get ADP, which has been weak, but the market has chosen to ignore. Finally we get the NFP data, where the headline has surpassed expectations the past 3 months, while the underlying details haven’t fully supported that.
4) Kristy Akullian, Head of iShares Investment Strategy, Americas at BlackRock looks to payrolls on Friday as a key indicator of economic health. Consensus surveys point to +109k jobs added in July vs +147k in June. Labor market data has largely surprised to the upside this summer, with the strong beat in June, and now 6 straight weekly drops in initial claims.

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-Terry Haines, Pangea Policy Founder 
-Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Chief Economist
-Richard Masters, Premier League CEO

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 28th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Kriti Gupta, host of Bloomberg TV & Radio in London, on European capitals are putting a brave face on the trade deal they struck with President Donald Trump, which will see the European Union accept a 15% tariff on most of its exports to the US while reducing levies on some American products to zero.
2) Elizabeth Economy, Hargrove Senior Fellow and co-chair of the Program on the US, China, and the World at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution, on US and Chinese officials are meeting Monday to extend their tariff detente beyond a mid-August deadline, and haggle over other ways to further defuse trade tensions.
3) Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO, on Federal Reserve officials are determined to hold interest rates steady a little while longer, though an increasingly contentious debate at this week’s policy meeting may bolster expectations for rate cuts in the fall.Fed Chair Jerome Powell is under intense pressure from President Donald Trump and his allies to reduce borrowing costs, and may face multiple dissents this week from officials who want to provide support to a slowing labor market.
4) Curtis Sliwa, founder and CEO of the Guardian Angels and NYC Mayoral candidate

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with David Rosenberg & Alicia Levine.

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- Jason Thomas, Head: Global Research & Investment Strategy at Carlyle Group
- Francisco Blanch, Head: Global Commodities & Derivatives Research at Bank of America
- Gregory Daco, Chief Economist at EY Parthenon
- Vishal Khanduja, Head: Broad Markets Fixed Income at Morgan Stanley Investment Management

Jason Thomas, Head: Global Research & Investment Strategy at Carlyle Group, joins to discuss the outlook for US markets and inflation as well as Fed independence. Francisco Blanch, Head: Global Commodities & Derivatives Research at Bank of America, talks about tariffs on copper and opportunities in commodity markets amid volatility. Gregory Daco, Chief Economist at EY Parthenon, joins to discuss the outlook for inflation and labor in the US. Vishal Khanduja, Head: Broad Markets Fixed Income at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, discusses bond market signals on the US economic outlook.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 25th, 2025
Featuring:
1) David Rosenberg, Founder and President Rosenberg Research & Associates, joins for a discussion on rates, US inflation, and the importance of Fed independence. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is under attack by President Trump, who is using a "flood the zone" strategy to pressure the Fed to lower interest rates. Trump's approach involves personally attacking Powell, questioning the Fed's spending, and discussing potential replacements, according to the article.
2) Brian Wieser, Principal at Madison & Wall, talks about the Skydance-Paramount deal getting FCC approval. The US Federal Communications Commission approved Paramount Global's merger with Skydance Media after the Trump administration extracted concessions on the news and entertainment company's political coverage and diversity practices. As part of the accord, Skydance vowed to ensure that the new company's programming embodies a diversity of viewpoints from across the political and ideological spectrum, according to FCC Chairman Brendan Carr.
3) Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY, discusses her S&P 500 target and talks the pain trade and surprises to the upside. Stocks dipped at the end of a record-setting week after lackluster results from Volkswagen AG and Puma SE. Goldman's trading desk wrote in a note to clients "If you are nervous, the market is making it very easy to rent hedges" as a slew of risks loom over the market's record advance.
4) Marta Norton, Chief Investment Strategist at Empower, on asset allocation and potential for market volatility in the second half of 2025.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including an NYT story on the divided New York family, as young voters who supported Zohran Mamdani persuade their parents to do the same, as well as Business Insider's story on how people can Venmo the US government to help pay down the debt.

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