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Bloomberg Surveillance

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Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment. Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television. Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.  Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ. Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.

Episodes

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Published 2020-11-30

Surveillance: Vaccine Rollout With Yale's Forman

24 min Transcript
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Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management CEO and Portfolio Manager, says the durable goods economy is firing on all cylinders. Elizabeth Suzuki, BofA Securities Senior Hardlines Retail Analyst, says this retail holiday season will be largely dominated by the home categories. John Ryding, Brean Capital Chief Economic Advisor, sees a difficult few months ahead for the U.S. economy. Dr. Howard Forman, Yale University Professor of Public Health, Management, and Economics, says he's optimistic about the timeline of a Covid-19 vaccine rollout.

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Published 2020-11-27

Surveillance: Consumer Is Strong, Sadove Says

29 min Transcript
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Peter Dixon, Commerzbank Global Equities Economist, sees markets in a holding pattern as investors await new catalysts. Camilla Yanushevsky, CFRA Equity Research Analyst, looks at some potential winners and losers in an unprecedented holiday shopping season. Drew Matus, MetLife Investment Management Chief Market Strategist, examines the risk of inflation. Steve Sadove, Former Saks CEO and Mastercard Senior Advisor, discusses the rapid change in shopping habits in the Covid-19 era.

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Published 2020-11-25

Surveillance: Data Deluge With Citi's Mann

26 min Transcript
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Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, sees a raging bull market below the surface. Tobias Adrian, IMF Director for Monetary and Capital Markets Department, says excessive risk-taking is a worry in the near term. Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says the U.S. economy may return to the pre-Covid level of GDP in second-quarter of 2021. Brian Kelly, The Points Guy CEO, discusses the future of travel in the Covid-19 era.

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Published 2020-11-24

Surveillance: The Politics of Noise With Sunstein

30 min Transcript
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Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, expects next year to be another tech and growth year. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, warns it will be a crisis situation if coronavirus numbers continue on their current path. Frederic Mishkin, Former Federal Reserve Governor and Columbia University Professor, says Janet Yellen is highly qualified to handle policy as the next U.S. Treasury Secretary amid the Covid-19 pandemic. Cass Sunstein, Harvard Law Professor, Author of "Too Much Information" and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, makes sense of the political noise.

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Published 2020-11-23

Surveillance: Recovery Risk With Reinharts

33 min Transcript
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Carmen Reinhart, World Bank Chief Economist and Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist look at how the coronavirus pandemic is affecting the global economy and financial markets. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, discusses why he expects dollar-renminbi to take over as a dominant currency pair. Dr. Deborah Fuller, University of Washington School of Medicine Microbiology Professor, says at least 50-60% of the population will need to be vaccinated in order to stop this pandemic. David Rosenberg, Rosenberg Research Chief Economist & Strategist, sees a release of pent-up demand once a vaccine is broadly distributed.

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Published 2020-11-20

Surveillance: Speedy Stimulus Needed, Says Bernstein

30 min Transcript
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Jared Bernstein, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Senior Fellow and member of Joe Biden's Presidential Transition Team, says delays in the transition process are coming at great cost to public health and the economy. Dr. David Reich, President of The Mount Sinai Hospital and Mount Sinai Queens, says the second wave in New York is a less severe surge than the first wave. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities Equity Strategist, says there will be pedestrian growth in 2021 in the U.S. as equity volatility remains elevated. Torsten Slok, Apollo Management Chief Economist, says the dynamism of the U.S. economy is not being impacted despite facing Covid-19 headwinds.

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Published 2020-11-19

Surveillance: Mester Says Fed Policy in Good Place

30 min Transcript
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Loretta Mester, Federal Reserve Bank Cleveland President, says she's concerned about the lack of fiscal policy. Patrick Foye, MTA Chairman & CEO, warns of drastic service cuts without aid from Washington. Dr. Jonathan Quick, The Rockefeller Foundation Managing Director for Pandemic Response, Preparedness, and Prevention, says the U.S. is on a grim pathway to over 400,000 coronavirus deaths by March. Nathan Sheets, PGIM Fixed Income Chief Economist & Head of Global Macroeconomic Research, sees a rocky road to recovery.

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Published 2020-11-18

Surveillance: Building Vaccine Capacity With CureVac CEO

31 min Transcript
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Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says the stars are aligning for a broader set of emerging markets. Michael Kushma, Morgan Stanley Investment Management CIO of Global Fixed Income, says the Fed has been clear about its intentions to support the economy. Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO, reminds investors to be prepared for the unexpected as 2020 nears its end. Franz-Werner Haas, CureVac CEO, says there will be enough capacity to vaccinate the world until the end of next year.

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Published 2020-11-17

Surveillance: Dudley Says Fed Can Do More

29 min Transcript
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William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Former New York Fed President, says it is very likely the Fed will extend its emergency loan programs. Mona Mahajan, Allianz Global Investors U.S. Investment Strategist, says bond rates will remain low throughout 2021. Tom Forte, D.A. Davidson Senior Research Analyst, says pharmacy is a trillion-dollar opportunity for Amazon. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group & GZERO Media President, details challenges facing the new administration as President-elect Biden begins to navigate delicate U.S. foreign relations.

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Published 2020-11-16

Surveillance: Vaccine Distribution With Hochul

24 min Transcript
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Ben Laidler, Tower Hudson Research CEO, sees growth in rebound in 2021. Dr. Robert Murphy, Northwestern University Professor of Infectious Diseases & Institute for Global Health Executive Director, says the effectiveness of the vaccines from Moderna and Pfizer is way beyond expectations, but the pandemic may not be over for another year. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, says it may be safer for children to be in schools and back out in their communities. Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, sees a significant slowdown in job growth over the next several months.

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Published 2020-11-13

Surveillance: Market Reality Check With Emanuel (Podcast)

25 min Transcript
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Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, says markets are getting a reality check. James Bevan, CCLA Chief Investment Officer, says an effective Covid-19 vaccine will give global governments the confidence to increase fiscal stimulus measures. Dr. Peter Hotez, Baylor College of Medicine Dean for the National School of Tropical Medicine, says 12 million Americans could receive a Covid-19 vaccine this upcoming January. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy Research, says it is not remotely coincidental that China acknowledged Joe Biden as President-Elect just after President Trump's executive order against the country.

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Published 2020-11-12

Surveillance: JPM's Kelly Sees Rough Road Ahead

24 min Transcript
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David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, maps out the road ahead for the markets and the economy. Dr. Albert Ko, Yale School of Medicine Department Chair & Professor of Epidemiology and of Medicine, says coronavirus cases in the U.S. have reached an exponential curve in terms of growth. Beata Kirr, Alliance Bernstein Co-Head of Investment Strategies, says growth stocks have led in an extraordinary way throughout the year of 2020. Retired Brigadier General Mark Kimmitt, Former Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs, discusses the future of America's defense strategy.

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Published 2020-11-11

Surveillance: Tchir Warns of Market Complacency

26 min Transcript
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Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, warns markets seem a little bit complacent amid surging coronavirus cases and legal challenges to the U.S. election outcome. Lawrence Gostin, Georgetown University Professor, says the Trump administration has given up on dealing with the coronavirus and are waiting for a vaccine. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Investment Management Chief Strategist, says growth stocks will carry the market into 2021 with the S&P 500 positioned to power even higher. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder & Host of "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations" discusses his interview with Wynton Marsalis, Jazz at Lincoln Center Managing and Artistic Director.

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Published 2020-11-10

Surveillance: Eli Lilly CEO Sees Brighter Future

25 min Transcript
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David Ricks, Eli Lilly Chairman & CEO, discusses the drugmaker’s Covid-19 antibody therapy that was granted emergency-use authorization in the U.S. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, sees a departure from bonds into risky assets with a lot of cash on the sidelines that needs to be put to work. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, says having a vaccine does not take the pressure off of further stimulus at all. Sam Stovall, CFRA Chief Investment Strategist, says Wall Street is looking beyond a coronavirus spike with vaccine developments appearing positive.

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Published 2020-11-09

Surveillance: Vaccine Optimism With Hornbach

28 min Transcript
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Matthew Hornbach, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Macro Strategy, says a vaccine has the power to really drive risk assets higher, credit spreads tighter, the equity market higher, emerging-market currencies stronger. Mercedes Carnethon, Northwestern University Professor of Preventive Medicine, discusses the possible effectiveness of the vaccine being developed by Pfizer and BioNTech. Jaret Seiberg, Cowen Senior Policy Analyst, says the U.S. election presented a clear victory for the modern side of the Democratic Party. Daniel Alpert, Westwood Capital Managing Partner, says investors should keep an eye on aggregate demand.

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Published 2020-11-08

Bloomberg Radio Special: President-Elect Biden

32 min Transcript
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This is a Bloomberg Special Report with Nathan Hager and Amy Morris Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump to become the 46th president of the United States and offered himself to the nation as a leader who “seeks not to divide, but to unify" a country gripped by a historic pandemic and a confluence of economic and social turmoil. In this podcast, we examine the vote, the legal battle and the path ahead for White House policy.

GUESTS:

June Grasso Bloomberg Law Host

Terry Haines Pangaea Policy Founder

Gregory Giroux Bloomberg Government Reporter

Emily Wilkins Bloomberg Government Reporter

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Published 2020-11-07

Bloomberg Radio Special: A 2020 Election Update

92 min Transcript
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This is a Bloomberg Daybreak Special Report with Nathan Hager, Amy Morris and Michael Barr.

The votes are still being counted and legal challenges remain, but the path to the White House is there for Vice President Joe Biden.

In this podcast, we examine the vote, the legal battle and the path ahead for White House policy.

Plus, how the next steps could play out in the days and weeks leading up to December's Electoral College vote.

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Published 2020-11-06

Surveillance: Presidential Leadership With GWU's Brown

29 min Transcript
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Lara Brown, George Washington University Associate Professor and Director of the Graduate School of Political Management, discusses leadership and the American presidency. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says the economy is strengthening and stimulus is naturally occurring as the labor markets heal. Wendy Schiller, Brown University Chair of Political Science, says the Republican Party did well overall on election night and represent a stable alternative to what the Democratic Party has been offering. Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives President and Founder, discusses the recovery dynamic of the labor market.

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Published 2020-11-05

Surveillance: EV Transformation With GM CEO

22 min Transcript
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Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says a blue wave has been priced out of markets for the time being. Frederic Mishkin, Former Federal Reserve Governor, discusses the pressure facing the Fed as investors await the final outcome of the U.S. presidential election. Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Securities Global Head of Economic Research, says the latest jobless claims figures show the labor market is not improving further. Mary Barra, General Motors Chairman & CEO, says there is a strong and growing demand for trucks in the U.S.

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Published 2020-11-03

Surveillance: Voter Safety With Boston Mayor

23 min Transcript
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Marty Walsh, Mayor of Boston, says there has been very little assistance from Washington through the pandemic in regards to PPE and preparing residents for the future. Stephanie Kelly, Aberdeen Standard Investments Senior Political Economist, says populism in Italy will be a key political risk to watch next year. Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley Head of U.S. Policy Research & Municipal Strategist, discusses possible outcomes of the U.S. election. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, says household cash flows and incomes will be restricted without new help from the government.

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Published 2020-11-02

Surveillance: Political Pendulum With UCL's Klaas

26 min Transcript
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Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management CEO & Portfolio Manager, says it takes a leap of faith to invest at this point in time. Diana Amoa, JPMorgan Investment Management Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says investors need to think beyond traditional hedges right now. Brian Klaas, University College London Associate Professor in Global Politics, says there is a pendulum shift happening in the United States away from populism. Daniel Ahn, BNP Paribas Chief U.S. Economist & Head of Markets 360 North America, says there are significant downside risks that will impair U.S. growth moving forward.

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Published 2020-10-30

Surveillance: Golden Age For Tech, Ives Says

28 min Transcript
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James Athey, Aberdeen Standard Investments Senior Investment Manager, says FX has been been a good diversifier and hedge ahead of the U.S. election. Daniel Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Research Analyst, explains why he remains bullish on tech. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says consumers are looking at the prospect of a resurgence of coronavirus and are deploying wealth into savings rather than spending. Rob Falzon, Prudential Financial Vice Chair, says many companies are extending out the time they believe employees will be in a remote environment, where productivity has held up well.

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Published 2020-10-29

Surveillance: No Safe Havens, Gallo Says

19 min Transcript
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Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. and the Americas Programme, says voters are viewing the pandemic through two different lenses: a health crisis or an economic crisis. David Lebovitz, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says inflation in the short-term is not a risk and will remain in check through the long-term. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Portfolio Manager, says there are no safe havens anymore. Jim Suva, Citi Senior Tech Analyst, applauds Tim Cook for diversifying Apple's product portfolio.

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Published 2020-10-28

Surveillance: Flight to Quality With Rabobank's Foley

27 min Transcript
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Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Capital Co-CIO, says technology stocks have been a significant profit driver for the market but remain overcrowded. Daniel Morris, BNP Paribas Asset Management Chief Market Strategist, says a W-shaped recovery is likely to occur in Europe and potentially the U.S. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the euro is the on the back foot amid anxiety ahead of this week's ECB meeting. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder and Host of "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations," discusses his interview with Alex Gorsky, Johnson & Johnson Chairman and CEO.

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Published 2020-10-27

Surveillance: Eli Lilly CEO Says Science Will Win

29 min Transcript
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Dave Ricks, Eli Lilly Chairman & CEO, says science will win in the fight against Covid-19. Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Senior Portfolio Manager, warns investors to resist the urge to overreact as the U.S. election nears. Chris Watling, Longview Economics CEO, examines the trade-offs of helicopter money. Tina Fordham, Avonhurst Advisory Services Head of Global Political Strategy, discusses how Biden and Trump differ on foreign policy.

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Published 2020-10-26

Surveillance: Hunt For Yield With Goldman's Swell

28 min Transcript
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Ben Laidler, Tower Hudson Research CEO, is betting on the resilience of the consumer. Mike Swell, Goldman Sachs Asset Management Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Portfolio Management, says investors are writing off the bond market too early. Gregory Peters, PGIM Fixed Income Head of Multi-Sector and Strategy, says a blue sweep could benefit the consumer by fueling wage and economic growth. Rebecca Green, William & Mary Law School Professor, says post-election litigation is normal and can expect a contested election if one or more states have a close race.

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Published 2020-10-23

Surveillance: Stimulus Talks With Kudlow

36 min Transcript
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Lawrence Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, doesn't know if a stimulus bill can be passed before the election. Afsaneh Beschloss, RockCreek Group CEO, says investments in renewable energy have been moving faster than those in oil and gas during the pandemic. Lale Topcuoglu, JOHCM Senior Fund Manager, says the U.S. will likely reach a stimulus agreement no matter which party wins the election, but the size of the package will be dependent on the victor. Pat Foye, MTA Chairman & CEO, says the MTA will be forced to make drastic draconian service cuts if they do not receive stimulus funding soon.

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Published 2020-10-22

Surveillance: Election Interference with Stravidis

23 min Transcript
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Mike Pyle, BlackRock Investment Institute Global Chief Investment Strategist, says the Fed will be watching the nominal yield curve carefully and will not allow a tremendous amount of steepening. Geoffrey Yu, BNY Mellon Senior Strategist, says the dollar will drive lower as China continues to grow. James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, Carlyle Group Adviser & Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO, says he would expect a return to international engagement with a Biden presidency. Jason Farley, Johns Hopkins Professor of Nursing, says children have an equal probability of spreading the virus as adults do.

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Published 2020-10-21

Stimulus Priced In, Says Mahajan

29 min Transcript
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Mona Mahajan, Allianz Global Investors U.S. Investment Strategist, says there will not be much more movement from market levels until eyes of inflation are seen. Kevin Giddis, Raymond James Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says interest rates are likely to move higher across the board with a blue wave. Wendy Schiller, Brown University Chair of Political Science, says mail-in ballots make for a more for a engaged public and higher voter turnout for this and later elections. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder and Host of "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations," discusses his interview with Whole Foods Market Co-Founder and CEO John Mackey.

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Published 2020-10-20

Surveillance: Reworking Market Power with Stiglitz

40 min Transcript
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Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Laureate & Columbia University Professor, says the strong stock market is almost a sign that things aren't going well in other parts of our economy. Amy Wu Silverman, RBC Capital Markets Equity Derivatives Strategist, says markets are currently under-pricing the risk of a contested election. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Research Managing Director for Policy Research, says there are not many tools the government can use to breakup big tech. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says a small business and unemployment stimulus won't be reached until after the presidential election. Dr. Amesh Adalja, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security Senior Scholar, says that the science behind Covid-19 matters, despite President Trump's rhetoric denouncing it.

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Published 2020-10-19

Surveillance: Extraordinary Support Needed, Yellen Says

26 min Transcript
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cJanet Yellen, Former Federal Reserve Chair, says the pandemic needs to be controlled to get the economy back on track. Seema Shah, Principal Global Chief Strategist, says the pandemic and central banks will remain stronger drivers of markets than the U.S. election. Jon Lieber, Eurasia Group U.S. Managing Director, says Joe Biden could face a real political risk if a fiscal stimulus is passed before the November election. Joshua Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean, says the FDA has an important role to play in the vaccine safety message.

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Published 2020-10-16

Surveillance: Stimulus Not Debatable, Hochul Says

30 min Transcript
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Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, says New York state cannot risk its economic recovery because of hot spots with high infection rates. James Athey, Aberdeen Asset Management Investment Director, doesn't expect Fed policy to change based on the U.S. election outcome. Jeffrey Howard, UCL Associate Professor, discusses how Trump's rhetoric could have an effect on the results of the election. Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley Chief Economist & Global Head of Economics, says the economic data continues to support a v-shaped recovery.

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Published 2020-10-15

Surveillance: Public Investment Is Key, IMF's Gaspar Says

26 min Transcript
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Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says markets are wrestling with a brand new economic cycle. Chris Kotowski, Oppenheimer & Co. Senior Analyst, examines third-quarter results from U.S. banks. Vitor Gaspar, IMF Director of Fiscal Affairs, says public investment can play a key role in boosting growth. Jared Bernstein, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Senior Fellow and Former Chief Economist & Economic Adviser to Vice President Joe Biden, discusses what Trump’s and Biden’s competing economic agendas reveal about the economy.

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Published 2020-10-14

Surveillance: The Case for Credit With Sheets

26 min Transcript
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Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, says investors should focus on balance sheet quality. Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross Asset Strategist, says the case for credit is better than other asset classes. Christian Bolu, Autonomous Research Senior Analyst, says job cuts are inevitable as the utilization of automation increases on Wall Street. Michael Feroli, JPMorgan Chief U.S. Economist, says U.S. unemployment will be elevated for several quarters to come.

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Published 2020-10-13

Surveillance: Consolidation Needed In U.S., IIF CEO Says

25 min Transcript
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Tim Adams, Institute of International Finance CEO, says there is an open door to China for U.S. financial institutions. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, says "fiscal opportunism" is needed right now to help the economy recover from the crisis. Chris Harvey, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Equity Strategy, says Apple is one of the most underweight names in the institutional buy-side. Catherine Mann, Citigroup Global Chief Economist, discusses China's role in the global recovery as the IMF warns of a bumpy road ahead.

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Published 2020-10-12

Surveillance: Stanford Economists Win Nobel Prize

37 min Transcript
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Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors Founder and CEO, examines volatility in the market ahead of the U.S. election. Robert B. Wilson, Stanford University Professor, reacts to winning the 2020 Nobel Prize in Economics for his improvements to auction theory. Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Economics Professor and Former Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor, says the U.S. can fuel growth by harnessing the untapped potential of the labor force. Paul Donovan, UBS Global Chief Economist, says the failure to do fiscal stimulus now in the U.S. is doing real damage to the economy. Nobel Laureate Michael Spence shares insights into the award-winning work of Paul Milgrom and Robert B. Wilson, whose discoveries were recognized today with the 2020 Nobel Prize in Economics.

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Published 2020-10-09

Surveillance: Election Risks With JPM’s Normand

30 min Transcript
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Ben Laidler, Tower Hudson Research CEO, expects a melt-up in the fourth quarter. John Normand, JPMorgan Head of Cross-Asset Fundamental Strategy, discusses where vulnerabilities are in the markets ahead of the U.S. election. Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley Head of U.S. Policy Research and Municipal Strategist, examines how the election could impact infrastructure policy. Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, says the economy can continue to recover without more stimulus in the near-term.

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Published 2020-10-08

Surveillance: Stimulus Hopes With Goldman's Cohen

36 min Transcript
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Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist and Global Head of Macroeconomic Strategy, warns of the headwinds facing the U.S. economy. Rick Davis, Bloomberg Contributor and Former McCain Campaign Manager, explains how the terms of debates are negotiated as President Trump refuses to participate in a virtual debate. Michael Moore, Bloomberg News U.S. Finance Team Leader, discusses Morgan Stanley's acquisition of Eaton Vance. Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director and Senior Investment Strategist, says a blue wave in the 2020 U.S. election could benefit markets.

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Published 2020-10-07

Surveillance: Trump's Strategy With Giuliani

30 min Transcript
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Rudy Giuliani, Former New York Mayor and President Trump's Personal Lawyer, says he got another negative Covid test result yesterday. Josh Wingrove, Bloomberg News White House Reporter gives an update on the 2020 campaign trail. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Investment Management Chief Strategist, discusses how the U.S. presidential election could impact market dynamics. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, explains why the "Biden Bump" could levitate stocks over the near term.

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Published 2020-10-06

Surveillance: Battleground Florida With Rep. Waltz

27 min Transcript
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Representative Michael Waltz, a Republican from Florida, discusses Trump's prospects in the battleground state. Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, remains bearish on the dollar. Robert Doll, Nuveen Chief Equity Strategist, discusses what a Democratic sweep could mean for the markets. Carla Harris, Morgan Stanley Vice Chairman and Senior Client Advisor, shares strategies for closing the funding and opportunity gap.

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Published 2020-10-05

Surveillance: Recovery Risk With Deustche Bank's Ryan

26 min Transcript
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Michael Cloherty, UBS Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, says there's not much of a hedge benefit from Treasuries at current levels. David Riley, BlueBay Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, sees more upside potential in the U.S. Julie Norman, University College London Political Science Professor, says this is a vulnerable moment for the United States. Brett Ryan, Deutsche Bank Senior U.S. Economist, warns a lack of fiscal stimulus could delay the economic recovery.

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Published 2020-10-03

Bloomberg Radio Special: The President and Covid-19

84 min Transcript
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This is a Bloomberg Daybreak Special Report with Nathan Hager, Amy Morris and Michael Barr. 

President Trump has been admitted to the hospital to be treated for Covid-19. In this podcast, we examine the implications, he possibilities and the path ahead for the White House. Plus, the political fallout with exactly one month to until the election.

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Published 2020-10-02

Surveillance: Trump Virus Woes With Kudlow

43 min Transcript
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Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, discusses President Trump’s Covid-19 diagnosis and the September jobs report. David Malpass, World Bank President, says masks have helped thwart the spread of Covid-19 in many parts of the world and stresses that the pandemic has been a "giant catastrophe." Dr. Peter Hotez, Baylor College of Medicine National School of Tropical Medicine Dean, discusses the risk factors President Trump faces after testing positive for Covid-19. Jeffrey Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, examines rates in the wake of the jobs report.

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Published 2020-10-01

Surveillance: N.J. Millionaire Tax With Gov. Murphy

29 min Transcript
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New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy discusses the need for more economic stimulus, the state's millionaire tax and how the state is coping with the Covid-19 pandemic. Jim O'Sullivan, TD Securities Chief U.S. Macro Strategist, warns against too much optimism in the markets. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, explains the momentum shift happening in the economy. Rebecca Rockey, Cushman & Wakefield Global Head of Forecasting, discusses Covid-19's impact on the office sector.

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Published 2020-09-30

Surveillance: Fed's Barkin Sees Strong U.S. Growth In 3Q

30 min Transcript
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Thomas Barkin, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President, expects strong U.S. growth in the third quarter. Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management CIO, says she’s "shocked” markets haven’t been more tumultuous amid the uncertainty over another fiscal stimulus package. Daniel Boulud, Chef and Restaurateur, discusses the return of indoor dining in New York City. Nouriel Roubini, NYU Stern School of Business Professor and NourielToday.com Host, discusses the “severe” market risks he sees from the U.S. presidential election.

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Published 2020-09-29

Surveillance: Presidential Politics With Woodward

29 min Transcript
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Bob Woodward, Washington Post Associate Editor and Author of "Rage," says he did not intend to release tapes of his interviews with President Trump at first. Jeanne Zaino, Iona College Professor of Political Science and Bloomberg Contributor, discusses what to watch for in the Trump and Biden debate. Mike Pyle, BlackRock Global Chief Investment Strategist, says the risks around a contested election scenario are material. Joe Quinlan, Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank Head of CIO Market Strategy, says markets have already priced in a Democratic sweep.

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Published 2020-09-29

Surveillance: Trump's Taxes With Rep. Hill

24 min Transcript
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Mark Howard, BNP Paribas Senior Multi-Asset Specialist, sees investors pulling back amid the uncertain political environment. Lale Topcuoglu, JOHCM Senior Fund Manager, says Fed put is baked into markets. Representative French Hill, a Republican from Arkansas, expects a peaceful transfer of power. Timothy L. O'Brien, Bloomberg Opinion Senior Columnist, discusses President Trump's tax revelations.

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Published 2020-09-25

Surveillance: Gauging Growth With Goldman's Hatzius

28 min Transcript
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Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs Chief Economist, explains why the firm halved its forecast for U.S. growth in the fourth quarter. Amy Wu Silverman, RBC Capital Markets Head of Derivatives Strategy, discusses fears that a delayed U.S. election result could upend markets. Jim Paulsen, The Leuthold Group Chief Investment Strategist, says this correction could have further to go. Julie Norman, University College London Political Science Professor, sees Republicans and Democrats moving towards more convergence on fiscal support.

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