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Bloomberg Surveillance

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Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment. Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television. Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.  Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ. Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.

Episodes

Page 58 · 50 per page
Published 2020-09-24

Surveillance: The Case For Value With Kostin

30 min Transcript
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David Kostin, Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, makes the case for value stocks..Kathy Jones, Schwab Center for Financial Research Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says U.S. economy could see double-dip recession in the next 6 months without fiscal stimulus. Chris Krueger, Cowen Washington Research Group Policy Managing Director, says we may not get results on election night with the unprecedented amount of mail-in votes. Ethan Harris, BofA Securities Head of Global Economic Research, says the market has too many uncertainties on its plate and will continue to be under pressure for a while.

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Published 2020-09-23

Surveillance: Clarida Says Economy Still In Deep Hole

33 min Transcript
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Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard Clarida says the central bank won’t consider raising interest rates from near zero until it actually achieves 2% inflation as well as full employment. Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Rate Strategy, says yields could drop dramatically if the U.S. election results are delayed. Victoria Fernandez, Crossmark Global Investments Chief Market Strategist, says free cash flow and management are important evaluations to see if a company can withstand the volatility anticipated in the coming quarter. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citigroup Global Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says political gridlock has delayed more fiscal stimulus action despite the Fed and both political parties believing it to be necessary.

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Published 2020-09-22

Surveillance: Increased Downside Risks With Swonk

28 min Transcript
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Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity Chief Market Strategist, cautions investors on playing politics with their portfolio. James Athey, Aberdeen Standard Investments Senior Investment Manager, says finding diversification is difficult in the world of one trade. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Research & Trading Director of Policy Research, says the next government fiscal package is effectively dead at the moment. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says colder temperatures could exacerbate unemployment.

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Published 2020-09-21

Surveillance: Fed’s Kaplan Explains Dissent

27 min Transcript
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Robert Kaplan, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President, sees Fed rates near zero for at least two or three years. Lisa Beattie Frelinghuysen, BanyanGlobal Principal and Former Clerk to late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, says there is a tremendous amount to learn from Ginsburg's friendship with Justice Antonin Scalia. Russell Wheeler, Brookings Institution Visiting Fellow and Former Deputy Director of the Federal Judicial Center, says there will be a lot of pressure to counteract a Supreme Court appointment this late in the election season. Timothy O'Brien, Bloomberg Opinion Senior Columnist, discusses the high-stakes battle over whether to fill the vacancy on the Supreme Court ahead of the election.

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Published 2020-09-18

Surveillance: Fed’s Bostic Calls For More Fiscal Aid

43 min Transcript
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Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President, discusses the Fed's new policy framework, the outlook for the U.S. economy and the state of U.S.-China trade relations. Techonomy CEO & Bloomberg Contributor David Kirkpatrick and Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow for International Economics Brad Setser weigh in on the game of chicken between China and the U.S. over TikTok. Rebecca Patterson, Bridgewater Director of Investment Research, examines the paradigm shift in central banking.

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Published 2020-09-17

Surveillance: Trump Deserves Nobel Prize, Bremmer Says

26 min Transcript
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Michael Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist and Market Strategist, discusses monetary policy, inflation and the impact of stimulus measures on the economy. Michael Gapen, Barclays Chief U.S. Economist, says it is reasonable to expect low to mid-single digits for U.S. growth rates in the fourth quarter. Rebecca Minkoff, Fashion Designer, sees an opportunity for the fashion industry to reset amid the Covid-19 pandemic. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, discusses President Trump’s approach to foreign policy, why Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize, and his views of the U.S. presidential race.

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Published 2020-09-16

Surveillance: Yergin & Gurria On The Global Economy

37 min Transcript
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Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs Chief Global Equity Strategist, says stocks are entering a new phase where technology and growth companies will continue to significantly outperform. Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, says it's going to be tough to make further gains in retail sales. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, says New York is not planning to dial back reopening, but is ready for a second wave of Covid-19. Daniel Yergin, IHS Markit Vice Chairman, says the shale industry is in survival mode right now and will be in that mode until next year. Angel Gurria, OECD Secretary-General, says the V-shaped recovery is not going to happen.

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Published 2020-09-16

Surveillance: Stringer Urges NYC’s Wealthy To Set Up

34 min Transcript
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Paul Donovan, UBS Global Chief Economist, says markets are too pessimistic about recovery from a crisis. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, sees economy improving, but investors shouldn't get complacent. Robert Profusek, Jones Day Head of M&A, discusses the resurgence in global dealmaking. New York City Comptroller Scott Stringer says wealthy residents should be prepared to “step up and help” close a $4.2 billion deficit by paying higher taxes.

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Published 2020-09-14

Surveillance: Bond Investing With Bill Gross

32 min Transcript
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Bill Gross, PIMCO Co-Founder & Former Fixed Income Fund Manager, says the bond world is now a melding of the Fed and the Treasury. Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities Director of Equity Research & Analyst, says the pullback in technology stocks is healthy for the sector. Frances Donald, Manulife Asset Management Global Economist, says we are currently looking at a K-shaped recovery and job losses may become permanent. Pat Foye, MTA Chairman, says ridership is down past Great Depression levels.

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Published 2020-09-11

Surveillance: Examining Economic Resilience

33 min Transcript
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Jean-Yves Fillion, BNP Paribas USA CEO, discusses markets and sustainability in a post-pandemic world. Michael Feroli, JPMorgan Chief U.S. Economist, examines the pandemic's impact on inflation. Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management CEO and Portfolio Manager, says the U.S. economy has enough support without the need of a stimulus bill at this time. Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, says that 9/11 was a story of resiliency which brought remarkable unity following the attacks.

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Published 2020-09-10

Surveillance: Citi Picks Fraser To Be Next CEO

28 min Transcript
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Ken Leon, CFRA Director of Equity Research, discusses Citi's historic pick of Jane Fraser as the first female CEO of a major global bank. Carsten Brzeski, ING Chief Economist, says the European Central Bank is treading carefully. Kirk Hartman, Wells Fargo Asset Management President & Global CIO, says the gap between the momentum growth tech stocks and the value stocks is far too large and must close. Vadim Zlotnikov, Fidelity Institutional Asset Management President, says future levels of inflation will be driven by policies aimed at wealth distribution. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy Research, says the undecided sliver of voters within the U.S. population has shrunk to about 6%.

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Published 2020-09-09

Surveillance: Disciplined Investing With Kelly

26 min Transcript
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David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, urges investors to be disciplined as the U.S. economic recovery beings to slow down. Omar Aguilar, Schwab CIO of Passive Equity and Multi-Asset Strategies, discusses the bifurcation he sees in market activity. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Analyst, says the price of oil is finally catching up to fundamentals. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder and Host of "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations," discusses his interview with Reed Hastings, Netflix Founder and Co-CEO.

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Published 2020-09-08

Surveillance: Correction is Healthy, Marangi Says

30 min Transcript
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Christopher Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, says this correction is healthy and different. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, says negative rates are not in the cards so there is only one way yields can go, either sideways or higher. Barry Ritholtz, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Ritholtz Wealth Management Founder, says a 10-20% pullback is overdue. Peter Westaway, Vanguard Chief European Economist, says the ECB is getting close to the end of the road for negative rates.

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Published 2020-09-04

Surveillance: U.S. Jobs Recovery With Kudlow

36 min Transcript
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Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, shares the White House's view on the August jobs report. Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago Professor and Former Fed Governor, says take the August jobs data with a little grain of salt. Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth College Professor of Economics, discusses the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic on younger generations. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, examines current market conditions as investors weigh a better-than-forecast jobs report.

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Published 2020-09-03

Surveillance: Retail Recovery Underway, Sadove Says

22 min Transcript
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Amy Wu Silverman, RBC Capital Markets Equity Derivatives Strategist, says volatility that will occur until November is fairly priced in markets. Steve Sadove, Former Saks CEO and Mastercard Senior Advisor, says data is starting to show a recovery in retail. Seema Shah, Principal Global Investors Chief Strategist, says markets are questioning the need for a fiscal stimulus based on the strength of the economic recovery. Michael Cloherty, UBS Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, says fixed income seems priced for perfection from the Fed.

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Published 2020-09-02

Surveillance: ECB's Challenge With Trichet

47 min Transcript
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Ivan Feinseth, Tigress Financial Partners CIO, says the market is predicting that there will be improvements in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Portfolio Manager, says many companies are focusing more on their tech operations as a result of consumer changes due to Covid-19. Deborah Fuller, University of Washington School of Medicine Microbiology Professor, says we are entering an exciting phase in the race for a coronavirus vaccine. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citigroup Chief U.S. Economist, says the Fed’s impact on the housing market by keeping interest rates low cannot be overstated. Former European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet discusses the strength of the euro, Federal Reserve and ECB policy, and inflation concerns.

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Published 2020-09-01

Surveillance: Tough Times Ahead For NY, Hochul Says

32 min Transcript
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Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, urges the federal government to step in with with stimulus funding. Eswar Prasad, Cornell University Tolani Senior Professor of Trade Policy and Brookings Institution Senior Fellow, discusses outlook for the U.S. dollar. Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says there is a tremendous amount of money on the sidelines in the U.S. that needs to be put to work. Gershon Distenfeld, AB Co-Head of Fixed Income, discusses the Fed’s evolving view of inflation.

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Published 2020-08-31

Surveillance: Marangi Sees Value In Small Caps

36 min Transcript
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Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President, says the Fed's vision shift is a victory for monetary policy. Sebastien Page, T. Rowe Price Head of Global Multi-Asset, says Warren Buffett is well diversified through international investments and his cash buffer. Mercedes Carnethon, Northwestern University Professor of Medicine, says companies will have a hard time getting working parents back into offices while schools remain closed. Michael Dowse, United States Tennis Association CEO and Executive Director, discuss how tennis has evolved amid the coronavirus pandemic. Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, sees value in small caps.

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Published 2020-08-28

Surveillance: Fed's Framework With Kaplan

38 min Transcript
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Robert Kaplan, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President, says the Fed has already given enough guidance about the likely path of interest rates at this juncture and doesn’t need to offer more. William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former New York Fed President, discusses the skepticism facing the Fed's new approach to setting monetary policy. Mark Kiesel, PIMCO CIO of Global Credit, says the Fed has been "unbelievably supportive" for markets and this will eventually lead to a steeper yield curve and higher rates. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman, highlights some of his favorite interviews with leaders featured in his new book, "How to Lead."

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Published 2020-08-27

Surveillance: Fed's Relaxed Approach With Darda

29 min Transcript
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Christopher Harvey, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Equity Strategy, discusses outlook for the markets and high-flying stocks. Alicia Levine, Bank of New York Mellon Chief Investment Strategist, says cash is king right now. Megan Greene, Harvard Kennedy School Senior Fellow, says there is a real credibility issue for the Fed. Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Market Strategist, discusses Fed Chair Jerome Powell's announcement of a new approach to policy that takes a more relaxed stance on inflation.

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Published 2020-08-26

Surveillance: Inflation Outlook With Fed's George

26 min Transcript
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Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Esther George, who has been among the most hawkish Fed policy makers, isn't opposed to overshooting the 2% inflation goal and sees more risk of price pressures being too weak than too strong. Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Global Head of Economic Research, says the labor market recovery will be a long, slow slog. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, says additional stimulus is a question of when, not if. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder and Host of "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations," discusses his interview with Mark Cuban, Dallas Mavericks Owner.

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Published 2020-08-25

Surveillance: The Great Inflation Debate With Kasman

34 min Transcript
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Chris Verrone, Strategas Research Partners Head of Technical Analysis, says the leadership tone of the equity market is telling us to expect a positive economic surprise in the back half of the year. Regina Mayor, KPMG Global Head of Energy, says the removal of Exxon from the Dow Jones is a signal that large energy companies need to embrace an “energy transition” to remain relevant. Terry Haines, Pangaea Policy Founder, says Trump's enthusiasm advantage over Biden is real. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, says the Fed is on thin ice given where the economy is. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist and Head of Global Economic Research, weighs in whether inflation is on the way back.

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Published 2020-08-24

Surveillance: Speculative Bubble With Cooperman

34 min Transcript
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Leon Cooperman, Omega Family Office Chairman and CEO, says the Fed has created a speculative bubble. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, examines foreign policy differences between President Donald Trump and Democratic Presidential Nominee Joe Biden. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Analyst, says the storms heading toward the Gulf Coast are not going to move the needle when it comes to the sheer volume of oil inventory we need to run down. Ann Miletti, Wells Fargo Asset Management Head of Active Equity, says the market may be telling us that a tectonic shift is happening in our economy at a pace that we haven’t seen before.

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Published 2020-08-21

Surveillance: Roubini Warns of Slow Recovery

37 min Transcript
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Nouriel Roubini, NYU Stern School of Business Professor, warns the global economy faces a risk of a slow recovery or even another slump along the way unless a coronavirus vaccine is found. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, the market is shrugging its shoulders about the next quarter of earnings. Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, says there is a significant divergence in terms of both behavioral and attitudinal measures of investor sentiment. Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Managing Partner, discusses Apple's $2 trillion milestone and Tesla's relentless rally.

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Published 2020-08-20

Surveillance: Landlords Fight for NYC

29 min Transcript
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Anthony Malkin, Empire State Realty Trust President and CEO, urges leaders to get out of the Hamptons and back to the office. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, says the fact that economic data has plateaued shows that the market is unsure of what direction to go in as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says inflation will gradually get better but it is going to time. Howard Dean, former Democratic National Committee Chair and former Vermont Governor, says the DNC is aimed at disaffected Republicans who want to see honesty back in the government.

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Published 2020-08-19

Surveillance: Debt Transparency With Malpass

30 min Transcript
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David Malpass, World Bank President, says China needs to participate in debt relief plan for poor countries. Jill Carey Hall, BofA Securities U.S. Equity Strategist & Head of U.S. SMID Cap Strategy, says there is divergence within the market in terms of valuations and performance spreads. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research Founder and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says there are signals on the horizon that inflation is coming in the U.S. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder and Host of "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations," discusses his interview with Lonnie Bunch, Secretary of the Smithsonian Institution.

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Published 2020-08-19

Surveillance: International Markets With Doll

31 min Transcript
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Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Portfolio Manager, says the stay-at-home recession in most parts of the world has ended. Robert Tipp, PGIM Fixed Income Chief Investment Strategist, says it will take a very long time to get incomes elevated although consumption is at a record level. Bob Doll, Nuveen Chief Equity Strategist & Senior Portfolio Manager, says the U.S. no longer has the interest rate advantage. Garlin Gilchrist, Lieutenant Governor of Michigan and Democratic National Committee Vice Chair, says Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are running on the most progressive agenda for opportunity and racial equity that any president has ever run on. Carla Freeman, Johns Hopkins SAIS Foreign Policy Institute Executive Director, discuss how a Biden-Harris administration might impact U.S.-China relations.

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Published 2020-08-17

Surveillance: Belarus Strikes With Bolton

28 min Transcript
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John Bolton, Former U.S. National Security Adviser to President Trump, says that the U.S. needs to make sure that Russia stays of out Belarus. Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management CEO & Portfolio Manager, expects the physical global economy to do much better than the global services economy. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Director of the U.S. and Americas Programme, says the goal of the Democratic National Convention is to get voters excited about the Biden/Harris ticket, not just to defeat President Trump. Marta Wosińska, Duke-Margolis Center for Health Policy Deputy Director of Policy, says individuals who are not in high-risk demographics will probably not receive a Covid-19 vaccine until the spring of 2021.

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Published 2020-08-14

Surveillance: Stock Market Not Insane, Bailin Says

30 min Transcript
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David Bailin, Citi Private Bank Chief Investment Officer, says corporate earnings and global liquidity will provide a tailwind for stocks going forward. Michael Gapen, Barclays Chief U.S. Economist, says several more months of fiscal benefits would be helpful to the economy before it can be self-sustaining. David Riley, BlueBay Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, says it will be difficult for Europe to sustain a strong recovery because it is still dependent on global growth and trade. Lupin Rahman, PIMCO Global Head of EM Sovereign Credit, says the Covid-19 pandemic has been a liquidity shock for the bulk of emerging markets.

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Published 2020-08-13

Surveillance: Stimulus Standoff With Furman

40 min Transcript
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Tony Dwyer, Cannacord Genuity Chief Market Strategist, says a negative feedback loop will become great enough that lawmakers in Washington will reach a stimulus deal. Lisa Hornby, Schroder Investment U.S. Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says there is a tremendous dislocation between where markets are trading today and what the underlying economy tells us. Leland Miller, China Beige Book CEO, says the chances of seeing a broad-based solution regarding President Trump's ban of WeChat is quite low. Ian Lyngen, BMO Capital Markets Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, says the recent spike in Covid-19 cases has not flowed through the labor market yet. Jason Furman, Harvard Professor and Former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers during the Obama Administration, says it is unlikely that an economic stimulus deal from Congress will be reached this month.

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Published 2020-08-12

Surveillance: Risk-On Rotation With Bevan

31 min Transcript
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Jared Woodard, BofA Securities Research Investment Committee Head, expects continued volatility in markets until there is compromise on stimulus measures in Washington. Harry Tchilinguirian, BNP Paribas Head of Commodity-Markets Strategy, believes there will be another gold rally in 2021. James Bevan, CCLA Chief Investment Officer, says equities will grind higher from here. Jeffrey Wright, Eurasia Group U.S. Analyst, says Kamala Harris was the safe pick for Joe Biden’s running mate. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities Equity Strategist, says cyclicality will be the winning play over the longer term.

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Published 2020-08-11

Surveillance: Closer To W-Shaped Recovery, Swonk Says

32 min Transcript
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Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Generalist Portfolio Manager, says it is best to look toward the U.S. and Asia in terms of investing in equity markets over the next five years. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says the need for another fiscal stimulus package is now a matter of "life and death." Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy Research, believes the odds of Republicans and Democrats compromising on an economic stimulus package have decreased. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO, discusses the life and legacy of Brent Scowcroft.

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Published 2020-08-10

Surveillance: Systemic Risk With Alpert

30 min Transcript
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Daniel Alpert, Westwood Capital Managing Partner, says the fourth quarter could reveal a financial crisis trickled from a systemic one due to households not being able to pay their rent and mortgages. Mark Zandi, Moody’s Chief Economist, says the unemployment rate will be around fourteen percent rather than ten once individuals who have stepped out of the workforce return. Diana Amoa, JPMorgan Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says broad dollar dynamics matter for emerging market currencies across Asia and Europe.

Dr. Jonathan Quick, The Rockefeller Foundation Managing Director of Pandemic Response, Preparedness, and Prevention, says we don't have herd immunity yet.

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Published 2020-08-07

Surveillance: U.S. Jobs Report With Kudlow

40 min Transcript
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Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says virus relief talks are stalemated. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says today's payrolls report gives ammunition for another round of fiscal support. Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth College Professor of Economics, says although nonfarm payroll numbers are positive, we need to watch underemployment figures. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Chief U.S. Economist, says this stronger-than-expected jobs report heightens the focus on the negotiations over another stimulus bill.

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Published 2020-08-06

Surveillance: Jobless Claims with Dutta

27 min Transcript
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Kit Juckes, Societe Generale Chief Market Strategist, says the dollar cannot weaken further unless emerging market economies are stabilized. Andrew Bailey, Bank of England Governor, says negative rates remain in their toolbox. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of Economics, says we should expect labor market activity to accelerate in August. Marilyn Watson, BlackRock Head of Fundamental Fixed Income Strategy, says technology and communications are overweight right now because investors are looking for places to put their money. Piotr Matys, Rabobank Emerging Markets Strategist, says a weaker Lira is going to have significant inflationary consequences for Turkey.

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Published 2020-08-05

Surveillance: Stimulus Bets With Lew

42 min Transcript
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Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, says the United States is much less interested in the Middle East than before because it is now the world's largest energy producer. Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross-Asset Strategist, says you can expect to see a sustainable economic recovery in the next six to twelve months. Senator Bill Cassidy, Republican from Louisiana, says Dr. Fauci's positions on lockdown measures are evolving as we understand the scope of the pandemic. Sarah Hindlian, Macquarie Analyst, says there are legitimate concerns of consumer data collection regarding TikTok given the tensions between the U.S. and China. Jacob J. Lew, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary, discusses the politics behind negotiations on the next round of U.S. stimulus.

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Published 2020-08-04

Surveillance: TikTok Talks with Nathanson

34 min Transcript
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Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist, says inflation may be coming more from deglobalization and large fiscal spending rather than monetary policy.Geoffrey Yu, BNY Mellon Senior Strategist, says markets are pricing in yield curve control. John Ryding, Brean Capital Chief Economic Advisor, says we may still have an unemployment rate above 9% by the end of this year. Michael Nathanson, MoffettNathanson Founding Partner and Senior Research Analyst, explains how TikTok could become Microsoft's deal of the decade.

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Published 2020-08-03

Surveillance: Virus Impact With Fed's Kaplan

38 min Transcript
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Robert Kaplan, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President, says the U.S. unemployment rate will likely be above 9% if we don't do a better of managing the virus. Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says there will be a higher rise to inflation than markets are currently expecting. Ethan Harris, BofA Securities Head of Global Economic Research, says the size, speed and targeted nature of the next U.S. fiscal stimulus package are all of paramount importance. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Director of the U.S. and Americas Programme, says Democrats have a strong incentive to hold out on stimulus measures during the negotiating process with Republicans.

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Published 2020-08-03

Bloomberg Markets: Diversity

6 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Markets magazine is out with a special issue focused on diversity, where black men and women share their experience on Wall Street. There's no universal experience, but their stories reflect what it's like, and what it means, to be just one of a handful of black faces in finance. Bloomberg Radio and Television Correspondent Sonali Basak contributed to the issue and brings us more in this special report. 

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Published 2020-07-31

Surveillance: Tech Dominance With Golub

30 min Transcript
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Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says the gap between the technology companies dominating the market and everything else will continue to widen. Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Capital Co-CIO, says asset reflation is here. Seema Shah, Principal Global Investors Chief Strategist, says a second virus wave is the main reason to buy bonds. Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities Managing Director of Equity Research, says Apple will reach a two trillion dollar market cap by the end of the year.

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Published 2020-07-30

Surveillance: Fed Won't Go Negative, Rajan Says

22 min Transcript
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Raghuram Rajan, University of Chicago Booth School Professor and Former Reserve Bank of India Governor, says the Fed will be as supportive as possible but will resist negative interest rates. Michelle Meyer, BofA Securities Head of U.S. Economics, says the leisure and hospitality sector has been one of the hardest hit industries as a result of the pandemic. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, says the U.S. unemployment rate will be greater than 10% heading into 2021. Arun Sundararajan, NYU Stern School of Business Professor, says the real solution in regards to the tech industry will be self-regulation.

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Published 2020-07-29

Surveillance: Tech Testimony With Square's McKelvey

34 min Transcript
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Jim McKelvey, Square Co-Founder, Author of "The Innovation Stack," and St. Louis Federal Reserve Deputy Chair, discusses how much regulation Congress should wield over large tech companies. Jill Carey Hall, BofA Securities U.S. Equity Strategist, says she is cautious on the upside of U.S. markets because there could be payback risk from stimulus measures. Priya Misra, TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy, says the recent dollar weakness has been a result of the market listening to the Fed. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says gold has become a little too crowded. Al Broaddus, Former Richmond Fed President, weighs in on Fed policy as Congress works on fiscal aid.

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Published 2020-07-28

Surveillance: Fed Policy With Plosser

38 min Transcript
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Charles Plosser, Former Philadelphia Fed President, says the Fed needs to declare its independence and regain control of monetary policy. Tobias Levkovich, Citi Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says investors are chasing momentum. Chris Krueger, Cowen Washington Research Group Managing Director, says the crux of the phase four fiscal stimulus bill is the split between lawmakers over unemployment benefits. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, stresses the urgent need for greater federal stimulus in New York. Matt Winkler, Bloomberg Editor-in-Chief Emeritus, discusses the rise of socially conscious investing amid the coronavirus pandemic.

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Published 2020-07-27

Surveillance: MTA In Desperate Need, CEO Says

36 min Transcript
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Pat Foye, MTA Chairman and CEO, says not funding the MTA will stunt and thwart economic recovery and job creation all over New York. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, says the incremental slowdown in the U.S. was caused by a surge in virus cases, but forecasts a strong double digit increase in third-quarter GDP. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Investment Management Chief Strategist, says it is wise to be cautiously bullish in this current market. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, discusses the factors that could send us into a bear market this year.

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Published 2020-07-24

Surveillance: U.S.-China Trade Risks With Haass

41 min Transcript
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Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says there is a possibility of broad sanctions between the U.S. and China amid rising tensions. Valdis Dombrovskis, European Commission Executive Vice President, says the EU is willing to cooperate with the U.S. in a multi-lateral strategy to deal with China. Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs Chief Global Equity Strategist, says the rebound in the third quarter is going to look very V-shaped. Betsey Stevenson, Bloomberg View Columnist and Former U.S. Department of Labor Chief Economist, says studies show that investing in early childcare development reaps huge returns for taxpayers. Sam Kennedy, Boston Red Sox President and CEO, looks ahead to the team's first game back in Fenway Park since before the start of the pandemic.

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Published 2020-07-23

Surveillance: Vital Monetary Response With Dudley

30 min Transcript
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William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former New York Federal Reserve President, says if there is no extension of unemployment benefits there will be consequences in consumer spending. Ralph Schlosstein, Evercore Co-Chairman and Co-CEO, says the most important thing for every company to look at is liquidity. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy & Operations, expects the U.S. to continue escalation with China after the closure of the Chinese consulate in Houston. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO, says the greatest challenge facing the U.S. in this century is China.

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Published 2020-07-23

Surveillance: Frictionless Trading With Friedman

25 min Transcript
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Adena Friedman, Nasdaq President & CEO, says the SEC has done an excellent job at managing the responsibility of disclosure obligations. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says gold has been the biggest beneficiary from the reflation story. Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley Head of U.S. Public Policy Research & Municipal Credit Strategy, expects an agreement in Washington over the next wave of U.S. stimulus within three weeks. Sir Howard Davies, NatWest Group Chairman, discusses the implications of rising U.S.-China tensions against the backdrop of a fragile economic environment.

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Published 2020-07-21

Surveillance: Virus Response With Mayor Gimenez

32 min Transcript
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Carlos Gimenez, Miami-Dade County Mayor, says a new stimulus package will prevent the closure of many businesses and restaurants. Deborah Fuller, University of Washington School of Medicine Microbiology Professor, says a number of coronavirus vaccines are indicating positive results, but there are still several more steps before one will be widely available to the public. Chris Van Hollen, Democratic Senator from Maryland, says the nominee for the Federal Reserve should not be a political rubber stamp for the president. Paolo Gentiloni, EU Commissioner for Economic and Financial Affairs, discusses the details of the landmark European stimulus package worth 750 billion euros.

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Published 2020-07-20

Surveillance: The Need For Transparency With Malpass

28 min Transcript
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David Malpass, World Bank President, says developing countries are under immense debt pressure in the midst of a global pandemic. Jason Furman, Harvard Kennedy School Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy, says the current recession is unlike the last financial crisis because there has been a V-shape recovery in consumer spending. Carsten Nickel, Teneo Intelligence Managing Director for Europe, says EU leaders joining together to create a recovery fund is politically transformative. Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities Analyst, says Amazon and Google seem to be the technology companies most susceptible to regulatory risk in the next year.

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