Bloomberg Surveillance

Krishna Memani, Invesco Vice Chairman of Investments, says the U.S. economy will be able to grow at a reduced rate, despite trade tensions and manufacturing weakness, because of the momentum in the consumer and service sectors. Margaret Patel, Wells Capital Management Senior Portfolio Manager, thinks that the treasury curve is pretty much immune to short-term fluctuations in stocks. Shuli Ren, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says U.S. investors see China as a big country with "a lot" of demand, but no supply. Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO, discusses the implications of a global economic slowdown on the VIX index. 

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Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School Finance Professor, says the global slowdown is going to continue until Germany delivers a major fiscal package, which is unlikely to happen any time soon. Rosalind Mathieson, Bloomberg International Government Executive Editor, says Prime Minister Johnson will crash out if he gets a no-deal Brexit. John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer & Co. Chief Investment Strategist, thinks that the demand for equities is likely to increase. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Global Markets Chief U.S. Economist, details the current growth scare saying, “it’s harder to attribute this growth scare to something transitory.” David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Host of Bloomberg's Peer to Peer Conversations, reflects on his conversation with Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg who reiterated her belief in incremental justice. 

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David Page, AXA Investment Managers Senior Economist U.S. & U.K., says that we are close to a tipping point in the labor market. Timothy Graf, State Street Bank Head of EMEA Macro Strategy, says the Fed is more dovish than what markets anticipate. Alessio de Longis, Invesco Investment Solutions Senior Portfolio Manager, says emerging market growth is what will lead us into a rotation trade. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy, says China is working to ease current tensions but is not interested in pursuing the kind of structural reforms that Trump and Washington say are necessary. And Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says we don't have the tools we once had to stimulate the economy. 

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Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, says China has given up on President Trump. Elizabeth Economy, CFR Senior Fellow and Director for Asia Studies, says the Chinese government will continue to use all the mechanisms they have at their disposal to keep the economy stable. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy Research, discusses developments in the potential trading restrictions between U.S. and Chinese companies. And Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the consumer remains resilient because the labor market is strong. 

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Russ Koesterich, BlackRock Global Allocation Fund Portfolio Manager, says inflation is low. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg TV & Radio Finance Reporter, discusses what's ahead for new Wells Fargo CEO Charles Scharf. Lindsay Newman, Chatham House U.S. and the Americas Programme Senior Research Fellow, says the partisan divide is key in impeachment proceedings. And Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, discusses Brexit's impact on how the BOE will operate as October 31st nears. 

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Ken Burns, Documentary Filmmaker, joins Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for a discussion on his latest film, "Country Music." Burns discusses iconic Martin guitars, the modernization of the genre, and country music's role in U.S. history. 

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Marty Schenker, Bloomberg Chief Content Officer, says President Donald Trump is his own counsel. Steven Wieting, Citi Private Bank Global Chief Investment Strategist, says U.S. shares are the best performing assets. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. & Americas Programme, discusses the rationality of an impeachment inquiry. Hugo Rogers, Deltec Chief Investment Strategist, predicts a general election in the U.K. and says Boris Johnson will be the catalyst. Joyce Chang, JPMorgan Global Research Chair, says every 1% decline in China's growth is about .4% off of global growth. And Justin Sink, Bloomberg News White House Correspondent, previews the House hearing with Acting Director of National Intelligence Joseph Maguire today. 

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Bill Dudley, senior research scholar at Princeton University, and former New York Fed President, discusses the benefits of Federal Reserve repo operations, a politicized Fed and his role during the 2008 financial crisis. He spoke to Bloomberg's Tom Keene. 

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Surveillance comes to you from the Bloomberg Global Business Forum today. In conversation with  International Monetary Fund Acting Managing Director David Lipton.

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Surveillance comes to you from the Bloomberg Global Business Forum today. We speak with policy makers, CEOs and strategists.

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Diana Amoa, JPMorgan Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, argues that this low interest rate environment is the "new normal." Marilyn Watson, BlackRock Head of Global Fundamental Fixed Income Strategy, says trade tensions and fiscal stimulus are both core components of global growth. Thomas Raines, Chatham House Head of Europe Programme, defines the Boris Johnson versus Nigel Farage Brexit-voters. And Wei Li, Blackrock Head of iShares EMEA Investment Strategy, says they've recently upgraded European equities from underweight to neutral. 

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Bill Dudley, senior research scholar at Princeton University, and former New York Fed President, discusses the benefits of Federal Reserve repo operations, a politicized Fed, the prospect of negative interest rates, and the economic impact of the U.S.-China trade war. He spoke with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Jonathan Ferro. 

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Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, says in Europe, there has not been a thorough "cleaning up" of the bank balance sheet. Wendy J. Schiller, Brown University Chair of Political Science, says politicians do not like uncertainty. Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives President & Founder, offers her take on U.S. economic data. Admiral James Stavridis, former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says anytime domestic politics assert themselves into international security concerns, there is a great risk. 

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Today we start with a segment from Bloomberg Surveillance TV. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, says excess reserves in repo systems are ultimately not doing their job. Randall S. Kroszner, University of Chicago Professor and Former Federal Reserve Board Member, explains why the Fed should allow the balance sheet to continue to grow. Seema Shah, Principal Global Investors Chief Strategist, says people still have some optimism about Brexit. Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macro's Chief Economist & Founder, says that the trade war might actually be helping consumer spending right now. And Rett Wallace, Triton Research CEO, reviews WeWork's IPO. 

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Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says the Fed is "absolutely" going to start purchasing assets again. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Interest Rate Strategist, explains the Repo market. Laurence Boone, OECD Chief Economist, says if governments continue to rely solely on monetary policy, it will be difficult to put a break on the global growth slide. Greg Peters, PGIM Senior Portfolio Manager, says we have lots of room to run before we get a negative yield. And it's that time of year again -- Harvard University Football Coach Tim Murphy tells us what to watch this college football season. 

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Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, doesn't think the Fed's march towards 100 basis point cuts is a done deal. Jack Ablin, Cresset Wealth Advisors Founding Partner and CIO, says recession is the new expansion. Stephen King, HSBC Senior Economic Advisor, says low unemployment appears positive but can often be a sign of wage pressures beginning to build. And Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor of Economics & Former Council of Economic Advisers Chair, thinks people are putting too much weight in that the "Fed can save us." 

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Michael Holland, Holland & Company Chairman, discusses the origin of WeWork's "budding fiasco." Robert Shiller, 2013 Nobel Prize Winner, says President Trump's narrative has had immense power. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Global Energy Center Non-Resident Senior Fellow & Transversal Consulting President, says due to their built-in resiliency, Aramco may be back online sooner than expected. Paul Sankey, Mizuho Securities Oil Analyst, says the attacks on Aramco are a challenge for China, given their dependence on Middle Eastern oil. And Anat Admati, Stanford Professor of Finance & Economics, says the size of big tech companies become a symptom of the problems they are facing. 

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Harry Tchilinguirian, BNP Head of Commodity Markets Strategy, breaks down the market risk surrounding the recent attack on Saudi oil supply. Michael Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, says based on the data released today, there are structural reasons why China is slowing down. Ted Alden, CFR Senior Fellow, says the global economy needs leadership. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy Research, has her eye on how China and Iran will interact following the oil turbulence in Saudi Arabia. And Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex Chief Market Strategist, explains what it means when countries "borrow dollars." 

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Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth and Investment Strategies, says the tolerance for deficit spending is greater than ever. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy, says neither China nor the U.S. are desperate enough to reach a trade agreement. Simon French, Panmure Gordon Chief Economist, says the Federal Reserve is under political pressure to follow the actions of the ECB. Giles Turner, Bloomberg News EMEA Tech Reporter, says WeWork needs to IPO to maintain its growth momentum. And Brian Rehling, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Co-Head of Fixed Income Strategy, discusses the predictive power of yield curve inversions. 

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Joyce Chang, JPMorgan Securities Global Research Chair, says negative rates are here to stay. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Portfolio Manager, says European governments can now act on negative interest rates, for better or for worse. Marcus Ashworth, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Mario Draghi is leaving a "smorgasbord" of policy options for Christine Lagarde. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg TV & Radio Chief Washington Correspondent, and Chuck Gabriel, Capital Alpha President, tell Surveillance what to expect from tonight's U.S. Democratic debate in Houston. And we finish the show by remembering oil man T. Boone Pickens with Bloomberg Radio's Robert Moon. 

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Bloomberg Surveillance remembers Sept. 11, 2001. We hear from Bloomberg Government Homeland Security Reporter Michaela Ross, Bloomberg News Europe Deals Reporter Sarah Syed, Leuthold Group Chief Investment Officer Doug Ramsey, Passion Capital Partner Eileen Burbidge, and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist Chris Hughes. 

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David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy Media CEO & Founder, says the arrogance of Silicon Valley is being broken already, with the help of Facebook's errors. Derek Halpenny, MUFG Head of European Global Markets Research, says the central bank easing course is "done and dusted." George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank Global Head of FX Research, says Europe is at a point with the ECB right now where "less is more." Nancy Ognanovich, Bloomberg Government Congressional Leadership Reporter, says we're looking at a 35% chance of another government shutdown this year. And Scott Galloway, NYU Stern Professor, warns of a consolidation of players in the streaming wars. 

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Steve Eisman, Eisman Group Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, thinks negative rates are "crushing" and a massive policy mistake. Steven Englander, Standard Chartered Global Head of G10 FX Strategy, looks ahead to the ECB meeting on Thursday. Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist, says the U.S. economy is going to be okay despite the headwinds coming from trade. And Therese Raphael, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says there is a movement towards reviving labor unions in the U.K. 

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Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist says significant increases in optimism in the labor market can lead to higher participation rates. James Mayger, Bloomberg China Economy Editor & Beijing Deputy Bureau Chief, breaks down what the PBOC cutting its reserve requirement ratio means for the Chinese economy. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Systematic Fixed Income Senior Portfolio Manager, explains why the August U.S. Job growth report is a"temporary" low. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO U.S. Economist, says the jobs report confirms the trend that the labor market is slowing. Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, reacts to the jobs report, says "tempers are calmer" as China and the U.S. prepare for talks and believes Former Fed President Dudley linking monetary policy to the election is a "new low."

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Jacob Kirkegaard, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, lays out the possible outcomes for another U.K. general election. Esther Reichelt, Commerzbank AG FX Strategist, forecasts that unconventional monetary policy measures will drive the euro-dollar. John Authers, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Brexit is unsolvable without a solution between Ireland and the U.K. And Ted Alden, CFR Senior Fellow & Author, "Failure to Adjust: How Americans Got Left Behind in the Global Economy," says we're in a more dangerous phase of the trade war now. 

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Stephen Gallo, BMO Capital Markets Head of FX Strategy, says these are dramatic times and the entire global order is shifting. Steve Tsang, University of London SOAS China Institute Director, says Carrie Lam's announcement to withdraw the controversial extradition bill means mainland China is taking a softer approach to Hong Kong. David Sowerby, Ancora Managing Director & Portfolio Manager, brings us an update on the Mid-Cap investing space. And Anne Stevenson-Yang, J Capital Research Directory & Co-Founder, says China is working "mightily" to avoid a crash in the Hong Kong market. 

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Rob Carolan, Bloomberg Meteorologist, brings us an update on Hurricane Dorian. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, says retail sentiment is quite bearish. Dan Ahn, Former U.S. Department of State Chief Economist, doesn't think that weakness appearing in both the U.S. & world economy is driven solely by trade tensions. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, explores why global manufacturing has fallen into a slump and how it will impact global growth. And Krishna Memani, Invesco Vice Chairman of Investments, says valuations in EM are extraordinarily attractive. 

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For an episode of Bloomberg's podcast Behind the Scenes, Bloomberg Surveillance’s Tom Keene sits down with GAMCO Investors CEO Mario Gabelli to discuss value investing, philanthropy and Warren Buffett. 

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Lakshman Achuthan, Economic Cycle Research Co-Founder, thinks we would still be in a global slowdown without the U.S.-China trade war. Dan Fuss, Loomis Sayles Vice Chairman & Portfolio Manager, says the bid for dollar-based bonds is still very strong. Simon Usherwood, 'The UK in a Changing Europe' Deputy Director, says it's not clear what would happen if there is a general election in the U.K. Sarah House, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Economist, expects a consumption slowdown heading into the coming quarter. And Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe, offers advice: "you've got to lead from the inside out."

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Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief U.S. Economist, thinks that there is some recognition in the bond market that global growth may be slow for a long time. Mij Rahman, Eurasia Group Managing Director of Europe, says the economic cycle in Europe is not robust due to broader concerns about trade disputes. Jordan Rochester, Nomura FX Strategist, says the ECB has few options left for inflation. Peggy Collins, Bloomberg News Managing Editor U.S. Economy, says Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has left the question of currency up in the air. And Paul Romer, Nobel Laureate & NYU Stern School of Business Professor of Economics, thinks we've been slow to react to some of the negative effects of new technology. 

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Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says he is waiting for full acknowledgement of a U.S. recession. Adam Posen, PIIE President, discusses why Chairman Powell has to be wary of not predicting the outcomes of the U.S.-China trade war, but rather react to them. Tara Lachapelle, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says the Philip Morris-Altria reunion will benefit both companies. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Chief Strategist, says to expect a range-bound market while uncertainty over trade is at its peak. And Ferdinando Giugliano, Bloomberg Opinion Editor, discusses whether or not there's a place for politics in central bank decisions. 

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Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Allianz Chief Economic Adviser describes how he thinks central banks are being held hostage by markets. Maddi Dessner, JPMorgan Asset Management Managing Director, says the U.S. consumer remains resilient in the wake of raising tariffs. Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity Chief Market Strategist, says it's better to react to market conditions rather than try to anticipate the next move. Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says currency intervention does not have a lasting impact. And Mario Gabelli, GAMCO Investors CEO, weighs in on the TV streaming wars. 

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Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, analyzes dollar strength, in relation to the G-7 and U.S.-China trade talks. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says the Fed's new approach will allow the economy to grow. Ashwin Alankar, Janus Global Head of Asset Allocation & Risk Management, explains why monetary policy may not be able to do much to quell trade war uncertainty. John Hudak, Brookings Governance Studies Senior Fellow, questions whether there is a Democratic nominee who will work well with China on trade. 

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Bloomberg's Michael McKee joins us with a series of interviews from the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. First, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard says U.S. farmers are in a down economy. Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan says, "I'm open to adjusting rates but would prefer not to." Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester is "confident" inflation is moving back toward the Fed's goal. And Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker thinks the Fed should stay its course and see "how things unfold."

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Dana Peterson, Citi Global Economist, says in respect to the trade war between the U.S. and China, the damage to the global economy has already been done. Esther George, Kansas City Fed President, joins Bloomberg's Michael McKee at Jackson Hole and says she is not ready to provide more policy accommodation. Robert Hormats, Kissinger Vice Chair & former Goldman Sachs International Vice-Chair, says a resolution to Brexit would ease volatility. And Brian Wieser, GroupM President, discusses ad business in the streaming age.

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Nick Bennenbroek, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Currency Strategy, predicts the U.S. dollar will remain stable or slightly stronger. Ralf Preusser, Bank of America Merrill Lynch International Global Head of Rates Strategy, says this is not a normal rate cut cycle for the Fed. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, questions whether or not there will be stimulus from Germany. And Brian Hook, Pompeo Senior Policy Adviser & U.S. Special Representative for Iran, says the White House's sanctions on Iranian oil have been successful. 

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Greg Daco, Oxford Economics Chief U.S. Economist, says they're expecting the U.S. economy to slow this year. Ken Leon, CFRA Research Global Director of Research, says REITs, particularly healthcare REITs, are recession-resistant. Terry Haines, Pangea Policy Advisory Founder, says frustrations from trade talks stem from China not wanting to make an enforceable agreement. And Katherine Chiglinsky, Bloomberg Finance Reporter, says it's been surprising to investors over the years to see how connected GE still is to the insurance market.

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Don Rissmiller, Strategas Research Chief Economist, looks ahead to Jackson Hole and says monetary policy "can't do it all." Claus Vistesen, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Euro-Zone Economist, predicts Germany will enter a technical recession. Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief U.S. Economist, says she expects the U.S. economy to slow to uncomfortably low levels but not a recession. Rob Schiffman, Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst, doesn't see much risk to Apple's cash flow regardless of the tariff situation. 

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Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist and Portfolio Manager, dismisses the idea of "pressing the panic button," given the economy's current outlook. Dana Peterson, Citi Global Economist, says the U.S. is participating in a global trade and manufacturing slump. Michael Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist and Macro Strategist, says central banks need to get ahead of the yield curve. Kevin Carey, New America Education Policy Vice President, explains the complications of existing federal student loan programs.

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Russ Koesterich, BlackRock's Global Allocation Team Portfolio Manager, says our economy is increasingly dependent on the consumer. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, says iron ore is the "canary in the coal mine." Sarah Halzack, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, recaps Walmart earnings. John Herrmann, Mufg Securities Americas Director of U.S. Rate Strategy, says the U.S. job market is still resilient. And Julian Jackson, "De Gaulle" Author, discusses France's history and its reflection on present day politics. 

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Priya Misra, TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy, says a recession is very likely within the next 12 months. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, believes the core issue with the trade war is actually how it's affecting business confidence, capex and hiring. George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Founder and Chairman, explains why Beijing is deeply worried about Hong Kong protests. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Interest Rate Strategist, analyzes global yield curves. And Brian Kelly, The Points Guy Founder, says it's unstable times for tourism in Hong Kong. ------

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Yvonne Mann, Bloomberg Markets Asia Anchor, reports Hong Kong protesters plan for another march on Sunday. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, predicts foreign business in China will decline. Brian Weinstein, Head of Global Fixed Income at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, says Fed easing may keep us alive but it can't spur the global economy. Willem Sels, HSBC Private Banking Chief Market Strategist, is not yet buying the dip because he sees room for further shake-ups in the market. And Marie Owens Thomsen, Credit Agricole Indosuez Wealth Management Chief Economist, says the European banking sector is "a bit under-loved" right now. 

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Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist and Managing Director, saysthe longer we go, the greater the risk of a systemic failure caused by negative interest rates. Yvonne Man, Bloomberg TV Anchor, reports from Hong Kong that there are areas in the city that are still safe. Jeffrey Wright, Eurasia Group North America Analyst, says trade issues with China and the U.S. are longstanding. And Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives Founder & President, weighs in on the rate cut debate. 

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Ben Carson, U.S. Housing & Urban Development Secretary, says opportunity zones will bring investment into areas that were previously economically-deprived. Ron Temple, Lazard Asset Management Co-Head of Multi-Asset & Head of U.S. Equity, says the Fed is tackling a mid-cycle adjustment. Gregory Valliere, AFG Investments Chief U.S. Policy Strategist, says there's uncertainty for farmers in the midst of U.S., China trade tensions. And Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Strategist, says there are "likely more unpleasant headlines" for the markets in September. 

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Steve Wieting, Citi Private Bank Chief Investment Strategist, doubts that the Fed has any insight of what's next on trade. David Kostin, Goldman Sachs Chief Equity Strategist, says the gap between bond and earnings yields is the highest we've seen in a long time. Sonia Meskin, Standard Chartered U.S. Economist, discusses the outlook for the U.S. economy. And Annie Massa, Bloomberg Asset Management Reporter, discusses her Bloomberg Businessweek story, "Asset Managers With $74 Trillion on Brink of Historic Shakeout." 

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Conrad DeQuadros, RDQ Economics Senior Economist & Founding Partner, hopes the Fed realizes their role in driving the markets. David Pearl, Epoch Investment Partners Co-CIO and Portfolio Manager, says monetary policy in Europe has run out of gas. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics Founding Director, thinks the Chinese have been quite careful not to manipulate in the sense of "driving their currency down." John Normand, JPMorgan Head of Cross Asset Fundamental Strategy, calls the risk of a trade war an "unquantifiable force." And Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says until a China-U.S. trade breakthrough is accomplished, the markets are going to remain very volatile. 

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Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, encourages diversification in this market environment. Robin Brooks, IIF MD & Chief Economist, says China's overall trade surplus is still large. Steven Major, HSBC Managing Director & Global Head of Fixed Income Research, cuts his year-end-2019 U.S. 10-year yield forecast to 1.50%. Lawrence Summers, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary, says we're in quite "uncharted territory" with President Trump weighing in on monetary policy and dollar strength. And Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley Chief Economist & Global Head of Economics, points to the surge in patent requests in China as a sign of growth. 

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Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex Chief Market Strategist and Managing Partner, discusses the unintended consequences of U.S.-China tensions. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, says the U.S.-China trade war is more political than economic. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Securities Managing Director & Chief International Strategist, sees a level of disruption that could come from trade war escalation that's not being fully priced into the market. Lale Topcuoglu, JOHCM Senior Fund Manager, says investors are mis-pricing liquidity premiums. And Mark Connors, Credit Suisse Global Head of Prime Brokerage Portfolio & Risk Advisory, says a 1% yield on the U.S. 10-Year Treasury is more of a probability than a possibility.

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Michelle Meyer, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of U.S. Economics, says markets are encouraged by the dovish central bank pivot. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, does not expect President Trump's tariff threat to make China purchase more U.S. agricultural products. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says the Fed failed to be aggressive enough. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, explains why average wage growth is being held down. Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says the consumer impact from China tariffs is very small. 

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Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President, says the Bank of England can't do anything ahead of Brexit. Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Advisor, only sees the BOE hiking rates in response to a soft Brexit. Vincent Reinhart, Standish Mellon Asset Management Chief Economist, says he no longer takes "Japanification" as a bad term. Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Senior Portfolio Manager, does a deep dive into consumer staple stocks. And Amanda Renteria, Clinton 2016 Presidential Campaign National Political Director, says a fighting spirit is more important than policy proposals for the Democratic candidates. 

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