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Bloomberg Surveillance

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Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment. Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television. Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.  Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ. Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.

Episodes

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Published 2024-08-01

Breaking Down the Fed and Trump's Race Comments

42 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyAugust 1st, 2024
Featuring:

  • Rich Clarida, former Fed Vice Chair and Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO, offers his analysis of the FOMC meetings
  • Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, discusses how markets are pricing in Fed Chair Jay Powell's comments and a potential September rate cut
  • Joumanna Bercetche, host of Bloomberg Horizons Mideast & Africa based in Dubai, talks about Israel announcing it killed Hamas' military head and what recent events in the Middle East mean for ceasefire talks
  • Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, breaks down Donald Trump's comments at the NABJ conference and Vice President Kamala Harris' running mate decision


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Published 2024-07-31

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 31, 2024

26 min Transcript
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- James Bullard, Former Fed Reserve President, Dean of the Mitchell E. Daniels, Jr. School of Business at Purdue University
- Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director Economic Policy Research
- Dan Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Analyst

Former St. Louis Fed President James Bullard looks ahead to the July Fed decision and Chair Powell’s news conference. Henrietta Treyz of Veda Partners weighs in on the newest Bloomberg-Morning Consult Poll and what’s next for both the Harris and Trump presidential campaigns. Dan Ives of WedBush reacts to Microsoft earnings.

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Published 2024-07-31

Israel Strike Raises Tensions & a Fed Preview

24 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 31st, 2024
Featuring:

  • Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Insights, on the latest news in Israel and the election in Venezuela
  • Anurag Rana, Senior Tech Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to break down Microsoft earnings
  • Emily Roland, Co-Chief Investment Strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, discusses what's driving the market rotation and if there will be a correction in the S&P ahead of the Fed's rate decision
  • Nancy Cook, Bloomberg News DC reporter, on latest Bloomberg-Morning Consult Poll showing Kamala Harris gaining on Donald Trump in swing states and nationally


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Published 2024-07-30

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 30, 2024

27 min Transcript
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-Bob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments President/CEO/CIO
-Sen. Bill Hagerty (R-TN), Former US Ambassador to Japan
-Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Economist
-Steven Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities US Chief Economist

Bob Doll of Crossmark Global Investments discusses market breadth as Mag 7 earnings continue. Sen Bill Hagerty (R-TN) discusses Donald Trump’s potential second-term policy initiatives. PIMCO's Tiffany Wilding and Steven Ricchutio of Mizuho Securities discuss a possible Fed cut in September.

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Published 2024-07-30

Fed Outlook and a Potential Harris-Trump Debate

28 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 30th, 2024
Featuring:

  • Kathy Bostjancic, Chief Economist at Nationwide, previews this week's FOMC meetings and whether traders could see a surprise July rate cut
  • Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, talks about the Kamala Harris campaign, Harris-Trump debate, and surprises between now and November
  • Ed Ludlow, host of Bloomberg Technology, previews big tech earnings and discusses Tesla's autonomous driving technology
  • Mike Green, Chief Strategist at Simplify Asset Management, gives his market outlook and potential for a labor market break or hard landing in the US


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Published 2024-07-29

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 29, 2024

24 min Transcript
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- Steve Englander, Standard Chartered Bank Global Head: G10 FX Research
- Jeannette Lowe, Strategas Director of Policy Research
- James Camp, Eagle Asset Management Managing Director Strategic Income & Fixed Income
- Zach Griffiths, CreditSights Head of US IG & Macro Strategy

Steve Englander of Standard Chartered discusses Treasury Secretary Yellen’s comments to Bloomberg on Donald Trump and the dollar, and what to expect from the BOJ this week. Jeannette Lowe of Strategas, a Baird company, breaks down Kamala Harris's search for a running mate. James Camp of Eagle Asset Management and Zach Griffiths of CreditSights discuss the data fueling September rate cut bets. 

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Published 2024-07-29

Harris Gains in Polls as the Trump-Harris Race Ramps Up

31 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 29th, 2024
Featuring:

  • Jurrien Timmer, Director: Global Macro at Fidelity Management and Research, talks about the cadence of markets and volatility amid a looming tech correction and potential Fed rate cut
  • Henrietta Treyz, Managing Partner at Veda Partners, discusses the big weekend for Kamala Harris as her presidential campaign kicks into full gear
  • Ayesha Kiani, COO at MNNC Group and NYU professor, reacts to the rhetoric from President Trump on Bitcoin after this weekend's events, and the general market for cryptocurrency in potential Trump or Harris administrations
  • Bloomberg's John Tucker with her Newspaper Headlines


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Published 2024-07-26

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 26, 2024

21 min Transcript
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- Sam Stovall, CFRA Chief Investment Strategist
- Tobin Marcus, Wolfe Research Head of US Politics and Policy
- Giorgio Furlani, AC Milan CEO

Sam Stovall of CFRA discusses the Mag 7 ahead of earnings next week. Wolfe Research's Tobin Marcus breaks down what is next for both Trump and Harris as they hit the campaign trail. AC Milan CEO Giergio Furlani provides insights on the growth of soccer in the US as AC Milan plays in New York City on Saturday.  

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Published 2024-07-26

Markets, PCE, and Obama Endorsement

26 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 26th, 2024
Featuring:

  • Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, discusses how markets are pricing in PCE. Neil Dutta with Renaissance Marco Research also offers his analysis
  • Greg Valliere, Chief US Policy Analyst at AGF Investments, on the Obamas endorsing Kamala Harris and various Israel stances from US leaders
  • Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, wraps this week's big tech earnings, previews those for next week, and Tesla earnings
  • Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo with her Newspaper Headlines


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Published 2024-07-25

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 25, 2024

23 min Transcript
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-Waldemar Szlezak, KKR Global Head of Digital Infrastructure
-Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy,
-Anastasia Amoroso, iCapital Chief Investment Strategist

Waldemar Szlezak of KKR joins to discuss Google and big tech falling on higher capex spending related to AI. PIMCO's Libby Cantrill breaks down what's next for both the Trump and Harris campaigns with close to 100 days to the election.  Anastasia Amoroso of iCapital on why her favorite current trade is the rotation trade. 

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Published 2024-07-25

Are Markets Facing a Looming Correction?

30 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 25th, 2024
Featuring:

  • Stuart Kaiser, Head of US Equity Trading Strategy at Citi, discusses his equity outlook and whether a correction is looming
  • Libby Cantrill, Managing Director: Public Policy at PIMCO, joins to discuss President Biden's Oval Office speech and the path for Democrats and Republicans in the November election
  • Tim Meyer, Associate Professor at Duke Law, discusses his research on the role presidential control over international trade is reshaping presidential powers and the upcoming election, and what it means for the long-term health of the US economy
  • Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo with her Newspaper Headlines


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Published 2024-07-24

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 24, 2024

32 min Transcript
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- Kate Moore, BlackRock Global Allocation Head of Thematic Strategy
- Stephen Trent, Citi Research Managing Director
- Aaron David​​​​ Miller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Senior Fellow
- Michael Kushma, Morgan Stanley Investment Management CIO of Broad Markets Fixed Income
- Derek Burleton, TD Bank Group Vice President & Deputy Chief Economist

Kate Moore of BlackRock discusses the market’s reaction to tech earnings, emphasizing that Q2 results will be crucial for summer sentiment. Stephen Trent of Citi unpacks Delta’s continued cancellation issues post-CrowdStrike incident. Aaron David Miller discusses the upcoming Biden-Netanyahu meeting and its implications for VP Harris and Former President Trump during Netanyahu’s US visit. Derek Burleton of TD Bank and Morgan Stanley's Michael Kushma look ahead to US eco data coming on Thursday and Friday.

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Published 2024-07-24

Reshaping the Presidential Race and Pricing-In Earnings

32 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 24th, 2024
Featuring:

  • Monica DiCenso, Head of Global Investment Opportunities at JPMorgan, discusses her bullish take on equities and why she's "eyes wide open" after a strong rally
  • Gautam Mukunda, author and lecturer, talks about the Harris-Trump race and his book about picking presidential nominees, entitled "Picking Presidents"
  • Dan Ives, Senior Equity Analyst at Wedbush Securities, breaks down Tesla and Google earnings and previews what to expect from the rest of big tech
  • Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo with her Newspaper Headlines


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Published 2024-07-23

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 23, 2024

24 min Transcript
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- Brian Levitt, Invesco Global Market Strategist
- Isaac Boltansky, BTIG Policy Research Director
- Jill Carey Hall, BofA Securities US Equity Strategist

Brian Levitt of Invesco comments on tech rally gains ahead of earnings. BTIG’s Isaac Boltansky unpacks the latest from the Harris campaign. Jill Carey Hall of Bank of America discusses the long-term bullish case for small-caps.

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Published 2024-07-23

Markets, Kamala Harris and the Latest on the 2024 Race

39 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 23rd, 2024
Featuring:

  • Sophia Drossos, Economist at Point72, discusses the outlook for the US economy and key eco data ahead of the Fed's meeting next week, as well as the lack of visibility for markets after President Biden stepped aside from the presidential race
  • James Steel, Chief Commodities Analyst at HSBC, joins for an extended discussion on gold, commodities, and defensive positioning amid political uncertainty
  • Wendy Schiller, Brown University professor and Interim Director of the Watson Institute at Brown, talks about Kamala Harris and the state of the 2024 election against Donald Trump
  • Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo with her Newspaper Headlines


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Published 2024-07-22

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 22, 2024

15 min Transcript
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 -Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director Economic Policy Research

-Earl Davis, BMO Head of Fixed Income and Money Markets

-Matt Raskin, Deutsche Bank Managing Director and U.S. Head of Rates Research

Henrietta Treyz of Veda Partners analyzes the implications following Biden’s withdrawal from the presidential race. BMO’s Earl Davis and Matt Raskin of Deutsche Bank discuss the shift from last week’s mentions of a July rate cut to the current broader consideration of a September cut and delve into Trump Trade and how Biden’s departure impacts market dynamics. 

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Published 2024-07-22

Biden Passes Baton to Harris, Markets React

37 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 22th, 2024
Featuring:

  • Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Insights
  • Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Director, US and Americas Programme
  • Ed Yardeni, President at Yardeni Research
  • Andrew Slimmon, Senior Portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management


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Published 2024-07-19

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 19, 2024

19 min Transcript
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-Darrell Cronk, Wells Fargo Chief Investment Officer
-Katrina Dudley, Franklin Templeton Public Markets Senior Investment Strategist
-Rob Casey, Signum Global Partner & Senior Analyst

Rob Casey of Signum Global provides analysis following Trump’s speech at the RNC and offers insights on the latest developments in the Biden campaign. Darrell Cronk of Wells Fargo discusses potential peaks for the Trump trade amid speculation about Biden’s future. Katrina Dudley of Franklin Templeton explains why the positive price movement in small caps is encouraging. 

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Published 2024-07-19

Latest on the Election, Netflix, and Global Outage

37 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney
July 19th, 2024

Featuring:
Greg Valliere, Chief Policy Analyst with AGF Investments, discusses Trump's RNC speech and President Biden's presidential campaign
Mandeep Singh, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Tech Analyst, on the outage involving CrowdStrike
Abby Joseph Cohen, Professor at Columbia Business School, talks about the intersection between the economy and markets and shares her outlook on the US economy
Alicia Reese, VP of Equity Research at Wedbush Securities, breaks down Netflix earnings

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Published 2024-07-18

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 18, 2024

37 min Transcript
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-Jay Peloksy, TPW Advisory CIO & Co-Founder
-Subadra Rajappa, Société Générale Head of US Rates Strategy
-Christopher Harvey, Wells Fargo Head of Equity Strategy

Jay Pelosky of TPW Advisory discusses the big rotation in the equity market, his expectations for the US presidential race, and his global investment outlook. SocGen's Subadra Rajappa says the market may be over-aggressive in pricing-in multiple Fed rate cuts by the end of the year. Christopher Harvey of Wells Fargo explains why the Fed's current policy trajectory 'might be probably the oddest easing cycle' he's ever seen.

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Published 2024-07-18

The Nation Meets JD Vance and Tech Pulls Back

29 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 18th, 2024
Featuring:

  • Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, on JD Vance's VP speech and previewing Trump's GOP nomination acceptance speech Thursday night
  • Jim Bianco, president at Bianco Research, discusses the equity rally, the NASDAQ pullback, and a potential looming correction
  • Huw van Steenis, Vice Chair at Oliver Wyman, talks about economically turbocharging the UK and Europe
  • Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo on Newspaper Headlines


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Published 2024-07-17

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 17, 2024

28 min Transcript
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- Sarah Wolfe, Morgan Stanley Senior Economist 
- Glenn Youngkin (R), Governor of Virginia 
- Tony Rodriguez, Head: Fixed Income Strategy, Nuveen Asset Management 
- Brian Weinstein, Head: Global Markets, Morgan Stanley Investment

Sarah Wolfe with Morgan Stanley reacts to recent Fed speak and discusses how inflationary pressures are affecting a tight labor market. Republican Governor of Virginia Glenn Youngkin talks about Donald Trump and the Republican National Convention. Brian Weinstein of Morgan Stanley and Tony Rodriguez of Nuveen break down comments from NY Fed President John Williams and discuss recent economic data.

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Published 2024-07-17

Outlook for Markets & Geopolitics if Trump's Re-Elected

25 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 17th, 2024
Featuring:

  • Amanda Lynam, Head of Macro Credit Research at BlackRock, discusses BlackRock's credit outlook and signals about risks from the bond market
  • Brad Stone, editor at Bloomberg Businessweek, on Businessweek's interview with Donald Trump
  • James Stravridis, retired US Navy Admiral and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, talks about the geopolitical outlook as Donald Trump gains momentum towards winning the November election
  • Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo on Newspaper Headlines


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Published 2024-07-16

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 16, 2024

27 min Transcript
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-David Malpass, Fmr. World Bank President
-Rep Mike Lawler, (R) New York
-Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research
-Greg Daco, Ernst Young Chief Economist
-Andrew Husby, BNP Sr. US Economist

Former World Bank President David Malpass shares insights on JD Vance and his policies. Rep. Mike Lawler of New York discusses the Trump/Vance 2024 ticket and potential legislation to enhance Secret Service measures following Saturday’s assassination attempt on former President Trump. Chris Marinac of Janney Montgomery Scott breaks down Bank of America’s earnings. Greg Daco of Ernst Young and Andrew Husby of BNP unpack new retail sales data. 

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 16th, 2024
Featuring:

  • Wendy Schiller, Professor at Brown University, Donald Trump's selection of JD Vance as Vice President, Trump's appearance at the RNC, and Joe Biden's interview with Lester Holt
  • Amy Wu Silverman, Head of Derivatives Strategy for RBC Capital Markets, discusses the Trump trade and market volatility
  • Dana Telsey, CEO at Telsey Advisory Group, reacts to June retail sales
  • Chris Whalen, founder at Whalen Global Advisors, wraps big bank earnings


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Published 2024-07-15

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 15, 2024

34 min Transcript
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-Ambassador John Bolton, Fmr. National Security Advisor & Fmr. Ambassador to UN
-Jim Gilmore, Fmr. Virginia Governor (R)
-Rep. Mike Turner, Chair of the House Intelligence Committee, (R) Ohio
-Ken Leon, CFRA Director of Equity Research

Ambassador John Bolton discusses the assassination attempt on Former President Donald Trump and the future of the Trump 2024 campaign. Former Virginia Governor Jim Gilmore talks about Republican party unity post-Saturday’s events. Rep. Mike Turner of Ohio previews the upcoming RNC and emphasizes the need for bipartisan unity following the recent assassination attempt. Ken Leon of CFRA analyzes Goldman Sachs earnings. 

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyJuly 15th, 2024
Featuring:

  • Andy Rudalevige, professor of government at Bowdoin College and presidential historian, on this moment in American political history and how it can reshape the Biden-Trump rematch
  • Henrietta Treyz, Managing Partner at Veda Partners, discusses where swing voters stand in the 2024 presidential race
  • Michael Purves, founder at Tallbacken Capital Advisors, talks about the uptick in the Trump trade and market volatility amid political uncertainty
  • Robert D. Kaplan, author and foreign affairs expert, on the geopolitical implications of this moment in American politics


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Published 2024-07-14

Surveillance Special: Trump Assassination Attempt

146 min Transcript
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Bloomberg's Tom Keene and David Gura get reaction to the attempted assassination attempt of former President Donald Tump.

They speak with:

  • Hadriana Lowenkron, Bloomberg News reporter
  • Terry Haines, Pangea Policy founder
  • Jordan Fabian, Bloomberg News white house correspondent
  • Wendy Schiller, Director of the Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy, Brown University
  • Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners managing partner
  • Rick Davis, Bloomberg politics contributor and partner at Stone Court Capital
  • Joe Mathieu, host of Bloomberg Balance of Power
  • Jeanne Sheehan Zaino, Bloomberg politics contributor and Iona University political science professor
  • Nancy Cook, Bloomberg News Senior national political correspondent
  • Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief U.S. Policy Strategist
  • Mick Mulroy, Lobo Institute co-founder
  • Jack Devine, Arkin Group President  

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Published 2024-07-12

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 12, 2024

23 min Transcript
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-Keith Lerner, Truist Co-CIO & Chief Market Strategist
-Jens Stoltenberg, NATO Secretary General
-Mohamed El-Erian, Queens' College, Cambridge & Bloomberg Opinion

Keith Lerner of Truist says the economy is showing signs of cooling, but that doesn't necessarily mean it's weakening. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg addresses the future of the alliance amid rising global uncertainty. Mohamed El-Erian of Queens' College, Cambridge recaps the week in economic data and what it means for the Fed. 

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