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Bloomberg Surveillance

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Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment. Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television. Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.  Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ. Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.

Episodes

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Published 2019-01-10

Surveillance: Recession Likelihood with Bandholz & Kiesel

28 min Transcript
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Mark Kiesel, PIMCO CIO of Credit, thinks markets have overestimated the likelihood of a recession while Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Bank Chief U.S. Economist thinks the U.S. could see a recession in 2020. Miranda Carr, Haitong International Senior Macro Strategist & Senior Analyst, doesn't see China's latest inflation numbers as reflective of a huge slump in all of its upstream pricing. Chris Bryant, Bloomberg Opinion Industrials Columnist, believes recent cuts at Ford & Jaguar Land Rover are just the start for the automotive industry. 

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Published 2019-01-09

Surveillance: A Fed Minutes Preview With Vincent Reinhart

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Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, discusses what's he's looking to in the Fed Minutes. Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Texas) says the President's border wall is a 14th century solution to a 21st century problem. John Brabender, Brabenderbox Chief Creative Officer & Republican Strategist, discusses fractures in the GOP. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Banks and Diversified Financials Research, says she has her eye on big bank buybacks. ------

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Published 2019-01-08

Surveillance: A New Era In The U.S.-China Relationship

34 min Transcript
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Chris Verrone, Strategas Partner & Head of Technical Strategy, says there's a dichotomy between global and domestic tech. Michael Hirson, Eurasia Group Director of Asia, discusses China's slowdown and what it could mean for trade talks with the U.S. Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex Chief Market Strategist, foresees the dollar weakening. Taylor Riggs, Bloomberg News Correspondent, brings us an update from the JPMorgan Healthcare conference in San Francisco. 

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Published 2019-01-07

Surveillance: Top Risks 2019 With Eurasia Group

31 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance is on location at Eurasia Group today. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, defines "innovation winter." Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says several forward-looking economic measures are concerning. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy & Operations, discusses market volatility in relation to U.S. politics. Sallie Krawcheck, Ellevest CEO & Co-Founder, discusses the gender gap in retirement investing. 

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Published 2019-01-04

Surveillance: No Recession In Sight, Kudlow Says

36 min Transcript
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Jim Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, says growth for the working age population has slowed dramatically. Miranda Carr, Haitong International China Macro Strategist, says further liquidity is needed in China for its infrastructure projects. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor of Economics, and Mike Darda, MKM Holdings Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, join us for instant reaction to the U.S. jobs number (312k). Larry Kudlow, White House National Economic Council Director, says there is no recession in sight.

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Published 2019-01-03

Surveillance: Fed's Kaplan Advocates For Taking No Action

41 min Transcript
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Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, says the Chinese economy is much weaker than the official headlines show. Walter Piecyk, BTIG Telecom, Wireless and Communication Equipment Analyst, says Apple's lowering of revenue estimates is a major sign of economic issues in China. Robert Kaplan, Federal Reserve of Dallas President, thinks the Fed should not take any further action on interest rates. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, argues that the U.S. has to remain engaged in the Pacific. Asthika Goonerwardene, Bloomberg Intelligence Biotech & Pharma Analyst, says Bristol's bid for Celgene is a financial transaction to buy cash flows. 

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Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist & Portfolio Manager, believes there is a strong case for the Fed to pause. Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, expects a deeper deterioration of the Chinese economy before the stimulus comes through. Dana Peterson, Citigroup Economist, highlights the importance of the January Fed meeting. Oscar Decotelli, DXA Investments CEO, says the Brazilian elite seem to be positive about the country's new President Jair Bolsonaro. 

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Published 2018-12-31

Surveillance: Happy 2019 For CPTPP Countries, Sumpter Says

35 min Transcript
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Brett Ryan, Deutsche Bank Senior Economist, expects 3 rate hikes and 2.4% economic growth next year. Bob Profusek, Jones Day Global Chair of M&A, says M&A are driven by technology and globalization not by credit markets. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Research Strategy & Operations Head, says the countries in the CPTPP will see roughly 99% of tariffs among them eliminated. Jack Ablin, Cresset Wealth Advisors CIO & Founding Partner, says emerging markets are "downright cheap." 

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Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Chief Economist, says the government shutdown isn't a huge story for the U.S. economy. John Sfakianakis, Gulf Research Center Foundation Director of Economics Research, doesn't think Saudi Arabia sees oil as a strategic weapon. Martin Indyk, CFR Distinguished Fellow & Former U.S. Ambassador to Israel, talks the impact of the U.S. pullout from Syria on the "cold war" between Iran and Israel. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy CEO & Founder, talks the risk of Amazon achieving the status of "commerce king." 

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Published 2018-12-27

Surveillance: Relative Dollar Strength in 2019, Barth Says

40 min Transcript
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Don Rissmiller, Strategas Research Partners, thinks the Fed should increase clarity on housing and inflation expectations. Kona Haque, ED&F MAN Head of Commodities Research, says the trade story will drive commodities' sentiment in 2019. Marvin Barth, Barclays Head of FX & EM Macro Strategy Research, says President Trump has realized it is a mistake to undermine people's confidence in institutions. Mark McCormick, TD Securities Head of FX Strategy North America, thinks reserve currencies will strengthen again next year.

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Published 2018-12-26

Surveillance: Trade Wars Are Scaring People, Stringham Says

44 min Transcript
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Edward Stringham, President of the American Institute for Economic Research, doesn't buy that the Fed is responsible for all the problems of the economy. Ivan Feinseth, Tigress Financial CIO, says now is the time to take advantage of the post-Christmas sale on Wall Street. Brian Egger, Bloomberg Senior Gaming & Lodging Analyst, thinks we are only in the early innings of the sports betting legalization process. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO, says the combination of online and brick-and-mortar is powerful for retailers.

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Published 2018-12-24

Surveillance: Markets Listen To The President, Spindel Says

25 min Transcript
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Bob Hormats, Kissinger Associates Vice-Chair, describes the demographic challenges China is facing. Margaret Talev, Bloomberg's White House Correspondent, zooms in on the question of how the shutdown will impact the economy. Mark Spindel, "The Myth of Independence: How Congress Governs the Federal Reserve" Author, says markets have listened to President Trump on his criticisms of the Fed. Chris Verrone, Strategas Partner & Head of Technical Strategy, says investors are selling what they can and not what they want.

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Published 2018-12-21

Surveillance: Risk Tolerance Has Changed, Joseph Cohen Says

27 min Transcript
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Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director & Senior Investment Strategist, thinks the risk tolerance of investors has changed. Bill Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says the Fed still has to define what they mean by "asymmetry." John Hudak, Brookings Governance Studies Senior Fellow, says General Mattis' resignation is connected to the "unstable behavior" and "erratic decision-making" of Trump. Stephen Gallo, BMO Capital Markets Head of European FX Strategy, expects the dollar to be stronger the first half of 2019. 

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Published 2018-12-20

Surveillance: A Data Dependent Fed With Citi's Mann

25 min Transcript
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Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth University Professor, says either the market is wrong or the Fed is wrong. Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, thinks tightening eight times in the course of two years is too rapid a move. Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says there is a divorce between data from the real economy and data from financial markets. Narayana Kocherlakota, Former Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President, says we should get rid of the FOMC Dot Plot.

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Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross-Asset Strategist, says bond markets are adjusting to slower growth in developed economies next year. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Analyst, says oil demand concerns stem from the U.S. and China trade war. Randy Kroszner, Former Fed Governor, says the Fed cannot be a slave to the market. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Global Strategist, sees a 55% probability of impeachment for Trump.

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Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, says the justification to continue rising rates has evaporated. Jim O'Neill, Chatham House Chair and Goldman Sachs Former Chief Economist, says changing the manager will not solve the dilemmas of Manchester United. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Senior Political Strategist & Head of Political Analysis, says a government shutdown would only affect 25% of federal funding. Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, says better credit conditions in China haven't translated into liquidity. 

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Published 2018-12-17

Surveillance: Science Is The Key To Progress, Romer Says

31 min Transcript
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Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor and Peter G. Peterson Chair, discusses the latest edition of Foreign Affairs. Andrea Felsted, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, talks Brexit fears for U.K. retailers. Paul Romer, 2018 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences Co-Recipient, says people have less confidence in science than they had 20 years ago. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, is worried about the lack of cooperation between global superpowers. 

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Published 2018-12-14

Surveillance: In The Long Term, Cash Is Trash, Sowerby Says

31 min Transcript
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Kate Moore, BlackRock Investment Institute Chief Equity Strategist, discusses the implications of a slower growth rate next year. David Sowerby, Ancora Managing Director & Portfolio Manager, says in the long term, cash is trash. Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO & Founder, talks the financialization of the VIX from an index to a trading instrument. Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, thinks consumer data do not support the general view of a recession in 2019 or 2020. 

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Published 2018-12-13

Surveillance: May Vote Was A Distraction, Mills Says

29 min Transcript
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Chi Onwurah, Labour MP & Shadow Minister of the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, thinks the fundamental fractures in British Parliament can't be solved in two weeks. Eoin Drea, Martens Centre for European Studies Senior Research Officer, defines the Irish border as a symbol of peace and reconciliation. John Mills, JML Founder and Chairman, says the confidence vote was a bit of a distraction. Steven Major, HSBC Bank Global Head of Fixed Income Research, joins us to react to the ECB's rate decision. 

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Nigel Huddleston, Conservative Member of Parliament for Mid Worcestershire, says Theresa May would be in a very strong position if she won the vote. Guy Johnson, Bloomberg Anchor, and Erik Nielsen, Unicredit Group Chief Economist, join us for a Brexit update. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Interest-Rates Strategy, advises to be opportunistic in every asset class in 2019. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, thinks sterling relief is related to anti-Corbyn sentiment. 

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Published 2018-12-11

Surveillance: We Are Near The End Of The Cycle, Ruskin Says

36 min Transcript
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Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Securities Managing Director & Chief International Strategist, says market participants seem to expect volatility to be sticky for a while. Luke Kawa, Bloomberg Cross-Asset Reporter, says markets are pricing in some kind of inflection point for the Fed over the next two years. Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth Professor & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, defines the current situation of the U.K. as one of "chaos" and "rage". Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives Founder, explains that technology is a deflationary force. Baroness Helena Kennedy, House of Lords Member, remarks that the Irish border question was not in the mind of the voters when the Brexit referendum took place. 

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Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Group Chief Economist, says the key question now is whether Theresa May can go back to Brussels to negotiate changes. Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex Strategist & Managing Partner, says there will be downward pressure in the rupee until the Indian central bank's independence is reestablished. Gary Shilling, A. Gary Shilling & Co. President & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, thinks we are in a very deflationary world. Cheryl Bolen, Bloomberg Government’s White House Reporter, discusses the responsibilities of the next White House Chief of Staff. 

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Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor of Economics, says markets are reacting to the end of the sugar high. James Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, thinks the Fed is more cautious as we near neutral. Michael Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, says the Fed should be focused on the nominal economy. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, discusses who may be the next candidate for White House Chief of Staff. 

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Tony Blair, Former U.K. Prime Minister, joins Francine Lacqua and Tom Keene on Bloomberg Surveillance TV to discuss Brexit. Tim Culpan, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says cybersecurity has played a role in Huawei's CFO's arrest. David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman, reflects on the global admiration for former President George H.W. Bush. Tina Davis, Bloomberg Energy & Commodities Americas, joins us to wrap headlines from the OPEC+ meetings. 

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Published 2018-12-05

Surveillance: Remembering President George H.W. Bush

29 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance remember former President George H.W. Bush in today's episode. Diana Furchtgott-Roth, Former Office of Policy Planning Associate Director for George H.W. Bush, discusses the former President's economic policies. Ron Bonjean, The Bonjean Company Founder, discusses the future of the Republican party. Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander for Europe, says George H.W. Bush was one of the biggest supporters of NATO in history. Bill Hoagland, Bipartisan Policy Center Senior Vice President, says the former President was pragmatic about deficits. 

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Published 2018-12-04

Surveillance: 2020 Will Be Quite Weak, Shepherdson Says

30 min Transcript
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Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, says wage growth is much more likely to head North than South. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S. Rates Strategist, discusses the yield curve flattening. Kevin Book, Clearview Energy Partners Head of Research, brings us an update on oil markets. Emma Ross Thomas, Bloomberg Brexit Editor, says BOE Governor Mark Carney is no stranger to criticism. 

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Richard Clarida, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman, says the U.S. Economy is in good shape right now. Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics & Policy Correspondent, says the market is pricing in a much lower path for rate hikes for the Fed in 2019. Marianne Schneider-Petsinger, Chatham House Geoeconomics Fellow for U.S. & the Americas, says it is not clear what the Trump administration wants to achieve with China. Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, highlights the divergent outlook of monetary policy for the PBOC and the Fed. Former Senator Alan Simpson, (R) Wyoming, remembers President George H.W. Bush. 

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Jonathan Fenby, TSLombard Chairman, says the trade war has come at an inconvenient time for Xi Jinping. Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent, updates us on the USMCA signing in Buenos Aires. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives Founder & President, does not expect the G-20 meetings to resolve trade issues. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President & Founder, says a framework agreement between Xi and Trump would be a huge win. And Garrett Graff, Author of "Threat Matrix", offers an inside look into political drama in Washington. 

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Thu Lan Nguyen, Commerzbank FX Strategist, and Daniel Morris, BNP Paribas Asset Management Senior Investment Strategist, discuss the market impact of various Brexit outcomes. Jean-Claude Trichet, Former ECB President, says the 2008 crisis put central banks close to a financial stability mandate. Don Gimbel, Geneva Advisors Portfolio Manager, thinks China and the U.S. may reach an agreement at the G-20 summit. Leon Cooperman, Omega Advisors Chairman & CEO, discusses the algorithms that bring volatility to the markets. Eric Garcetti, Los Angeles Mayor, says mayors are the political first responders to natural disasters.

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Published 2018-11-28

Surveillance: Fiscal Cliff Coming In 2020, Crescenzi Says

38 min Transcript
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Bloomberg Surveillance is live from the Bloomberg link for the Year Ahead Summit. Miranda Carr, Haitong International China Macro Strategist, says the Chinese government will have to take strong measures to avoid volatility in the yuan. Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist & Portfolio Manager, expects a fiscal cliff in 2020. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman & Co-Founder, discusses the humility of Former Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy, the guest on his show "Peer to Peer Conversations". Luca Solca, Exane BNP Paribas Head of Luxury Goods Research, says that the Chinese consumer represents a third of the luxury market. Nick Colas, DataTrek Research Co-Founder, says bitcoin is a cloudy market. 

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Arlene Foster, U.K. Democratic Unionist Party Leader, tells us why her party doesn't support May's Brexit deal. Kevin Tynan, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Automotive Analyst, says GM is going through this "painful transition" in order to be relevant in the future. Edward Alden, CFR Senior Fellow and Author of "Failure To Adjust: How Americans Got Left Behind In The Global Economy", says China is a bigger market for GM than the U.S. Andrew Wood, Chatham House Associate Fellow for their Russia and Eurasia Programme, does not think there will be new sanctions on Russia. 

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Nicky Morgan, U.K. Member of Parliament & Chair of Treasury Select Committee, and Rupert Harrison, BlackRock Multi-Asset Strategies Portfolio Manager, talk the challenges of getting the Brexit deal through Parliament. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist & Head of Global Fixed Income & Economic Research, says returns aren't great but the unemployment rate is going nowhere. Oliver Chen, Cowen Senior Equity Research Analyst, discusses Cyber Monday for a generation that needs "instagramable moments." Abhishek Deshpande, Head of JP Morgan's Global Oil Market Research & Strategy Team, thinks oil's falling prices are partly policy led. 

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Steve Wieting, Citigroup Global Chief Investment Strategist, doesn't think 2019 marks a down year for the U.S. or the rest of the world. John Levy, John B. Levy & Company Founder, says we are going from necessity shopping to experience shopping. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says oil prices will give a boost to consumer spending in the holiday season. Christyan Malek, J.P. Morgan Head of EMEA Oil & Gas Research, talks the Russian break even and the Saudi break even oil prices. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Founder, says stores are in a good inventory position for holidays sales. 

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Brian Levitt, Oppenheimer Funds Senior Investment Strategist, says the Phillips curve is as flat as the table he is sitting at. Laurence Boone, OECD Chief Economist, highlights the need to fix trade issues. Mike Feroli, JPMorgan Chief Economist, thinks the Fed will continue to hike every quarter next year. Brian Kelly, The Points Guy, says the credit card market is living the biggest boom we have ever seen. 

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George Bory, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Credit Strategy, says the march back towards cash is well underway. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, thinks the chances of a big infrastructure package are higher than markets seem to think. Mark Gilbert, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says we are nearing a bear market. Wolfgang Munchau, Eurointelligence Director, thinks people are overestimating the power of Germany to influence Euro states. 

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Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says the Fed must balance the signals coming from the global and domestic economy. Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Finance Professor, thinks Salvini wants the confrontation with the EU for political reasons. Isabelle Mateos Y Lago, BlackRock Investment Institute Chief Multi-Asset Strategist, notes it's the first time in a while that there's uncertainty about the Fed's next move. Budd Bugatch, Raymond James Research Managing Director, provides an update on Home Depot and Walmart. 

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Stephen Roach, Yale University Professor, says there might be some type of standstill agreement between China and the U.S. in the Buenos Aires meeting. Antony Phillipson, British Consul General to New York, highlights the need to deliver some certainty on Brexit. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, will discuss the record number of women in Congress during her next show. Stephanie Wissink, Jefferies Managing Director & Consumer Research Analyst, says the baton has shifted from baby boomers to millennials being the population driver for consumer goods. 

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Published 2018-11-15

Surveillance: Hard Brexit Looks Very Tangible, Foley Says

33 min Transcript
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Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy & Senior Currency Analyst, says the prospects of a hard Brexit look very tangible today. Neil Callanan, Bloomberg's London Bureau Chief, thinks Theresa May will struggle in a leadership contest. Danny Blanchflower, Darmouth Professor & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, thinks the current Brexit deal will collapse. And John Carreyou, Author of "Bad Blood", details the writing process for his book on Elizabeth Holmes and Theranos. 

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Ebrahim Rahbari, Citi Global Head of Content & G10 FX Strategy, says confidence in Draghi is diminishing. David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, thinks European stocks are especially undervalued today. Toby Moskovitz, Heritage Equity Partners President & Founder, proposes that Amazon creates a requirement for local hiring and job training. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Founder, says product innovation contributes Macy's strong earnings. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman & Co-Founder, previews his interview with Former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan. 

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Kim Wallace, Eurasia Group Managing Director of U.S., thinks people are growing comfortable with the notion of socializing health care in America. Nancy Ognanovich, Congressional Leadership Reporter For Bloomberg Government, says funding the government will be the Congress priority. Greg Boutle, BNP Head of Equity & Derivative Strategy, expects a slowdown in nominal GDP next year. Bill Smead, Smead Capital Management CEO & CIO, describes how Seattle has changed as Amazon has grown. 

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Published 2018-11-12

Surveillance: We Still Have Work To Do, Rep. Scalise Says

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Jim Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, says of all the things he worries about, the Fed is not on that list. Kevin Book, Clearview Energy Partners Head of Research, talks the supply and demand picture for crude oil. Rep. Steve Scalise (R-LA) lays out his plans for his last few months as House Majority Whip. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Interest-Rates Strategy, says you don't have to take on a ton of treasury risk to get big returns. Tyler Brule, Monocle Editor-In-Chief, takes a close look at soft power. 

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Published 2018-11-09

Surveillance: This Fed Is Data Dependent, Zentner Says

32 min Transcript
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Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist & Managing Director, thinks the U.S. tariffs are already having an impact on China. Stewart Patrick, CFR Senior Fellow & Director of the International Institutions and Global Governance Program, joins us to discuss the Armistice Day Centennial. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, thinks Powell has been a great communicator but his one misstep was when he said, "We are far from neutral." Michael Beschloss, Presidential Historian & Author of "Presidents Of War", expects a Battle Royale within the Democratic Party in the next two years. 

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Stephanie Baker, Bloomberg News Senior Writer, discusses the Russian investigation in the wake of Sessions' resignation. William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, expects one or two rate hikes from the Fed next year. James Albertine, Consumer Edge Senior Auto Analyst, says Robyn Denholm would not have been his first choice for Tesla Chair. Bill Gavin, Former FBI Assistant Director, reacts to the California shooting. David Laufman, Government Investigations Lawyer & Former U.S. Department of Justice Senior National Security Official, revisits Sessions' recusal from the Russia investigation.  

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Published 2018-11-07

Surveillance Special: A Divided Congress

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Bloomberg Surveillance brings you a Midterms Special. Emily Ekins, Cato Institute Research Fellow & Director of Polling, says millennials were energized to vote in these midterms. Marc Lotter, Former Press Secretary for VP Mike Pence & Trump 2020 Advisory Board Member, shares his key takeaways from the Florida and Ohio races. Lawrence Summers, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary & Former National Economic Council Director, says fiscal responsibility is not the concern right now. Robby Mook, Hillary Clinton's 2016 Campaign Manager, thinks Democrats need to focus on delivering results to those who elected them. Trent Lott, Former Senate Majority Leader, says getting things done in a divided government takes communication and leadership. Stephen Moore, Heritage Foundation & "Trumponomics" Co-Author, thinks the booming economy saved Senate seats for Republicans. And Frank Keating, Former Governor of Oklahoma, says he's not happy with what is going on at the U.S.-Mexico border. 

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Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth & Investment Strategies, says gridlock would be the best outcome for the markets. Doug Heye, Deputy Chief of Staff to Eric Cantor & Republican Strategist, guides us through two races in Iowa. Joe Lieberman, United Against a Nuclear Iran Chairman and Former Senator (D-CT), thinks Congress has let down the people. Austan Goolsbee, Fmr. White House Economic Adviser to President Obama, is hoping voters become increasingly skeptical of what they see on social media during elections. 

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Published 2018-11-05

Surveillance: U.S. Midterms Eve With Jared Bernstein

27 min Transcript
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Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Bank Chief U.S. Economist, discusses potential for American austerity as the global economy decelerates. Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg News Reporter in Tehran, says Iran sanctions are a sad story for the middle class. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Chief Economist, does not expect the economy to overheat. Jared Bernstein, Fmr. Chief Economist & Economic Adviser to Vice President Joe R. Biden, says we've dropped the ball on public investment. 

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Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, explains how big oil companies are adapting to a de-carbonized world. Eric Ross, Cascend Securities Chief Investment Strategist, analyzes  the "Apple ecosystem." Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor & Former Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor, says we have never seen a higher wage gap between workers with college degrees and those without. Kevin Hassett, Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, says the U.S. is seeing real wage growth. 

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Seema Malhotra, Labour Party Member of Parliament, does not believe we will see a Brexit deal by November 21st. Steve Wieting, Citi Global CIO, expects a positive equity environment in 2019. Steve Major, HSBC Global Head of Fixed Income Research, says October was a bucket of cold water for the S&P. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Political Strategist, says President Trump is absolutely already on the 2020 campaign trail. 

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Published 2018-10-31

Surveillance: The U.S. Is Winning The Trade War, Foley Says

35 min Transcript
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Gerry Fowler, Aberdeen Standard Investments Global Multi-Asset Strategist, says the Libor rate is the key driver of equity markets. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the dollar-renminbi cross has a very political exchange rate. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy Founder & CEO, notes Facebook growth has slowed in the developed world. Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Capital Partner, gives us a hedge fund update. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, compares loan to bond investment. 

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Karen Ubelhart, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Machinery Analyst, sees opportunities in the tech gigs sector. Jason Trennert, Strategas Research Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, expects more dispersion in returns as capital becomes rationed. Bob Janjuah, Nomura Senior Independent Client Advisor of Global Markets, worries about the "post-easy-money world." Jim O'Sullivan, High Frequency Chief U.S. Economist, expects a strong employment report on Friday. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg TV & Radio Chief Washington Correspondent, updates us on President Trump's immigration plans.  

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