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Bloomberg Surveillance

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Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment. Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television. Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.  Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ. Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
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Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment. Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television. Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.  Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ. Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
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Published 2025-04-16

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Dan Ives & Matt King

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Dan Ives & Matt King.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Dan Ives & Matt King.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Published 2025-04-16

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 16, 2025

41 min Transcript
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- Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth
- Rick Rieder, CIO: Global Fixed Income at BlackRock
- Eric Cantor, Vice Chairman at Moelis & Co
- John Kirby, CEO at United Airlines

Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth, discusses her outlook for equities and whether she believes they'll end the year in positive territory amid tariff policy uncertainty. Rick Rieder, CIO: Global Fixed Income at BlackRock, discusses warning signals from the bond market. Eric Cantor, Vice Chairman at Moelis & Co, talks about President Trump's economic policies and how economic and political policies will be shaped in Washington in the coming months. John Kirby, CEO at United Airlines, discusses his company and the state of the industry.

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- Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth
- Rick Rieder, CIO: Global Fixed Income at BlackRock
- Eric Cantor, Vice Chairman at Moelis & Co
- John Kirby, CEO at United Airlines

Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth, discusses her outlook for equities and whether she believes they'll end the year in positive territory amid tariff policy uncertainty. Rick Rieder, CIO: Global Fixed Income at BlackRock, discusses warning signals from the bond market. Eric Cantor, Vice Chairman at Moelis & Co, talks about President Trump's economic policies and how economic and political policies will be shaped in Washington in the coming months. John Kirby, CEO at United Airlines, discusses his company and the state of the industry.

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Published 2025-04-16

US Exceptionalism amid Moves in Dollar and Treasuries

46 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 16th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, joins for an extended discussion on the market backdrop amid the US tariff pause and the near- and long-term risks of a financial accident. Investors get hints of economic sentiment today with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell giving a speech in Chicago and the release of March retail sales today.
2) Dan Ives, Global Head of Technology at Wedbush Securities, on the Nvidia chip restrictions. Technology stocks fell due to new US government restrictions on Nvidia chip exports to China and a disappointing report from ASML Holding NV, wiping out $155 billion in market value.
3) Matt King, founder at Satori Insights, brings us into retail sales and talks about why the US could be on the cusp of a crisis. The fallout of US Nvidia chip curbs are one factor affecting growth: it could weigh on chip-sector earnings and set back China's ambitions to compete on the global tech stage, with economists scaling back their forecasts for GDP growth worldwide.
4) Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater Associates, joins for an extended discussion on the US dollar, Treasuries, and US exceptionalism. The demand dynamic for US Treasuries is shifting, with foreign demand declining, and the relationship between the US dollar and Treasury yields is weakening, leading to concerns about the dollar's haven status and the US deficit.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Bloomberg story on the boom in ultra-luxury ships and WalletHub's findings on cities with the most affordable rent.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 16th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, joins for an extended discussion on the market backdrop amid the US tariff pause and the near- and long-term risks of a financial accident. Investors get hints of economic sentiment today with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell giving a speech in Chicago and the release of March retail sales today.
2) Dan Ives, Global Head of Technology at Wedbush Securities, on the Nvidia chip restrictions. Technology stocks fell due to new US government restrictions on Nvidia chip exports to China and a disappointing report from ASML Holding NV, wiping out $155 billion in market value.
3) Matt King, founder at Satori Insights, brings us into retail sales and talks about why the US could be on the cusp of a crisis. The fallout of US Nvidia chip curbs are one factor affecting growth: it could weigh on chip-sector earnings and set back China's ambitions to compete on the global tech stage, with economists scaling back their forecasts for GDP growth worldwide.
4) Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater Associates, joins for an extended discussion on the US dollar, Treasuries, and US exceptionalism. The demand dynamic for US Treasuries is shifting, with foreign demand declining, and the relationship between the US dollar and Treasury yields is weakening, leading to concerns about the dollar's haven status and the US deficit.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Bloomberg story on the boom in ultra-luxury ships and WalletHub's findings on cities with the most affordable rent.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Jurrien Timmer & Constance Hunter.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Jurrien Timmer & Constance Hunter.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Published 2025-04-15

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 15, 2025

32 min Transcript
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- Glenn Youngkin, Governor of Virginia
- Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management
- Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy
- Ken Leon, Director of Equity Research at CFRA

Republican Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin sits down with Surveillance to discuss his policy initiatives for the state, how the Republican party is functioning in a second Trump term, and his response to the president's economic and political priorities. Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management, discusses signals from the bond market and whether there is broader concern of a rotation away from US assets. Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, discusses whether President Trump's tariff policy could change amid its 90-day pause. Ken Leon, Director of Equity Research at CFRA, reacts to today's bank earnings.

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- Glenn Youngkin, Governor of Virginia
- Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management
- Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy
- Ken Leon, Director of Equity Research at CFRA

Republican Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin sits down with Surveillance to discuss his policy initiatives for the state, how the Republican party is functioning in a second Trump term, and his response to the president's economic and political priorities. Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management, discusses signals from the bond market and whether there is broader concern of a rotation away from US assets. Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, discusses whether President Trump's tariff policy could change amid its 90-day pause. Ken Leon, Director of Equity Research at CFRA, reacts to today's bank earnings.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Published 2025-04-15

Tariff Exemptions Boost Stocks as Uncertainty Remains High

41 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 15th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, talks about whether the US is staring down a financial crisis as President Trump negotiates trade deals with other countries. While stocks are getting a boost as President Trump floats a potential pause in auto tariffs, ongoing trade tensions and concerns remain about the impact of tariffs on the economy.
2) Christopher Maher, CEO of OceanFirst Bank, discusses how inflation and tariffs are affecting how he operates his business and how clients are responding to changing conditions. Investor sentiment toward the economy is the most negative in three decades, with fund managers expecting the global economy to weaken and planning to reduce exposure to US equities, which is causing increasing challenges for business operators.
3) Sebastien Page, head of Global Multi-Asset and Chair of the Asset Allocation Steering Committee at T. Rowe Price, talks about his new book and demonstrating leadership in a growing uncertain market. Markets are showing signs of consolidating as Trump’s tariff exemptions haved raised hopes there may be room for negotiations after the president’s reciprocal levies this month wiped $10 trillion off global equities and spurred a rout in Treasuries. At the same time, the US is pressing forward with plans to impose tariffs on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports by initiating trade probes led by the Commerce Department.
4) Scott Stringer, Former NYC Comptroller & NYC Mayoral Candidate, joins as part of our NYC mayoral race coverage to discuss New York City, Mayor Eric Adams' leadership, city finances, congestion pricing, and other issues.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ report on Netflix's market cap target and Business Insider's story on iPhone tricks to avoid increased costs.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 15th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, talks about whether the US is staring down a financial crisis as President Trump negotiates trade deals with other countries. While stocks are getting a boost as President Trump floats a potential pause in auto tariffs, ongoing trade tensions and concerns remain about the impact of tariffs on the economy.
2) Christopher Maher, CEO of OceanFirst Bank, discusses how inflation and tariffs are affecting how he operates his business and how clients are responding to changing conditions. Investor sentiment toward the economy is the most negative in three decades, with fund managers expecting the global economy to weaken and planning to reduce exposure to US equities, which is causing increasing challenges for business operators.
3) Sebastien Page, head of Global Multi-Asset and Chair of the Asset Allocation Steering Committee at T. Rowe Price, talks about his new book and demonstrating leadership in a growing uncertain market. Markets are showing signs of consolidating as Trump’s tariff exemptions haved raised hopes there may be room for negotiations after the president’s reciprocal levies this month wiped $10 trillion off global equities and spurred a rout in Treasuries. At the same time, the US is pressing forward with plans to impose tariffs on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports by initiating trade probes led by the Commerce Department.
4) Scott Stringer, Former NYC Comptroller & NYC Mayoral Candidate, joins as part of our NYC mayoral race coverage to discuss New York City, Mayor Eric Adams' leadership, city finances, congestion pricing, and other issues.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ report on Netflix's market cap target and Business Insider's story on iPhone tricks to avoid increased costs.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Steve Chiavarone & Lori Calvasina.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Steve Chiavarone & Lori Calvasina.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Published 2025-04-14

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 14, 2025

31 min Transcript
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- Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities
- Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP
- Henrietta Treyz, co-founder and Managing Partner at Veda Partners
- David Ellison, Portfolio Manager at Hennessy Funds

Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities and ADP's Nela Richardson discuss the outlook for equities and potential for further market volatility amid uncertain tariff policy from the Trump administration. Henrietta Treyz, co-founder and Managing Partner at Veda Partners, discusses President Trump's tariffs and the GOP tax plan. David Ellison, Portfolio Manager at Hennessy Funds, reacts to Goldman Sachs earnings.

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- Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities
- Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP
- Henrietta Treyz, co-founder and Managing Partner at Veda Partners
- David Ellison, Portfolio Manager at Hennessy Funds

Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities and ADP's Nela Richardson discuss the outlook for equities and potential for further market volatility amid uncertain tariff policy from the Trump administration. Henrietta Treyz, co-founder and Managing Partner at Veda Partners, discusses President Trump's tariffs and the GOP tax plan. David Ellison, Portfolio Manager at Hennessy Funds, reacts to Goldman Sachs earnings.

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Published 2025-04-14

Tariffs, Markets, and the Dollar

37 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 14th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for equities and where her S&P target stands. Stocks jumped once President Trump paused import duties on consumer electronics, boosting sentiment. Despite the reprieve, volatility in markets is expected to continue.
2) Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment Strategist, Americas at BlackRock, discusses the outlook for equities, and whether there's a bull case in the market given the concern. While the Dollar has struggled, yen optimism is spreading and the euro is emerging as a prime beneficiary of greenback weakness as investors reassess the dollar’s role in the global financial system.
3) Penny Foley, Portfolio Manager for the TCW Emerging Markets Group, on what she expects from the emerging markets environment given uncertain US policy. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot index fell for a fifth day, touching the lowest levels since October, on concern over the Trump administration's tariff policy, and its effects are expected to ripple throughout emerging markets.
4) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss on again, off again tariffs and newfound urgency for the tax bill. President Trump is prioritizing extending the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act this year, with Republicans in Congress agreeing on a framework to make the cuts permanent.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Dubai dethroning Heathrow as the world's busiest international airport and why there may be fewer outdoor dining spots in New York City this year.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 14th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for equities and where her S&P target stands. Stocks jumped once President Trump paused import duties on consumer electronics, boosting sentiment. Despite the reprieve, volatility in markets is expected to continue.
2) Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment Strategist, Americas at BlackRock, discusses the outlook for equities, and whether there's a bull case in the market given the concern. While the Dollar has struggled, yen optimism is spreading and the euro is emerging as a prime beneficiary of greenback weakness as investors reassess the dollar’s role in the global financial system.
3) Penny Foley, Portfolio Manager for the TCW Emerging Markets Group, on what she expects from the emerging markets environment given uncertain US policy. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot index fell for a fifth day, touching the lowest levels since October, on concern over the Trump administration's tariff policy, and its effects are expected to ripple throughout emerging markets.
4) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss on again, off again tariffs and newfound urgency for the tax bill. President Trump is prioritizing extending the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act this year, with Republicans in Congress agreeing on a framework to make the cuts permanent.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Dubai dethroning Heathrow as the world's busiest international airport and why there may be fewer outdoor dining spots in New York City this year.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Published 2025-04-13

SPECIAL: Wall Street Braces for New Week of Tariff Turmoil

47 min Transcript
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Investors are on edge as rapid tariff headlines inject unprecedented volatility across global markets. Bloomberg Surveillance hosts Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz set the stage for the week ahead with insight and commentary from some of the biggest names on Wall Street.

- Bob Michele, Global Head of Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management
- Libby Cantrill, Managing Director & Head of Public Policy at PIMCO
- Stuart Kaiser, Head of Equity Trading Strategy at Citigroup

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Investors are on edge as rapid tariff headlines inject unprecedented volatility across global markets. Bloomberg Surveillance hosts Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz set the stage for the week ahead with insight and commentary from some of the biggest names on Wall Street.

- Bob Michele, Global Head of Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management
- Libby Cantrill, Managing Director & Head of Public Policy at PIMCO
- Stuart Kaiser, Head of Equity Trading Strategy at Citigroup

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Savita Subramanian & Jordan Rochester.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Savita Subramanian & Jordan Rochester.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Published 2025-04-11

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 11, 2025

32 min Transcript
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- Christopher Wright, US Energy Secretary
- Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Woods Capital Investors
- Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy
- Tony Crescenzi, Exec VP and Generalist Portfolio Manager at PIMCO

US Energy Secretary Christopher Wright discusses the Trump administration's energy strategy amid a trade war with China and the outlook for energy and gas prices. Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Woods Capital Investors, discusses equity gyrations and if market volatility is set to continue amid a growing trade war with China. Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy, talks about her S&P 500 outlook amid growing policy uncertainty. Tony Crescenzi, Exec VP and Generalist Portfolio Manager at PIMCO, talks about this week's bond market moves and if it's offering other warning signs today.

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- Christopher Wright, US Energy Secretary
- Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Woods Capital Investors
- Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy
- Tony Crescenzi, Exec VP and Generalist Portfolio Manager at PIMCO

US Energy Secretary Christopher Wright discusses the Trump administration's energy strategy amid a trade war with China and the outlook for energy and gas prices. Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Woods Capital Investors, discusses equity gyrations and if market volatility is set to continue amid a growing trade war with China. Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy, talks about her S&P 500 outlook amid growing policy uncertainty. Tony Crescenzi, Exec VP and Generalist Portfolio Manager at PIMCO, talks about this week's bond market moves and if it's offering other warning signs today.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney April 11th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Macro Strategy EMEA at Mizuho, on rapid de-dollarization as the trade war with China heats up. China is raising tariffs on all US goods from 84% to 125% starting April 12, in response to the US's latest tariffs. The escalating trade war has led to a decline in global financial markets, with S&P 500 futures and European stocks falling, and the dollar extending its decline.
2) Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab, joins to discuss the bond market's pushback this week and what it's signaling and President Trump pushes ahead with his trade war with China. Investors are flocking to bunds as a safe-haven asset after the US Treasuries' historically bad week, leaving German yields largely unchanged, while the rate on the US 10-year debt has surged more than 40 basis points.
3) Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quant Strategy at Bank of America, brings us into PPI and discusses the outlook for inflation and equities in the US amid a growing China trade war. The inflation slowdown reflected is yesterday's CPI showed a decline in energy costs, used vehicles, hotel stays, and airfares, with the cost of motor vehicle insurance also retreating. Some experts still warn that higher inflation may be coming due to tariffs, with the impact expected to be felt in the May CPI report.
4) Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss why the Fed's breathing easier today, but why the market volatility isn't over yet. US-China trade tensions escalated, causing a slide in futures, the dollar, and oil, with investors rushing to assess the impact on companies and growth.
5) Erica Groshen, former Commissioner of the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, on disruption in federal statistics, modernizing federal statistics, and preserving data integrity. A Labor Department report released in December showed the US Bureau of Labor Statistics needs to revamp its culture and improve how it disseminates key economic data.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney April 11th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Macro Strategy EMEA at Mizuho, on rapid de-dollarization as the trade war with China heats up. China is raising tariffs on all US goods from 84% to 125% starting April 12, in response to the US's latest tariffs. The escalating trade war has led to a decline in global financial markets, with S&P 500 futures and European stocks falling, and the dollar extending its decline.
2) Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab, joins to discuss the bond market's pushback this week and what it's signaling and President Trump pushes ahead with his trade war with China. Investors are flocking to bunds as a safe-haven asset after the US Treasuries' historically bad week, leaving German yields largely unchanged, while the rate on the US 10-year debt has surged more than 40 basis points.
3) Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quant Strategy at Bank of America, brings us into PPI and discusses the outlook for inflation and equities in the US amid a growing China trade war. The inflation slowdown reflected is yesterday's CPI showed a decline in energy costs, used vehicles, hotel stays, and airfares, with the cost of motor vehicle insurance also retreating. Some experts still warn that higher inflation may be coming due to tariffs, with the impact expected to be felt in the May CPI report.
4) Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss why the Fed's breathing easier today, but why the market volatility isn't over yet. US-China trade tensions escalated, causing a slide in futures, the dollar, and oil, with investors rushing to assess the impact on companies and growth.
5) Erica Groshen, former Commissioner of the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, on disruption in federal statistics, modernizing federal statistics, and preserving data integrity. A Labor Department report released in December showed the US Bureau of Labor Statistics needs to revamp its culture and improve how it disseminates key economic data.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Published 2025-04-10

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Ian Lyngen & Anna Wong

5 min Transcript
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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Ian Lyngen & Anna Wong.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Ian Lyngen & Anna Wong.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Published 2025-04-10

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 10, 2025

35 min Transcript
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- Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock
- Dr. Amrita Sen, founder and Director of Research at Energy Aspects
- Erika Najarian, Equity Research Analyst at UBS
- Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo

Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock, discusses the equity rebound following President Trump's tariff reversal and whether the market could continue its climb from here. Dr. Amrita Sen, founder and Director of Research at Energy Aspects, discusses the outlook for crude oil and energy prices as market concerns due to a US-China trade war persist. Erika Najarian with UBS previews big bank earnings and talks about the health of the financial sector. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo, talks about the US economic outlook following extreme market gyrations from President Trump's tariff reversal.

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- Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock
- Dr. Amrita Sen, founder and Director of Research at Energy Aspects
- Erika Najarian, Equity Research Analyst at UBS
- Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo

Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock, discusses the equity rebound following President Trump's tariff reversal and whether the market could continue its climb from here. Dr. Amrita Sen, founder and Director of Research at Energy Aspects, discusses the outlook for crude oil and energy prices as market concerns due to a US-China trade war persist. Erika Najarian with UBS previews big bank earnings and talks about the health of the financial sector. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo, talks about the US economic outlook following extreme market gyrations from President Trump's tariff reversal.

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Published 2025-04-10

Traders Price in CPI and Trump's Tariff Pause

49 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 10th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Patrick Armstrong, CIO at Plurimi Wealth, Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO, and Greg Boutle, Head of US Equity & Derivative Strategy at BNP Paribas, react to CPI and discuss the outlook for bonds and equities following President Trump's tariff reversal. Strategists have warned investors against buying the dip in equities due to the risks ahead, with some advising caution amid extreme market volatility.
2) Ian Lyngen, Head of US Rates at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss signals from the bond market before and after President Trump's tariff reversal and the outlook for US rates amid the current US economic backdrop. Trump's tariff reversal decision was driven in part by the chaos in financial markets, as well as outreach from other countries making concessions, and he is now considering exemptions for companies facing severe consequences from tariffs.
3) Nancy Tengler, CEO & CIO at Laffer Tengler Investments, talks "amateur hour" at The White House and why markets need a better policy rollout to sustain a rally after Trump's tariff pause. After a frenetic meeting with economic aides, President Trump implemented a three-month pause on expanded tariffs on dozens of countries, excluding China, and raised tariffs on the world's second-largest economy. It comes after the president promised that his policies would "never" change.s
4) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Macro Strategy at Mizuho, on the bond market signals to President Trump and market risks from here. The dollar weakened to begin Thursday as concern reemerges about potential longer-term damage to the global economy from conflict over trade.
5) Kona Haque, Head of Commodities Research at ED&F Man, on the commodity turnaround on Trump's tariff reversal and how softs will fare as trade deals are renegotiate. It comes as the flow of oil from the world’s biggest producer to its largest importer is set to thin to virtually zero as a trade war between the two powerhouse economies escalates.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 10th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Patrick Armstrong, CIO at Plurimi Wealth, Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO, and Greg Boutle, Head of US Equity & Derivative Strategy at BNP Paribas, react to CPI and discuss the outlook for bonds and equities following President Trump's tariff reversal. Strategists have warned investors against buying the dip in equities due to the risks ahead, with some advising caution amid extreme market volatility.
2) Ian Lyngen, Head of US Rates at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss signals from the bond market before and after President Trump's tariff reversal and the outlook for US rates amid the current US economic backdrop. Trump's tariff reversal decision was driven in part by the chaos in financial markets, as well as outreach from other countries making concessions, and he is now considering exemptions for companies facing severe consequences from tariffs.
3) Nancy Tengler, CEO & CIO at Laffer Tengler Investments, talks "amateur hour" at The White House and why markets need a better policy rollout to sustain a rally after Trump's tariff pause. After a frenetic meeting with economic aides, President Trump implemented a three-month pause on expanded tariffs on dozens of countries, excluding China, and raised tariffs on the world's second-largest economy. It comes after the president promised that his policies would "never" change.s
4) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Macro Strategy at Mizuho, on the bond market signals to President Trump and market risks from here. The dollar weakened to begin Thursday as concern reemerges about potential longer-term damage to the global economy from conflict over trade.
5) Kona Haque, Head of Commodities Research at ED&F Man, on the commodity turnaround on Trump's tariff reversal and how softs will fare as trade deals are renegotiate. It comes as the flow of oil from the world’s biggest producer to its largest importer is set to thin to virtually zero as a trade war between the two powerhouse economies escalates.

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Published 2025-04-09

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Ira Jersey & Pat Haskell

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Ira Jersey & Pat Haskell.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Ira Jersey & Pat Haskell.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Published 2025-04-09

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 9, 2025

34 min Transcript
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- Chris Harvey, Head: Equity Strategy at Wells Fargo
- Sheila Kahyaoglu, Managing Director: Equity Research at Jeffries
- Richard Bernstein, CEO and CIO at Richard Bernstein Advisors
- Ruchir Sharma, CIO at Breakout Capital Partners

Chris Harvey, Head: Equity Strategy at Wells Fargo, joins to discuss whether equities could fall further now that President Trump's tariffs have taken effect. Sheila Kahyaoglu, Managing Director: Equity Research at Jeffries, talks about guidance and earnings from airlines and how tariffs could affect profit margins. Richard Bernstein of Richard Bernstein Advisors discusses the outlook for equities and bond amid recent selloffs. Ruchir Sharma, CIO at Breakout Capital Partners, talks about how public policy is reshaping markets and talks about the US economic outlook this year.

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- Chris Harvey, Head: Equity Strategy at Wells Fargo
- Sheila Kahyaoglu, Managing Director: Equity Research at Jeffries
- Richard Bernstein, CEO and CIO at Richard Bernstein Advisors
- Ruchir Sharma, CIO at Breakout Capital Partners

Chris Harvey, Head: Equity Strategy at Wells Fargo, joins to discuss whether equities could fall further now that President Trump's tariffs have taken effect. Sheila Kahyaoglu, Managing Director: Equity Research at Jeffries, talks about guidance and earnings from airlines and how tariffs could affect profit margins. Richard Bernstein of Richard Bernstein Advisors discusses the outlook for equities and bond amid recent selloffs. Ruchir Sharma, CIO at Breakout Capital Partners, talks about how public policy is reshaping markets and talks about the US economic outlook this year.

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Published 2025-04-09

Global Bond Rout as Trump Tariffs Take Effect

35 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 9th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Viktor Hjort, Global Head of Credit Strategy at BNP Paribas, joins to discuss the global bond selloff and whether the Fed will have to step in. The yield on 30-year US Treasuries briefly surpassed 5%, fueling the biggest selloff since 2020, with investors worried about President Donald Trump's tariffs and their potential impact on the economy and inflation.
2) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, joins for an extended discussion on tariffs, the US economy, and outlook for inflation and stagflation. Theories abound about the cause of the bond selloff, including foreign selling of US debt, hedge funds unwinding positions, and a re-evaluation of US government debt by global reserve managers, with some predicting the Federal Reserve may need to step in to stabilize the bond market.
3) Greg Peters, Co-CIO at PGIM Fixed Income, discusses the bond market rout this morning. China retaliated to US tariffs with new levies of its own, causing a global market selloff, with US equity futures falling over 2% and European stocks plunging 4%. The selloff has affected various markets, including currencies, cryptocurrencies, bonds, and commodities, with oil prices falling to around $55 a barrel and the dollar weakening.
4) Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at Yale Budget Lab, talks about their latest report on tariffs now that they've been implemented. Trump's reciprocal tariffs are now in place, imposing levies on China and 60 other trading partners with trade surpluses with the US. The tariffs have raised concerns about a full-blown trade war, with Asian countries bearing the brunt, and have led to a selloff in Treasuries and a decline in Asian and European shares.
5) Amanda Agati, CIO: Asset Allocation at PNC, on her equity outlook given tariffs and cracks emerging in the credit market. The US stock index has plunged nearly 19% since its February peak and is flirting with bear market levels, with the benchmark closing below the 5,000 level for the first time in nearly a year.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 9th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Viktor Hjort, Global Head of Credit Strategy at BNP Paribas, joins to discuss the global bond selloff and whether the Fed will have to step in. The yield on 30-year US Treasuries briefly surpassed 5%, fueling the biggest selloff since 2020, with investors worried about President Donald Trump's tariffs and their potential impact on the economy and inflation.
2) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, joins for an extended discussion on tariffs, the US economy, and outlook for inflation and stagflation. Theories abound about the cause of the bond selloff, including foreign selling of US debt, hedge funds unwinding positions, and a re-evaluation of US government debt by global reserve managers, with some predicting the Federal Reserve may need to step in to stabilize the bond market.
3) Greg Peters, Co-CIO at PGIM Fixed Income, discusses the bond market rout this morning. China retaliated to US tariffs with new levies of its own, causing a global market selloff, with US equity futures falling over 2% and European stocks plunging 4%. The selloff has affected various markets, including currencies, cryptocurrencies, bonds, and commodities, with oil prices falling to around $55 a barrel and the dollar weakening.
4) Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at Yale Budget Lab, talks about their latest report on tariffs now that they've been implemented. Trump's reciprocal tariffs are now in place, imposing levies on China and 60 other trading partners with trade surpluses with the US. The tariffs have raised concerns about a full-blown trade war, with Asian countries bearing the brunt, and have led to a selloff in Treasuries and a decline in Asian and European shares.
5) Amanda Agati, CIO: Asset Allocation at PNC, on her equity outlook given tariffs and cracks emerging in the credit market. The US stock index has plunged nearly 19% since its February peak and is flirting with bear market levels, with the benchmark closing below the 5,000 level for the first time in nearly a year.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Dr. Paul Krugman & Libby Cantrill.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Dr. Paul Krugman & Libby Cantrill.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Published 2025-04-08

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 8, 2025

33 min Transcript
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- Stephen Miran, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers
- Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI
- Skylar Montgomery-Koning, FX Strategist at Barclays
- Nancy Lazar, Chief Global Economist at Piper Sandler & Co.

Stephen Miran, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers at The White House, joins to discuss President Trump's tariff strategy. Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI, joins for a discussion on the outlook for US equities and whether the market will rebound should it get clarity on tariff policy. Skylar Montgomery-Koning, FX Strategist at Barclays, discusses a weakening US dollar and how currencies are being reshaped by President Trump's economic policy. Nancy Lazar, Chief Global Economist at Piper Sandler & Co., joins to discuss whether the US could enter a recession in 2025 and risks to the market.

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- Stephen Miran, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers
- Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI
- Skylar Montgomery-Koning, FX Strategist at Barclays
- Nancy Lazar, Chief Global Economist at Piper Sandler & Co.

Stephen Miran, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers at The White House, joins to discuss President Trump's tariff strategy. Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI, joins for a discussion on the outlook for US equities and whether the market will rebound should it get clarity on tariff policy. Skylar Montgomery-Koning, FX Strategist at Barclays, discusses a weakening US dollar and how currencies are being reshaped by President Trump's economic policy. Nancy Lazar, Chief Global Economist at Piper Sandler & Co., joins to discuss whether the US could enter a recession in 2025 and risks to the market.

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Published 2025-04-08

Traders Search for Safety Amid Tariff Uncertainty

48 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 8th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Dr. Paul Krugman, economist and long time NY Times columnist, joins for an extended discussion about tariffs, trade wars, and DOGE. Investors remain on edge over tariff policy, inflation, and potential labor disruptions, as President Trump recently threatened to impose an additional 50% import tax on China if it doesn't pull back from its plan to impose retaliatory levies on American goods.
2) John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer & Co., joins to discuss lowering his highest-on-Wall Street S&P target and whether he believes equities will bounce back in 2025. Investors remain flummoxed after President Trump's recent remarks and those of his advisers have created confusion and volatility in markets, with investors struggling to understand his negotiating criteria and the lack of a streamlined process for considering exceptions to the tariffs.
3) Ellen Wald, Senior Fellow - Atlantic Council, discusses oil dropping below $60 a barrel, hitting a four-year-low, and outlook for global energy. Goldman Sachs analysts recently estimated that Brent oil could fall below $40 a barrel in late 2026 under "extreme" outcomes, including a global GDP slowdown and a full unwind of OPEC+ cuts.
4) Libby Cantrill, Managing Director: Public Policy at PIMCO, discusses the Trump administration's tariff policies and the components that are here to stay. Anxiety is growing on Wall Street that Donald Trump's actions might break the economy and key parts of the financial markets. Despite a slight easing of the US stock selloff, there are few signs of optimism, and investors are desperate for any sign of tariff relief.
5) James Steel, Chief Commodities Analyst at HSBC, joins for an extended discussion on gold's record rise and whether it will be the safe haven amid tariff uncertainty. With volatility surging as $10 trillion wiped off global equities after the US unveiled sweeping tariffs last week, gold pushed higher yesterday.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 8th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Dr. Paul Krugman, economist and long time NY Times columnist, joins for an extended discussion about tariffs, trade wars, and DOGE. Investors remain on edge over tariff policy, inflation, and potential labor disruptions, as President Trump recently threatened to impose an additional 50% import tax on China if it doesn't pull back from its plan to impose retaliatory levies on American goods.
2) John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer & Co., joins to discuss lowering his highest-on-Wall Street S&P target and whether he believes equities will bounce back in 2025. Investors remain flummoxed after President Trump's recent remarks and those of his advisers have created confusion and volatility in markets, with investors struggling to understand his negotiating criteria and the lack of a streamlined process for considering exceptions to the tariffs.
3) Ellen Wald, Senior Fellow - Atlantic Council, discusses oil dropping below $60 a barrel, hitting a four-year-low, and outlook for global energy. Goldman Sachs analysts recently estimated that Brent oil could fall below $40 a barrel in late 2026 under "extreme" outcomes, including a global GDP slowdown and a full unwind of OPEC+ cuts.
4) Libby Cantrill, Managing Director: Public Policy at PIMCO, discusses the Trump administration's tariff policies and the components that are here to stay. Anxiety is growing on Wall Street that Donald Trump's actions might break the economy and key parts of the financial markets. Despite a slight easing of the US stock selloff, there are few signs of optimism, and investors are desperate for any sign of tariff relief.
5) James Steel, Chief Commodities Analyst at HSBC, joins for an extended discussion on gold's record rise and whether it will be the safe haven amid tariff uncertainty. With volatility surging as $10 trillion wiped off global equities after the US unveiled sweeping tariffs last week, gold pushed higher yesterday.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Damian Sassower & Lori Calvasina.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Damian Sassower & Lori Calvasina.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Published 2025-04-07

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 7, 2025

27 min Transcript
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- Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets
- Justin Wolfers, University of Michigan Professor of Public Policy
- Ed Mills, Washington Policy Analyst at Raymond James
- Meghan Graper, Global Co-Head: Debt Capital Markets at Barclays

Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, talks about the market selloff and whether the meltdown in equities is set to continue as long as tariffs stay in place. Justin Wolfers with the University of Michigan talks about whether negotiating with other countries on tariffs would be an effective economic strategy. Ed Wills of Raymond James discusses President Trump's commitment to tariffs. Meghan Graper, Global Co-Head: Debt Capital Markets at Barclays, discusses what debt markets are telling investors about rising risks in the economy.

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- Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets
- Justin Wolfers, University of Michigan Professor of Public Policy
- Ed Mills, Washington Policy Analyst at Raymond James
- Meghan Graper, Global Co-Head: Debt Capital Markets at Barclays

Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, talks about the market selloff and whether the meltdown in equities is set to continue as long as tariffs stay in place. Justin Wolfers with the University of Michigan talks about whether negotiating with other countries on tariffs would be an effective economic strategy. Ed Wills of Raymond James discusses President Trump's commitment to tariffs. Meghan Graper, Global Co-Head: Debt Capital Markets at Barclays, discusses what debt markets are telling investors about rising risks in the economy.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 7th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, discusses her note this morning on why full recession pricing could send the S&P to 4,200. The RBC team led by Calvasina writes in note that the concern of many financial market participants seemed to rapidly swing from stagflation to recession on Thursday and Friday. They add that the value/growth ratio within the Russell 1000 has gotten close to the 2024 lows, “making us wonder whether that trade may soon get to a potential inflection point.”
2) Michael Purves, CEO at Tallbacken Capital Advisors, discusses his recent note "The Express Train to 4,800" and why he believes the S&P could fall as low as 4,000. Traders have increased expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year, with markets pricing 125 basis points of easing by year end. Economists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. expect the US economy to fall into a recession this year, with the Fed cutting interest rates in response.
3) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, talks about tariff policy, where the GOP stands on tax cuts, and how policy could change in the coming days and months. President Trump's tariff hikes increase the urgency of the Republican tax-cut package, but threaten to undermine its boost to business and consumer confidence. The tariffs could tip the economy into a downward spiral, making it tough for tax cuts and deregulation to reverse, and may lead to a recession this year.
4) Keith Lerner, Co-CIO at Truist, talks about investors being on the defensive as stocks have more room to decline. As President Trump remains defiant on tariffs, markets were set for another tough week, with US equity futures plunging Sunday, following a 10% drop in the underlying index in two days, and economists predicting a recession this year.
5) Sonali Basak, Wall Street reporter with Bloomberg News, on JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon and the JPMorgan annual shareholder letter. Dimon urged a quick resolution to the uncertainties sparked by President Donald Trump's tariffs, warning against a potentially "disastrous" fragmentation of America's long-term economic alliances.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 7th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, discusses her note this morning on why full recession pricing could send the S&P to 4,200. The RBC team led by Calvasina writes in note that the concern of many financial market participants seemed to rapidly swing from stagflation to recession on Thursday and Friday. They add that the value/growth ratio within the Russell 1000 has gotten close to the 2024 lows, “making us wonder whether that trade may soon get to a potential inflection point.”
2) Michael Purves, CEO at Tallbacken Capital Advisors, discusses his recent note "The Express Train to 4,800" and why he believes the S&P could fall as low as 4,000. Traders have increased expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year, with markets pricing 125 basis points of easing by year end. Economists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. expect the US economy to fall into a recession this year, with the Fed cutting interest rates in response.
3) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, talks about tariff policy, where the GOP stands on tax cuts, and how policy could change in the coming days and months. President Trump's tariff hikes increase the urgency of the Republican tax-cut package, but threaten to undermine its boost to business and consumer confidence. The tariffs could tip the economy into a downward spiral, making it tough for tax cuts and deregulation to reverse, and may lead to a recession this year.
4) Keith Lerner, Co-CIO at Truist, talks about investors being on the defensive as stocks have more room to decline. As President Trump remains defiant on tariffs, markets were set for another tough week, with US equity futures plunging Sunday, following a 10% drop in the underlying index in two days, and economists predicting a recession this year.
5) Sonali Basak, Wall Street reporter with Bloomberg News, on JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon and the JPMorgan annual shareholder letter. Dimon urged a quick resolution to the uncertainties sparked by President Donald Trump's tariffs, warning against a potentially "disastrous" fragmentation of America's long-term economic alliances.

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Published 2025-04-04

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Neil Dutta & Kate Moore

4 min Transcript
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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Neil Dutta & Kate Moore.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Neil Dutta & Kate Moore.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Published 2025-04-04

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 4, 2025

22 min Transcript
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- Mohamed El-Erian, President of Queens' College, Cambridge
- Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research
- Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager - Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock
- Michael Zezas, Global Head: Public Policy and Fixed Income at Morgan Stanley

Mohamed El-Erian, President of Queens' College, Cambridge and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, Jeffrey Rosenberg with BlackRock, and Wolfe Research's Stephanie Roth react to the March jobs report. Michael Zezas, Global Head: Public Policy and Fixed Income at Morgan Stanley, discusses the Trump administration's tariff plan as the GOP weighs how it will extend tax cuts this year.

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- Mohamed El-Erian, President of Queens' College, Cambridge
- Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research
- Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager - Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock
- Michael Zezas, Global Head: Public Policy and Fixed Income at Morgan Stanley

Mohamed El-Erian, President of Queens' College, Cambridge and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, Jeffrey Rosenberg with BlackRock, and Wolfe Research's Stephanie Roth react to the March jobs report. Michael Zezas, Global Head: Public Policy and Fixed Income at Morgan Stanley, discusses the Trump administration's tariff plan as the GOP weighs how it will extend tax cuts this year.

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Published 2025-04-04

Traders React to the Jobs Report as Tariffs Sink In

55 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 4th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, Neil Dutta, Head: US Research at Renaissance Macro Research, and Jamie Patton, Co-Head of Global Rates at TCW, react to today's jobs figures and discuss the outlook for the Fed and Jay Powell. Traders have increased their expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year, with money markets now showing 100 basis points of reductions by year-end.
2) Dan Ives, Global Head of Technology at Wedbush Securities, discusses the "worse than worse case scenario" tariff announcement as it relates to tech. President Trump announced sweeping tariffs on imports from virtually every US trading partner, affecting tech companies like Dell, Apple, Sonos, and HP. The tariffs will increase costs, slow demand, and strain global supply chains, with levies ranging from 10% to 46% on imports from countries like China, Taiwan, and South Korea.
3) David Blanchflower, economics professor and labor economist at Dartmouth University, on labor and wages in a high tariff America. As tariffs set into the American economy, it's unclear how they will affect wages and the labor market. It comes as Republicans are considering creating a new tax bracket for those earning $1 million or more, with a top rate of around 39% to 40%, to offset the costs of their tax bill.
4) Gautam Mukunda, professor at Yale University School of Management and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, on the short and long-term political impact of tariffs. It comes as a new poll shows President Trump's approval rating slipping ahead of his tariff announcement.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including the Wall Street Journal story on the domino affect from the trade war and the New York Times' look at the grocery aisle and the impact of tariffs

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 4th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, Neil Dutta, Head: US Research at Renaissance Macro Research, and Jamie Patton, Co-Head of Global Rates at TCW, react to today's jobs figures and discuss the outlook for the Fed and Jay Powell. Traders have increased their expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year, with money markets now showing 100 basis points of reductions by year-end.
2) Dan Ives, Global Head of Technology at Wedbush Securities, discusses the "worse than worse case scenario" tariff announcement as it relates to tech. President Trump announced sweeping tariffs on imports from virtually every US trading partner, affecting tech companies like Dell, Apple, Sonos, and HP. The tariffs will increase costs, slow demand, and strain global supply chains, with levies ranging from 10% to 46% on imports from countries like China, Taiwan, and South Korea.
3) David Blanchflower, economics professor and labor economist at Dartmouth University, on labor and wages in a high tariff America. As tariffs set into the American economy, it's unclear how they will affect wages and the labor market. It comes as Republicans are considering creating a new tax bracket for those earning $1 million or more, with a top rate of around 39% to 40%, to offset the costs of their tax bill.
4) Gautam Mukunda, professor at Yale University School of Management and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, on the short and long-term political impact of tariffs. It comes as a new poll shows President Trump's approval rating slipping ahead of his tariff announcement.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including the Wall Street Journal story on the domino affect from the trade war and the New York Times' look at the grocery aisle and the impact of tariffs

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Holger Schmieding & Ed Yardeni.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Holger Schmieding & Ed Yardeni.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Published 2025-04-03

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 3, 2025

40 min Transcript
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- Howard Lutnick, US Commerce Secretary
- Jim Zelter, President at Apollo Global Management
- Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy

US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick joins for an extended discussion on President Trump's tariff announcement. Jim Zelter, President at Apollo Global Management, talks about how markets will react to President Trump's tariffs. Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, discusses the political calculations behind President Trump's tariff decision.

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- Howard Lutnick, US Commerce Secretary
- Jim Zelter, President at Apollo Global Management
- Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy

US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick joins for an extended discussion on President Trump's tariff announcement. Jim Zelter, President at Apollo Global Management, talks about how markets will react to President Trump's tariffs. Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, discusses the political calculations behind President Trump's tariff decision.

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Published 2025-04-03

Trump Tariffs Reshape Global Trade and Geopolitics

52 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 3rd, 2025
Featuring:
1) Doug Irwin, professor at Dartmouth University, on the reset of the global trade order and whether countries will just move on without the US. The tariffs are expected to have significant economic implications, including higher US prices, slower growth, and possibly even a recession, with many countries likely to end up in a recession if the tariff rate stays on for an extended period of time. Ed Yardeni, president at Yardeni Research, talks about lowering his S&P target yet again and whether there's more even more market risks now that tariffs have been announced. Global financial markets experienced a sweeping selloff after President Trump's bid to remake the world trading order proved more aggressive than expected. The tariff announcements threaten to extend the S&P 500's recent weakness.
2) Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management, on signals from the bond market in the US and whether a recession is now likely. Gold hit new highs amid investors’ flight to haven assets on the tariff announcement, while 10-year Treasury yields dropped to the lowest level in more than five months and the yen strengthened. 
3) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, discusses President's Trump's geopolitical reset and America "going it alone." President Trump's move marks a dramatic escalation in Trump's trade war, sparking threats of retaliation from other countries and causing a selloff in global financial markets.
4) Elizabeth Economy, professor at Stanford University, talks about China getting hit hard by Trump's tariffs and whether they affect China's geopolitical strategy is being reshaped by Trump's approach. China has vowed to retaliate against Donald Trump's tariffs, which have increased by 34%, putting the world's largest economies on a collision course that risks decimating bilateral trade and upending supply chains.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 3rd, 2025
Featuring:
1) Doug Irwin, professor at Dartmouth University, on the reset of the global trade order and whether countries will just move on without the US. The tariffs are expected to have significant economic implications, including higher US prices, slower growth, and possibly even a recession, with many countries likely to end up in a recession if the tariff rate stays on for an extended period of time. Ed Yardeni, president at Yardeni Research, talks about lowering his S&P target yet again and whether there's more even more market risks now that tariffs have been announced. Global financial markets experienced a sweeping selloff after President Trump's bid to remake the world trading order proved more aggressive than expected. The tariff announcements threaten to extend the S&P 500's recent weakness.
2) Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management, on signals from the bond market in the US and whether a recession is now likely. Gold hit new highs amid investors’ flight to haven assets on the tariff announcement, while 10-year Treasury yields dropped to the lowest level in more than five months and the yen strengthened. 
3) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, discusses President's Trump's geopolitical reset and America "going it alone." President Trump's move marks a dramatic escalation in Trump's trade war, sparking threats of retaliation from other countries and causing a selloff in global financial markets.
4) Elizabeth Economy, professor at Stanford University, talks about China getting hit hard by Trump's tariffs and whether they affect China's geopolitical strategy is being reshaped by Trump's approach. China has vowed to retaliate against Donald Trump's tariffs, which have increased by 34%, putting the world's largest economies on a collision course that risks decimating bilateral trade and upending supply chains.

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Published 2025-04-03

Trump Tariffs: Everything You Need to Know

21 min Transcript
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This is a special edition of the Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition podcast.     
Subscribe to the show:     
on Apple: http://bit.ly/3DWYoAN     
on Spotify: http://bit.ly/3jGRYiB     
Anywhere: http://bit.ly/3J1bct9

On today's episode:     
President Donald Trump imposed the steepest American tariffs in a century as he steps up his campaign to reshape the global economy, sparking threats of retaliation and a selloff in markets around the world.Trump announced Wednesday he will apply at least a 10% tariff on all exporters to the US, with even higher duties on some 60 nations, to counter large trade imbalances with the US. That includes some of the country’s biggest trading partners, such as China — which now faces a tariff of well above 50% on many goods — as well as the European Union, Japan and Vietnam.“For years, hard-working American citizens were forced to sit on the sidelines as other nations got rich and powerful, much of it at our expense,” Trump said during an event in the White House Rose Garden to unveil the so-called reciprocal tariffs. “Now it’s our turn to prosper.”The move marks a dramatic escalation in Trump’s trade war, one that risks triggering retaliation from other countries and upends calculations for businesses and consumers at home. China and the EU, America’s largest trading partner, both said they were preparing to take countermeasures in response.The US president has embraced tariffs as a tool to assert US power, revive manufacturing at home and exact geopolitical concessions — counter to the decades-old consensus that lower trade barriers help to foster ties among nations and prevent conflicts. Economists say the near-term result of his measures will likely be higher US prices and slower growth — or perhaps even a recession.Global financial markets were hit by a sweeping selloff after Trump’s announcement, with US equity futures slumping as much as 4%.Gold hit an all-time high and the traditional haven Japanese yen soared, while China maintained its daily support of the yuan. Ten-year Treasury yields fell toward the closely-watched 4% level, their lowest since October.Read More: Fear Grips Markets as Trump Tariffs Raise Risks to Global GrowthLess than three months after returning to the White House, Trump has already erected trade barriers that are bigger by some measures than those imposed in the notoriously protectionist 1930s. Bloomberg Economics calculates that the effective tax rate the US now charges on more than $3 trillion of imported goods may climb to around 23% — higher than any point in more than a century.A statement published Wednesday by the United States Trade Representative explained the Trump administration calculated its raft of new tariffs primarily based on existing trade balances. Countries running a trade surplus with the US faced a flat 10% rate regardless, as did nations where trade was roughly even.There’s a small difference in the tariff rates first announced by Trump and more than a dozen of those listed in the annex that accompanied the White House executive order. For countries like South Korea, Myanmar, Pakistan and India, the rates in the annex are about 1 percentage point higher than the initial announcement.The 10% baseline charge on everyone takes effect after midnight Saturday. The higher duties on targeted countries — which replace, rather than add on top of the 10% rate — are due to kick in on April 9, the White House said.Read More: List of Reciprocal Tariffs by CountryFor now, the new measures don’t include Canada and Mexico, which are embroiled in a separate on-and-off tariff dispute with the US. They also won’t apply to some products that are subject to separate duties tied to so-called Sec. 232 investigations such as autos, semiconductors and lumber.The reciprocal tariffs were “much worse than we feared,” said Mary Lovely, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. There’ll be “huge implications for rerouting of trade,” she said.The president, who’s sought to frame his trade plans as a boost for his blue-collar voters, was joined in the Rose Garden by union members and workers from various industries — including a retired autoworker who spoke on stage. Later, Trump brandished large boards during his 48-minute address to display each nation’s new rate.

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This is a special edition of the Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition podcast.     
Subscribe to the show:     
on Apple: http://bit.ly/3DWYoAN     
on Spotify: http://bit.ly/3jGRYiB     
Anywhere: http://bit.ly/3J1bct9

On today's episode:     
President Donald Trump imposed the steepest American tariffs in a century as he steps up his campaign to reshape the global economy, sparking threats of retaliation and a selloff in markets around the world.Trump announced Wednesday he will apply at least a 10% tariff on all exporters to the US, with even higher duties on some 60 nations, to counter large trade imbalances with the US. That includes some of the country’s biggest trading partners, such as China — which now faces a tariff of well above 50% on many goods — as well as the European Union, Japan and Vietnam.“For years, hard-working American citizens were forced to sit on the sidelines as other nations got rich and powerful, much of it at our expense,” Trump said during an event in the White House Rose Garden to unveil the so-called reciprocal tariffs. “Now it’s our turn to prosper.”The move marks a dramatic escalation in Trump’s trade war, one that risks triggering retaliation from other countries and upends calculations for businesses and consumers at home. China and the EU, America’s largest trading partner, both said they were preparing to take countermeasures in response.The US president has embraced tariffs as a tool to assert US power, revive manufacturing at home and exact geopolitical concessions — counter to the decades-old consensus that lower trade barriers help to foster ties among nations and prevent conflicts. Economists say the near-term result of his measures will likely be higher US prices and slower growth — or perhaps even a recession.Global financial markets were hit by a sweeping selloff after Trump’s announcement, with US equity futures slumping as much as 4%.Gold hit an all-time high and the traditional haven Japanese yen soared, while China maintained its daily support of the yuan. Ten-year Treasury yields fell toward the closely-watched 4% level, their lowest since October.Read More: Fear Grips Markets as Trump Tariffs Raise Risks to Global GrowthLess than three months after returning to the White House, Trump has already erected trade barriers that are bigger by some measures than those imposed in the notoriously protectionist 1930s. Bloomberg Economics calculates that the effective tax rate the US now charges on more than $3 trillion of imported goods may climb to around 23% — higher than any point in more than a century.A statement published Wednesday by the United States Trade Representative explained the Trump administration calculated its raft of new tariffs primarily based on existing trade balances. Countries running a trade surplus with the US faced a flat 10% rate regardless, as did nations where trade was roughly even.There’s a small difference in the tariff rates first announced by Trump and more than a dozen of those listed in the annex that accompanied the White House executive order. For countries like South Korea, Myanmar, Pakistan and India, the rates in the annex are about 1 percentage point higher than the initial announcement.The 10% baseline charge on everyone takes effect after midnight Saturday. The higher duties on targeted countries — which replace, rather than add on top of the 10% rate — are due to kick in on April 9, the White House said.Read More: List of Reciprocal Tariffs by CountryFor now, the new measures don’t include Canada and Mexico, which are embroiled in a separate on-and-off tariff dispute with the US. They also won’t apply to some products that are subject to separate duties tied to so-called Sec. 232 investigations such as autos, semiconductors and lumber.The reciprocal tariffs were “much worse than we feared,” said Mary Lovely, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. There’ll be “huge implications for rerouting of trade,” she said.The president, who’s sought to frame his trade plans as a boost for his blue-collar voters, was joined in the Rose Garden by union members and workers from various industries — including a retired autoworker who spoke on stage. Later, Trump brandished large boards during his 48-minute address to display each nation’s new rate.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Jason Furman & Justin Wolfers.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Jason Furman & Justin Wolfers.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Published 2025-04-02

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 2, 2025

28 min Transcript
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- Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Hogan Lovells US
- Binky Chadha, Chief US Equity Strategist at Deutsche Bank
- Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan Stanley
- Julia Coronado, founder and President at Macropolicy Perspectives

Kelly Ann Shaw of Hogan Lovells discusses the potential market reaction and economic impact of President Trump's tariff plan, which will be unveiled late Wednesday afternoon. Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha talks about whether equities could rebound from correction territory despite an uncertain incoming tariff announcement. Seth Carpenter with Morgan Stanley talks about how tariffs are being priced in to the US economy. Julia Coronado, founder and President at Macropolicy Perspectives, discusses the outlook for the US economy and inflation as the Trump administration's tariff plan is unveiled today.

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- Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Hogan Lovells US
- Binky Chadha, Chief US Equity Strategist at Deutsche Bank
- Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan Stanley
- Julia Coronado, founder and President at Macropolicy Perspectives

Kelly Ann Shaw of Hogan Lovells discusses the potential market reaction and economic impact of President Trump's tariff plan, which will be unveiled late Wednesday afternoon. Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha talks about whether equities could rebound from correction territory despite an uncertain incoming tariff announcement. Seth Carpenter with Morgan Stanley talks about how tariffs are being priced in to the US economy. Julia Coronado, founder and President at Macropolicy Perspectives, discusses the outlook for the US economy and inflation as the Trump administration's tariff plan is unveiled today.

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Published 2025-04-02

Markets Await Tariff Announcement on Liberation Day

36 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 2nd, 2025
Featuring:
1) Jason Furman, Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy at Harvard University, discusses his recent NYT opinion piece on why he believes tariffs are such a terrible idea. The tariffs, which will be announced today, are expected to take immediate effect, with countries able to negotiate to bring rates down.
2) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, discusses the Wisconsin Senate race, Republicans holding seats in Florida, and how a potential GOP tax hike could reshape the entire tariff and economic discussion. President Trump's team is finalizing plans for reciprocal tariffs to be unveiled on Wednesday. It comes as Republicans are drafting a tax bill that includes increasing the state and local tax deduction to up to $25,000 for an individual.
3) Nisha Patel, portfolio manager at Parametric, talks about opportunities in munis, tax loss harvesting, and great opportunities in long end yields. Municipal bonds underperformed the U.S. taxable bond market last month. The Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index lost 1.69%, compared with a return of 0.04% for the Bloomberg US Aggregate Index.
4) Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, on the problem of "An Eye for an Eye" when it comes to global trade on Liberation Day. The tariff announcement has caused uncertainty, shaking markets and prompting economists to cut growth forecasts, with Trump aiming to raise $700 billion annually in tariff revenue. The tariffs could apply widely, even to countries with which the US doesn't have a trade imbalance.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a New York Times survey on a new survey finds that more Americans can't afford medical care, and the Wall Street Journal's story on the workplace battle over who should pay for Ozempic.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 2nd, 2025
Featuring:
1) Jason Furman, Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy at Harvard University, discusses his recent NYT opinion piece on why he believes tariffs are such a terrible idea. The tariffs, which will be announced today, are expected to take immediate effect, with countries able to negotiate to bring rates down.
2) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, discusses the Wisconsin Senate race, Republicans holding seats in Florida, and how a potential GOP tax hike could reshape the entire tariff and economic discussion. President Trump's team is finalizing plans for reciprocal tariffs to be unveiled on Wednesday. It comes as Republicans are drafting a tax bill that includes increasing the state and local tax deduction to up to $25,000 for an individual.
3) Nisha Patel, portfolio manager at Parametric, talks about opportunities in munis, tax loss harvesting, and great opportunities in long end yields. Municipal bonds underperformed the U.S. taxable bond market last month. The Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index lost 1.69%, compared with a return of 0.04% for the Bloomberg US Aggregate Index.
4) Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, on the problem of "An Eye for an Eye" when it comes to global trade on Liberation Day. The tariff announcement has caused uncertainty, shaking markets and prompting economists to cut growth forecasts, with Trump aiming to raise $700 billion annually in tariff revenue. The tariffs could apply widely, even to countries with which the US doesn't have a trade imbalance.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a New York Times survey on a new survey finds that more Americans can't afford medical care, and the Wall Street Journal's story on the workplace battle over who should pay for Ozempic.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Richard Clarida & Michael Nathanson.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Richard Clarida & Michael Nathanson.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Published 2025-04-01

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 1, 2025

26 min Transcript
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- Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research
- Tobin Marcus, Head: Policy & Politics at Wolfe Research
- Francisco Blanch, Head: Global Commodities & Derivatives Research at Bank of America
- Emily Roland, Co-Chief Investment Strategist at John Hancock Investment Management

Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research discusses why he's again lowering his S&P target for 2025. Tobin Marcus with Wolfe Research previews President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement and what investors should expect. Bank of America's Francisco Blanch talks about opportunities in commodities as equity uncertainty grows over economic policy. Emily Roland, Co-Chief Investment Strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, talks about whether investors should be rethinking their equity allocation amid incoming tariff policy.

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- Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research
- Tobin Marcus, Head: Policy & Politics at Wolfe Research
- Francisco Blanch, Head: Global Commodities & Derivatives Research at Bank of America
- Emily Roland, Co-Chief Investment Strategist at John Hancock Investment Management

Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research discusses why he's again lowering his S&P target for 2025. Tobin Marcus with Wolfe Research previews President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement and what investors should expect. Bank of America's Francisco Blanch talks about opportunities in commodities as equity uncertainty grows over economic policy. Emily Roland, Co-Chief Investment Strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, talks about whether investors should be rethinking their equity allocation amid incoming tariff policy.

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Published 2025-04-01

Markets Await Incoming Trump Tariff Policy

49 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 1st, 2025
Featuring:
1) Rich Clarida, Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO and former Fed Vice Chair, joins for an extended discussion on how the Fed will digest this week's tariff announcement and the March payrolls data. President Trump's upcoming announcement on tariffs has created uncertainty, leading investors to be cautious and strategists to lower their estimates.
2) Michael Nathanson, partner at MoffettNathanson, joins to discuss his note on YouTube dominance. Measured by revenue, YouTube was the second-biggest media company in the world last year. It brought in $54.2 billion in 2024 — just $5.5 billion behind Disney. And in 2025, Nathanson predicts, YouTube should eclipse Disney, and become the biggest media company in the world.
3) Nancy Lazar, Chief Global Economist at Piper Sandler & Co, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for the US economy and inflation. President Trump will announce a reciprocal tariff plan on April 2 in the White House Rose Garden, featuring "country-based" tariffs. Uncertainty surrounding his plans, which have often changed and been subject to last-minute carveouts, have triggered fears they could blow up supply chains and raise prices for US consumers. That angst has fueled a weeks-long sell off on Wall Street that extended into Monday.
4) Chris Ailman, former CIO at CalSTRS and founder of Ailman Advisers, discusses his role as the Chair of the 300 Club and what he's hearing is front of mind for global CIOs. One consideration for businesses and investors: the stream of executive orders and reversals coming from the White House — Trump announced a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods last month, then exempted those covered by USMCA — have required customs experts and trade lawyers. While some companies have their own in-house teams, others have sought outside help in reviewing their products to ensure that enough of them are made in North America.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including YouTube about to become the world's biggest media company and Disney getting the last laugh on Snow White.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 1st, 2025
Featuring:
1) Rich Clarida, Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO and former Fed Vice Chair, joins for an extended discussion on how the Fed will digest this week's tariff announcement and the March payrolls data. President Trump's upcoming announcement on tariffs has created uncertainty, leading investors to be cautious and strategists to lower their estimates.
2) Michael Nathanson, partner at MoffettNathanson, joins to discuss his note on YouTube dominance. Measured by revenue, YouTube was the second-biggest media company in the world last year. It brought in $54.2 billion in 2024 — just $5.5 billion behind Disney. And in 2025, Nathanson predicts, YouTube should eclipse Disney, and become the biggest media company in the world.
3) Nancy Lazar, Chief Global Economist at Piper Sandler & Co, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for the US economy and inflation. President Trump will announce a reciprocal tariff plan on April 2 in the White House Rose Garden, featuring "country-based" tariffs. Uncertainty surrounding his plans, which have often changed and been subject to last-minute carveouts, have triggered fears they could blow up supply chains and raise prices for US consumers. That angst has fueled a weeks-long sell off on Wall Street that extended into Monday.
4) Chris Ailman, former CIO at CalSTRS and founder of Ailman Advisers, discusses his role as the Chair of the 300 Club and what he's hearing is front of mind for global CIOs. One consideration for businesses and investors: the stream of executive orders and reversals coming from the White House — Trump announced a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods last month, then exempted those covered by USMCA — have required customs experts and trade lawyers. While some companies have their own in-house teams, others have sought outside help in reviewing their products to ensure that enough of them are made in North America.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including YouTube about to become the world's biggest media company and Disney getting the last laugh on Snow White.

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Published 2025-03-31

The Stock Movers Podcast from Bloomberg

6 min Transcript
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Check out the new Stock Movers Podcast from Bloomberg. Subscribe for five-minute episodes on today's winners and losers in the stock market.
Listen on Apple: https://apple.co/4kJ43ON
Listen on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/mr385jv6
Listen on other platforms: https://link.podtrac.com/h0zn7xir

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Check out the new Stock Movers Podcast from Bloomberg. Subscribe for five-minute episodes on today's winners and losers in the stock market.
Listen on Apple: https://apple.co/4kJ43ON
Listen on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/mr385jv6
Listen on other platforms: https://link.podtrac.com/h0zn7xir

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Published 2025-03-31

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Kriti Gupta & Neil Dutta

4 min Transcript
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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Kriti Gupta & Neil Dutta.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Kriti Gupta & Neil Dutta.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Published 2025-03-31

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: March 31, 2025

30 min Transcript
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- Mike Wilson, Chief US Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley
- Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners
- Darrell Cronk, CIO: Wealth & Investment at Wells Fargo
- John Murphy, Lead Analyst: Equity Research at Bank of America Securities

Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson discusses why he sees limited near-term US stock upside and whether US economic growth will remain strong. Henrietta Treyz of Veda Partners talks about the outlook for tax legislation and tariffs. Darrell Cronk, CIO: Wealth & Investment at Wells Fargo, talks about asset allocation and what investors are most concerned amid growing market uncertainty. John Murphy with Bank of America talks about how President Trump's auto tariffs will affect sector domestically and globally.

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- Mike Wilson, Chief US Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley
- Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners
- Darrell Cronk, CIO: Wealth & Investment at Wells Fargo
- John Murphy, Lead Analyst: Equity Research at Bank of America Securities

Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson discusses why he sees limited near-term US stock upside and whether US economic growth will remain strong. Henrietta Treyz of Veda Partners talks about the outlook for tax legislation and tariffs. Darrell Cronk, CIO: Wealth & Investment at Wells Fargo, talks about asset allocation and what investors are most concerned amid growing market uncertainty. John Murphy with Bank of America talks about how President Trump's auto tariffs will affect sector domestically and globally.

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Published 2025-03-31

Global Stocks Sell Off as US Tariffs Loom

36 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMarch 31st, 2025
Featuring:
1) Neil Dutta, Head: Macro Research at Renaissance Macro Research, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for the US economy and the incoming impact of tariffs. The risk of tariff-linked damage has propelled the S&P 500 to its worst quarter since 2022, wiping $5 trillion off its value from a Feb. 19 record high.
2) Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, talks about whether it's finally time to give up the bullish take on equities. Wall Street forecasters, including Goldman Sachs' David Kostin, are lowering their S&P 500 targets due to increased recession risk and tariff-related uncertainty. Other strategists, including Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson and JPMorgan Chase's Mislav Matejka, are also taking a more cautious tone on the S&P 500.
3) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, discusses DC headlines, tariffs, and taxes. President Donald Trump plans to start his reciprocal tariff push with "all countries". The Trump administration has not yet outlined what tariffs are coming, how they'll be calculated, or what countries will need to do to secure exemptions.
4) Kriti Gupta, host on Bloomberg TV and Radio from London, joins for a discussion on the global selloff in markets and Marine Le Pen's possible presidential bid. The far-right leader Le Pen was convicted of embezzlement by a Paris court. Prosecutors previously asked for Le Pen to get an immediate 5-year ban on running for office. Le Pen had denied any wrongdoing and said the prosecution is seeking her “political death.”
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Wall Street Journal article about Costco's Kirkland brand and the Yankees' torpedo-shaped bats.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMarch 31st, 2025
Featuring:
1) Neil Dutta, Head: Macro Research at Renaissance Macro Research, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for the US economy and the incoming impact of tariffs. The risk of tariff-linked damage has propelled the S&P 500 to its worst quarter since 2022, wiping $5 trillion off its value from a Feb. 19 record high.
2) Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, talks about whether it's finally time to give up the bullish take on equities. Wall Street forecasters, including Goldman Sachs' David Kostin, are lowering their S&P 500 targets due to increased recession risk and tariff-related uncertainty. Other strategists, including Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson and JPMorgan Chase's Mislav Matejka, are also taking a more cautious tone on the S&P 500.
3) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, discusses DC headlines, tariffs, and taxes. President Donald Trump plans to start his reciprocal tariff push with "all countries". The Trump administration has not yet outlined what tariffs are coming, how they'll be calculated, or what countries will need to do to secure exemptions.
4) Kriti Gupta, host on Bloomberg TV and Radio from London, joins for a discussion on the global selloff in markets and Marine Le Pen's possible presidential bid. The far-right leader Le Pen was convicted of embezzlement by a Paris court. Prosecutors previously asked for Le Pen to get an immediate 5-year ban on running for office. Le Pen had denied any wrongdoing and said the prosecution is seeking her “political death.”
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Wall Street Journal article about Costco's Kirkland brand and the Yankees' torpedo-shaped bats.

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Published 2025-03-28

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: March 28, 2025

32 min Transcript
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- Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global Investments
- Angelo Zino, Vice President of Equity Research at CFRA
- French Hill, US Representative: Arkansas and Chairman of House Financial Services Committee
- Jim Bullard, Dean of the Purdue University Business School

Victoria Fernandez of Crossmark Global Investments discusses the outlook for equities amid looming US tariffs. Angelo Zino with CFRA talks about Nvidia-backed CoreWeave IPO. French Hill, Republican US Representative: Arkansas and Chairman of House Financial Services Committee, discusses the economic priorities of the House and how Federal policy could reshape the US economy. Jim Bullard, Dean of the Purdue University Business School and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, reacts to PCE data today.

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- Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global Investments
- Angelo Zino, Vice President of Equity Research at CFRA
- French Hill, US Representative: Arkansas and Chairman of House Financial Services Committee
- Jim Bullard, Dean of the Purdue University Business School

Victoria Fernandez of Crossmark Global Investments discusses the outlook for equities amid looming US tariffs. Angelo Zino with CFRA talks about Nvidia-backed CoreWeave IPO. French Hill, Republican US Representative: Arkansas and Chairman of House Financial Services Committee, discusses the economic priorities of the House and how Federal policy could reshape the US economy. Jim Bullard, Dean of the Purdue University Business School and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, reacts to PCE data today.

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Published 2025-03-28

Reacting to PCE Data and Previewing Trump's April 2 Tariffs

51 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMarch 28th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Tiffany Wilding, Economist at PIMCO, Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research, and Lauren Goodwin, Chief Market Strategist at New York Life Investments, react to PCE and offer their US market and economic outlook. Today's data comes as Fed officials, such as the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Susan Collins, have recently warned about inflation reigniting due to President Trump's unclear tariff policy.
2) Sevasti Balafas, CEO at GoalVest Advisory, brings us into the market open and talks asset allocation and offers her stock picks. It comes amid a global selloff in equities as investors have been selling equities in the run up to April 2, ahead of President Donald Trump’s tariff deadline.
3) Mike Haridopolos, Republican US House Representative from Florida, talks about a slew of DC headlines, including tariffs, and his focus on the Consumer Financial Protection bureau and its future. Some of the top Washington stories include Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth urging China deterrence on a trip clouded by Signal uproar and US seeking to control Ukraine investment and squeezing out Europe.
4) Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at Cotality, discusses the outlook for mortgage rates in 2025 and 2026 and why they may remain sticky amid so much economic uncertainty. Freddie Mac said in a statement this week that the average for 30-year loans was 6.65%, down from 6.67% last week. It was the first time in three weeks that mortgage rates fell, as house hunters are finding more choices on the market in time for the country’s key spring selling season.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including the Wall Street Journal article on the significance of women wearing ties and a piece from the New York post on President Trump's childhood home selling at a steep discount.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMarch 28th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Tiffany Wilding, Economist at PIMCO, Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research, and Lauren Goodwin, Chief Market Strategist at New York Life Investments, react to PCE and offer their US market and economic outlook. Today's data comes as Fed officials, such as the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Susan Collins, have recently warned about inflation reigniting due to President Trump's unclear tariff policy.
2) Sevasti Balafas, CEO at GoalVest Advisory, brings us into the market open and talks asset allocation and offers her stock picks. It comes amid a global selloff in equities as investors have been selling equities in the run up to April 2, ahead of President Donald Trump’s tariff deadline.
3) Mike Haridopolos, Republican US House Representative from Florida, talks about a slew of DC headlines, including tariffs, and his focus on the Consumer Financial Protection bureau and its future. Some of the top Washington stories include Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth urging China deterrence on a trip clouded by Signal uproar and US seeking to control Ukraine investment and squeezing out Europe.
4) Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at Cotality, discusses the outlook for mortgage rates in 2025 and 2026 and why they may remain sticky amid so much economic uncertainty. Freddie Mac said in a statement this week that the average for 30-year loans was 6.65%, down from 6.67% last week. It was the first time in three weeks that mortgage rates fell, as house hunters are finding more choices on the market in time for the country’s key spring selling season.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including the Wall Street Journal article on the significance of women wearing ties and a piece from the New York post on President Trump's childhood home selling at a steep discount.

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Published 2025-03-27

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: March 27, 2025

27 min Transcript
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- Monica DiCenso, Head: Global Investment Opportunities at JP Morgan Private Bank
- Donald Schneider, Deputy Head: US Policy at Piper Sandler
- Dan Ives, Head: Global Technology at Wedbush Securities
- Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock

Monica DiCenso with JP Morgan Private Bank talks about concerns over US growth as traders await PCE data and weigh tariff uncertainty. Donald Schneider, Deputy Head: US Policy at Piper Sandler, offers his analysis of President Trump's 25% auto tariffs and looks ahead to the April 2nd tariff announcement. Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities on Elon Musk's impact on Tesla stock and whether he remains bullish on the company and Big Tech. Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock, talks about credit spreads and confidence in US corporate credit amid tariff policy uncertainty.

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- Monica DiCenso, Head: Global Investment Opportunities at JP Morgan Private Bank
- Donald Schneider, Deputy Head: US Policy at Piper Sandler
- Dan Ives, Head: Global Technology at Wedbush Securities
- Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock

Monica DiCenso with JP Morgan Private Bank talks about concerns over US growth as traders await PCE data and weigh tariff uncertainty. Donald Schneider, Deputy Head: US Policy at Piper Sandler, offers his analysis of President Trump's 25% auto tariffs and looks ahead to the April 2nd tariff announcement. Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities on Elon Musk's impact on Tesla stock and whether he remains bullish on the company and Big Tech. Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock, talks about credit spreads and confidence in US corporate credit amid tariff policy uncertainty.

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Published 2025-03-27

Market Fears Grow after President Trump's Auto Tariffs

33 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney March 27th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Julia Pollak, Chief Economist at ZipRecruiter, reacts to US jobless claims and President Trump's 25% auto tariffs announcement and looks ahead to PCE. The 25% auto tariffs will come into effect on April 3, initially targeting fully assembled vehicles, and will expand to include major automobile parts by May 3. Meanwhile, traders await February PCE data, with Bloomberg Economics writing that Core PCE is expected to show accelerated inflation.
2) Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, reacts to President Trump's auto tariffs announcement and how Washington will or will not push back, as well as the Signal text controversy. The EU, Canada, and other countries have criticized the 25% auto tariff implementation, coming April 3. President Trump and top allies are struggling to defend against criticism over the inclusion of a journalist in a Signal chat discussing military attacks in Yemen, after texts showed Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth revealing specific operational details.
3) Melissa Otto, Head of TMT Research at Visible Alpha, on recent Mag 7 slides and yesterday's NASDAQ drop, and discusses whether big tech is actually "tariff-proof" or if they'll feel their effects. Tesla inched higher on the news as the Elon Musk-led electric vehicle company could avoid some of the tariff costs due to its US production.
4) Leslie Palti-Guzman, senior non-resident fellow at CSIS and NY University SPS Center for global affairs, joins for a discussion on energy and Russian gas flows as the Trump administration negotiates an end to the war in Ukraine, as well as how Houthi shipping disruptions could change after the Signal text controversy.
5) Ben McMillan, CIO at IDX Advisors, on how equities are reacting this morning to yesterday's tariff announcement and "uncertainty paralysis" in markets. The S&P 500 and other major stock benchmarks fell yesterday as concerns about the impact of a trade war on the economy and inflation resurfaced, driven in part by President Trump's 25% tariff announcement on auto imports.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney March 27th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Julia Pollak, Chief Economist at ZipRecruiter, reacts to US jobless claims and President Trump's 25% auto tariffs announcement and looks ahead to PCE. The 25% auto tariffs will come into effect on April 3, initially targeting fully assembled vehicles, and will expand to include major automobile parts by May 3. Meanwhile, traders await February PCE data, with Bloomberg Economics writing that Core PCE is expected to show accelerated inflation.
2) Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, reacts to President Trump's auto tariffs announcement and how Washington will or will not push back, as well as the Signal text controversy. The EU, Canada, and other countries have criticized the 25% auto tariff implementation, coming April 3. President Trump and top allies are struggling to defend against criticism over the inclusion of a journalist in a Signal chat discussing military attacks in Yemen, after texts showed Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth revealing specific operational details.
3) Melissa Otto, Head of TMT Research at Visible Alpha, on recent Mag 7 slides and yesterday's NASDAQ drop, and discusses whether big tech is actually "tariff-proof" or if they'll feel their effects. Tesla inched higher on the news as the Elon Musk-led electric vehicle company could avoid some of the tariff costs due to its US production.
4) Leslie Palti-Guzman, senior non-resident fellow at CSIS and NY University SPS Center for global affairs, joins for a discussion on energy and Russian gas flows as the Trump administration negotiates an end to the war in Ukraine, as well as how Houthi shipping disruptions could change after the Signal text controversy.
5) Ben McMillan, CIO at IDX Advisors, on how equities are reacting this morning to yesterday's tariff announcement and "uncertainty paralysis" in markets. The S&P 500 and other major stock benchmarks fell yesterday as concerns about the impact of a trade war on the economy and inflation resurfaced, driven in part by President Trump's 25% tariff announcement on auto imports.

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Published 2025-03-26

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: March 26, 2025

27 min Transcript
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- Chris Maher, Chairman and CEO at Oceanfirst Bank
- Jeannette Lowe, Director of Policy Research at Strategas Securities
- Amrita Sen, Director of Research and Founder at Energy Aspects
- Subadra Rajappa, Head: US Rates Strategy at Societe Generale

Chris Maher of Oceanfirst Bank joins for a discussion on how tariffs could impact his business and the outlook for clients and US consumers. Jeannette Lowe with Strategas Securities joins to discuss the latest on policy clarity from the Trump administration. Energy Aspects founder Amrita Sen talks about uncertainty surrounding global energy prices in the coming months. Subadra Rajappa, Head: US Rates Strategy at Societe Generale, talks about the interest rate path in the US as the Fed awaits policy clarity from the White House.

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- Chris Maher, Chairman and CEO at Oceanfirst Bank
- Jeannette Lowe, Director of Policy Research at Strategas Securities
- Amrita Sen, Director of Research and Founder at Energy Aspects
- Subadra Rajappa, Head: US Rates Strategy at Societe Generale

Chris Maher of Oceanfirst Bank joins for a discussion on how tariffs could impact his business and the outlook for clients and US consumers. Jeannette Lowe with Strategas Securities joins to discuss the latest on policy clarity from the Trump administration. Energy Aspects founder Amrita Sen talks about uncertainty surrounding global energy prices in the coming months. Subadra Rajappa, Head: US Rates Strategy at Societe Generale, talks about the interest rate path in the US as the Fed awaits policy clarity from the White House.

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Published 2025-03-26

Consumer Confidence Plummets as Market Uncertainty Grows

34 min Transcript
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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMarch 26th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist at QI Research, on the Fed, outlook for rates, and a struggling US consumer. US consumer confidence fell in March to the lowest level in four years due to concerns about higher prices and the economic outlook amid the Trump administration's escalating tariffs.
2) Skyler Weinand, CIO at Regan Capital, brings us into the market open and talks about why the Fed's next move might be a hike. It comes as Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler supports holding interest rates steady for "some time" amid rising inflation expectations and recent uptick in goods inflation. Kugler notes that University of Michigan survey data shows consumers expect prices to increase at an annual rate of 3.9% over the next five to 10 years, the highest in more than three decades.
3) Joy Yang, Head of Index Product Management at MarketVector Indexes, talks about market trends amid rising uncertainty and a declining VIX. Worries over the economic effects of the global trade war are further reducing liquidity in US stocks, creating a headache for institutional investors. Current conditions could ease if tariffs prove less severe than feared or economic worries dissipate, but until then, it's going to be challenging for traders.
4) Ayesha Kiani, professor at NYU and COO at MNNC Group, talks about the major asset managers intensifying their crypto offerings, tokenization projects, and the outlook for Bitcoin. Bitcoin's recent rally is at risk of being short-lived due to broader market uncertainty, lack of bullish momentum, and low volumes. The market remains fragile, with low retail activity, thin volume, and cautious sentiment, making it susceptible to volatility and potential "bull traps".
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Federal workers responding to Elon Musk's latest request and new alternatives to building homes.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMarch 26th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist at QI Research, on the Fed, outlook for rates, and a struggling US consumer. US consumer confidence fell in March to the lowest level in four years due to concerns about higher prices and the economic outlook amid the Trump administration's escalating tariffs.
2) Skyler Weinand, CIO at Regan Capital, brings us into the market open and talks about why the Fed's next move might be a hike. It comes as Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler supports holding interest rates steady for "some time" amid rising inflation expectations and recent uptick in goods inflation. Kugler notes that University of Michigan survey data shows consumers expect prices to increase at an annual rate of 3.9% over the next five to 10 years, the highest in more than three decades.
3) Joy Yang, Head of Index Product Management at MarketVector Indexes, talks about market trends amid rising uncertainty and a declining VIX. Worries over the economic effects of the global trade war are further reducing liquidity in US stocks, creating a headache for institutional investors. Current conditions could ease if tariffs prove less severe than feared or economic worries dissipate, but until then, it's going to be challenging for traders.
4) Ayesha Kiani, professor at NYU and COO at MNNC Group, talks about the major asset managers intensifying their crypto offerings, tokenization projects, and the outlook for Bitcoin. Bitcoin's recent rally is at risk of being short-lived due to broader market uncertainty, lack of bullish momentum, and low volumes. The market remains fragile, with low retail activity, thin volume, and cautious sentiment, making it susceptible to volatility and potential "bull traps".
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Federal workers responding to Elon Musk's latest request and new alternatives to building homes.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Michael Darda & Cam Dawson.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Michael Darda & Cam Dawson.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Published 2025-03-25

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: March 25, 2025

30 min Transcript
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- Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth
- Claudio Irigoyen, Head: Global Economics Research at Bank of America Securities
- Libby Cantrill, Head of US Public Policy at PIMCO
- Sonal Desai, CIO: Fixed Income at Franklin Templeton

Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, discusses the outlook for equities and whether rotation will continue out of US stocks. Bank of America's Claudio Irigoyen discusses how tariffs will impact the US and global economies. Libby Cantrill of PIMCO talks about whether traders could or should expect more policy clarity in the coming weeks leading up to April 2. Sonal Desai, CIO: Fixed Income at Franklin Templeton, on the signals about the US economy coming from the bond market.

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- Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth
- Claudio Irigoyen, Head: Global Economics Research at Bank of America Securities
- Libby Cantrill, Head of US Public Policy at PIMCO
- Sonal Desai, CIO: Fixed Income at Franklin Templeton

Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, discusses the outlook for equities and whether rotation will continue out of US stocks. Bank of America's Claudio Irigoyen discusses how tariffs will impact the US and global economies. Libby Cantrill of PIMCO talks about whether traders could or should expect more policy clarity in the coming weeks leading up to April 2. Sonal Desai, CIO: Fixed Income at Franklin Templeton, on the signals about the US economy coming from the bond market.

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