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Bloomberg Surveillance

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Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment. Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television. Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.  Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ. Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.

Episodes

Page 48 · 50 per page
Published 2022-09-01

Surveillance: Central Banks Wake Up

25 min Transcript
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Jean Boivin, Head of the BlackRock Investment Institute, says central banks are finally waking up. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Research Head of Global Commodities and Derivatives Research, says there is a huge amount of uncertainty over what the future of energy looks like. Rubeela Farooqi, High Frequency Economics Chief US Economist, is seeing dislocations in the labor market. Tracy Alloway, Odd Lots Podcast Co-Host, discusses her interview with Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari. 

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Published 2022-09-01

Chief Future Officer: Tarek Robbiati, HPE

22 min Transcript
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Chief Financial Officers now play a critical role in shaping corporate strategy and positioning organizations to meet future challenges. Bloomberg's monthly program, Chief Future Officer, profiles these leaders and explores the impact they're making on their companies and industries. This episode, hosted by Romaine Bostick and Taylor Riggs, focuses on HPE CFO Tarek Robbiati, who is helping drive the tech company's transformation from on-site data storage to providing cloud-based software as a service.

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Published 2022-08-31

Surveillance: Recession Not Likely, Says Emanuel

20 min Transcript
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Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, says the market could retest its lows if there is a consumer slump. Christian Nolting, Deutsche Bank Private Bank Global Chief Investment Officer, sees opportunities in European financials. Deborah Cunningham, Federated Hermes Global Liquidity Markets CIO, says we've been in a supply-demand imbalance from a treasury perspective. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman and Host of "Peer to Peer Conversations," discusses his interview with FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried. 

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Published 2022-08-30

Surveillance: No Market Bottom, says Rosenberg

28 min Transcript
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David Rosenberg, Rosenberg Research Founder & President, says we are a long way from the market bottom. Sebastien Page, T. Rowe Price Head of Global Multi-Asset & Chief Investment Officer, says he's not yet ready to get back into stocks. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, expects the yield curve inversion to deepen. Geoffrey Yu, BNY Mellon Senior EMEA Market Strategist, says he doesn't know anyone who's bullish right now. 

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Published 2022-08-29

Surveillance: Negative September with Slimmon

25 min Transcript
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 Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Senior Portfolio Manager, expects the near term to be negative for markets. Francesco Bianchi, Johns Hopkins Economist, says the Fed needs cooperation from the fiscal authorities to help bring inflation down. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, says banning American exports of energy products would be damaging to the overall market. Sen. Patrick Leahy, (D) Vermont, says he will fully support President Biden if he runs again in 2024. 

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Published 2022-08-26

Surveillance: Powell Talks Tough at Jackson Hole

46 min Transcript
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Patrick Harker, Philadelphia Fed President, says the Fed should consider pausing rate hikes after hitting at least 3.4% by year end to see how the economy reacts. James Bullard, St. Louis Fed President, says the Fed’s rate hikes are working at shorter lags than in the past. Raphael Bostic, Atlanta Fed President, says the Fed should keep interest rates higher “for a long time.” TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy Priya Misra and Citi Chief US Economist Andrew Hollenhorst react to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Kansas City Fed’s annual economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. 

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Published 2022-08-25

Surveillance: Fed's George Drops Hints at Jackson Hole

36 min Transcript
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Esther George, Kansas City Fed President, says the Fed has to get rates higher to slow down demand. Glenn Hubbard, Columbia Business School Professor of Finance and Economics, says policy still has role to play. Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Queens' College Cambridge President, says the Fed can't blink after being asleep at the wheel. Savita Subramanian, BofA Securities Head of US Equity & Quantitative Strategy, says she is focused on the long-end of the curve and sees the US at the beginning of a real growth cycle. 

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Published 2022-08-24

Surveillance: Investors Await Fed Rate-Hike Clarit

35 min Transcript
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Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief US Economist, sees the Fed raising rates above 4% next year. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of US Rates Strategy, says a Fed hike beyond 4% doesn't make sense. Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief US Economist, says the Fed may stop hiking by the end of the year. Seabreeze Partners President Doug Kass and Blue Ridge Capital Founder John Griffin discuss the life and legacy of Julian Robertson. 

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Published 2022-08-23

Surveillance: Fed Expectations with Hatzius

33 min Transcript
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Jan Hatzius, Chief Economist at Goldman Sachs, thinks the it could be a couple more years before the Fed cuts rates. Steven Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities USA Chief US Economist, describes why this is not a typical inflation cycle. Steve Englander, Standard Chartered Bank Global Head G-10 FX Research, says the ECB doesn't have the tools to address the weakness in Europe. Tina Fordham, Fordham Global Foresight Geopolitical Strategist & Founder, says there are no signs of the war in Ukraine abating. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman and Host of "Peer to Peer Conversations," discusses his interview John Doerr, Kleiner Perkins Chairman and 'Speed & Scale' Author. 

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Published 2022-08-22

Surveillance: Stock Volatility with Calvasina

41 min Transcript
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Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says to set up for further volatility ahead. Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, if you're not expecting a recession in Europe, you haven't been paying attention. Peter Trubowitz, LSE Professor of International Relations & Chatham House Associate Fellow, expects the war in Ukraine to continue to be a long slog. Jordan Rochester, Nomura International G-10 FX Strategist, says the FX market is mispricing Europe. Leland Miller, China Beige Book International Founder & CEO, says China's official data have gotten a lot more honest. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, details why he thinks the S&P 500 is topping out, and where he sees vulnerability in the market. 

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Published 2022-08-19

Surveillance: Fed Tightening with Carpenter

25 min Transcript
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Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley Chief Global Economist, says the Fed needs to slow things a lot and stay tight for a while. Jane Foley, Rabobank FX Strategy Head, explains why she thinks Sterling can remain weak for a while. Patrick Armstrong, Plurimi Wealth CIO, says there are cheap stocks out there. Savanthi Syth, Raymond James Airlines Managing Director, says Delta is a good stock to own. 

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Published 2022-08-18

Surveillance: Market Pause with Sheets (Podcast)

23 min Transcript
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Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross Asset Strategist, says markets are in an interesting pause before the September Fed meeting. Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says credit fundamentals are still strong. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Research Head of Global Commodities and Derivatives Research, says fossil fuels face a tough future ahead. Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities Senior Equity Research Analyst, says Apple is only in the middle innings of an unprecedented upward cycle. 

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Published 2022-08-17

Surveillance: Goldilocks Scenario with Levine

30 min Transcript
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Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Wealth Management Head of Equities & Capital Market Advisory, says the biggest systemic risk is that markets have already priced in the Goldilocks scenario. Michael Collins, PGIM Fixed Income Senior Portfolio Manager, is seeing a war between growth and inflation. Nicolai Tangen, Norway Sovereign Wealth Fund CEO, says he is still upbeat on big tech. Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, doesn't think the recent easing of financial conditions means the Fed needs to be a whole lot more aggressive. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder, discusses his interview with Lucid Motors Chairman Andrew Liveris. 

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Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President and Author, “The Bill of Obligations,” says China is increasingly turning up the level of alarm among its neighbors. Anastasia Amoroso, iCapital Chief Investment Strategist, doesn't expect the market to move materially higher from here. Brian Nagel, Oppenheimer Senior Analyst, says consumer spending is holding up quite well. Greg Daco, EY-Parthenon Chief Economist, explains why he thinks core inflation will stay persistent. 

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Published 2022-08-15

Surveillance: Yield Values with Hornby

23 min Transcript
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Lisa Hornby, Schroders Head of US Multi-Sector Fixed Income, says there is actually income in fixed income for the first time in a long time. Kit Juckes, Societe General Chief FX Strategist, says there is a disconnect between the markets and the Fed's message. Bill Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says it will be hard to find hard intelligence about China outside of private sources. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, says higher oil is the new normal. 

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Ron Temple, Lazard Asset Management Co-Head of Multi-Asset & Head of US Equity, says we're in the midst of inflation paradigm shift. Stephen Roach, Yale Law School Paul Tsai China Center Senior Fellow, discusses tension between the US and China. Wendy Schiller, Brown University Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy Director, weighs the potential 2024 re-match with Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Dennis Gartman, Chairman of The University Of Akron’s Endowment Fund & Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says bear market rally won't last much longer. Paul Sankey, Sankey Research Founder & Lead Analyst, says natural gas prices in the US are likely heading higher heading into winter as exports continue to flow to Europe. 

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Published 2022-08-11

Surveillance: Inflation Elation with Tallbacken's Purves

32 min Transcript
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Kathryn Kaminski, AlphaSimplex Chief Research Strategist, says market may be at an inflection point. Michael Purves, Tallbacken Founder & CEO, examines today's optimism in the market. Jim Paulsen, The Leuthold Group Chief Investment Strategist, says stop worrying whether the Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates because the tightening cycle for financial assets has already ended.Matthew Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank Securities Chief US Economist, weighs recession risks. Andrea Bonomi, Investindustrial Founder, discusses the factors behind the private equity firm's $950 million deal for a significant portion of TreeHouse Foods’s meal-prep business. 

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Published 2022-08-10

Surveillance: White House & Wall Street Reacts to CPI Data

27 min Transcript
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Brian Deese, White House Director of the National Economic Council, says inflation report is a positive signal and says labor market strength will continue. Michael Pond, Barclays Head of Global Inflation-Linked Research, says inflation report reinforces the Barclays view that the Fed is likely to slow the pace of rate hikes to 50 basis points at the September meeting. Michael Gapen, BofA Global Research Head of US Economics, says that inflation will be sticky, particularly in services. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says inflation report is a huge sigh of relief for the Fed. 

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Published 2022-08-09

SURV_podcast_08-09-22_1

32 min Transcript
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Claudia Sahm, Jain Family Institute Senior Fellow & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, sees a disrupted economy beginning to heal. Greg Peters, PGIM Fixed Income Co-CIO, says the bond market is reflecting a new reality. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief US Policy Strategist, explains why the FBI search of Donald Trump's Florida home could be a plus for the former president. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of US Economic Research, says the economy is not out of the woods. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & "To Risk It All" Author, discusses U.S.-China relations in the wake of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taiwan. 

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Published 2022-08-08

Surveillance: JPMorgan Sees Choppy Market Ahead (Podcast)

29 min Transcript
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Joyce Chang, JPMorgan Chair of Global Research, warns of a choppy market ahead. Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says a Fed pivot will be negative for equities. Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, says labor shortages are here to stay. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, discusses winners and losers in Democrats’ signature tax and climate bill. 

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Published 2022-08-05

Surveillance: US Payrolls Post Big Beat

23 min Transcript
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Marty Walsh, U.S. Secretary of Labor, says current job growth will be sustainable. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Chief U.S. Economist, discusses the Federal Reserve's next move. Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School Professor of Economics & Former Federal Reserve Governor, says that a 75 basis-point increase will be on the table for the Fed's next meeting. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says it's a good-news-is-bad-news environment, though the economy is strong.

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Published 2022-08-04

Chief Future Officer: Sachin Mehra, Mastercard

22 min Transcript
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Chief Financial Officers now play a critical role in shaping corporate strategy and positioning organizations to meet future challenges. Bloomberg's monthly program, Chief Future Officer, profiles these leaders and explores the impact they're making on their companies and industries. This episode focuses on Mastercard CFO Sachin Mehra, who tells Lisa Abramowicz how the company is diversifying around its core card business to expand in B2B payments, develop high-growth financial services, and offer solutions in the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

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Published 2022-08-04

Surveillance: BOE Hikes, Forecasts Economic Misery

35 min Transcript
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Jordan Rochester, Nomura International G-10 FX Strategist, says he expects the Bank of England to transition to more dovish policy next year. David Blanchflower, Dartmouth College Professor of Economics & Former Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee, says the Bank of England is under huge pressure and the balance of risks is strong to the downside. James Zelter, Apollo Co-President, discusses the alternative asset manager's foray into aircraft leasing and credit strategy. Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief US Economist, weighs the Federal Reserve's next moves. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg Global Finance Correspondent, reports on Wall Street bonuses poised to plunge and potential job cuts at Credit Suisse.

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Published 2022-08-03

Surveillance: Inflation Drivers with Stiglitz (Podcast)

23 min Transcript
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Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University Professor & Nobel Laureate, says we will eventually go through a period of disinflation. Kathy Bostjancic, Oxford Economics Chief US Economist, thinks it's possible to cool the labor market and the economy without seeing a large increase in the unemployment rate. Isaac Boltansky, BTIG Director of Policy Research, says the OPEC+ decision is a slap in the face of the Biden administration. Kristen Bitterly, Citi Global Wealth Management Head of North America Investments, says there's a 50-50 chance of a true recession.  

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Published 2022-08-02

Surveillance: Fed Cycle with Mike Wilson (Podcast)

27 min Transcript
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Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist, says any talk of a Fed pivot at this point is premature. Mandy Xu, Credit Suisse Head of Equity Derivatives Strategy, suggests going long gold as real yields peak. Mark McCormick, TD Global Head of FX Strategy, expects to see a dollar peak by next year. John Ryding, Brean Capital Chief Economic Advisor, says ultimately the runway is too short for a soft landing. 

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Published 2022-08-01

Surveillance: Pelosi's Taiwan Visit with Cohen (Podcast)

26 min Transcript
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William Cohen, Chairman & CEO of the Cohen Group, Former Secretary of Defense and Former US Senator, says China would view a visit to Taiwan by Nancy Pelosi as a finger in the eye of Xi Jinping. Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief US Economist, expects the US economy to continue to weaken. Ed Morse, Citi Global Head of Commodities Research, expects oil to continue its downward draft to the mid $80s. Stuart Kaiser, UBS Head of Equity Derivatives Research, says it's hard to call for a bull market in this environment. 

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Published 2022-07-29

Surveillance: Inflation Concerns with Reinhart (Podcast)

25 min Transcript
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Vince Reinhart, Dreyfus and Mellon Chief Economist, expects inflation will halve over the next year, which will then allow the Fed to pivot. Barbara Ann Bernard, Wincrest Capital Founder, CEO & CIO, says this is a real stock picker's market. Solita Marcelli, UBS Global Wealth Management Chief Investment Officer of Americas, says this is still a great time to invest for the long-term. Isaac Boltansky, BTIG Policy Research Director, doesn't expect the Inflation Reduction Act to do much to reduce inflation. 

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Published 2022-07-28

Surveillance: Weak US GDP with Pingle (Podcast)

23 min Transcript
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Jonathan Pingle, UBS Chief US Economist, says the guts of the US GDP report look weak. Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, is more concerned about the next four quarters going further than today's GDP report. Walter Piecyk, LightShed Partners Technology, Media & Telecom Analyst and Partner, says he sees evidence of a weakening consumer. Jeanine Wai, Barclays Senior Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Analyst, discusses how investors are keeping Chevron in line. 

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Published 2022-07-27

Surveillance: Slowing Economy with Hyman (Podcast)

27 min Transcript
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Ed Hyman, Evercore ISI Chairman & Founder & Head of Economic Research, says the economy is doing fine now, but it will slow with inflation. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Wealth Management Head of Equities & Capital Market Advisory, is seeing rolling bubbles in the economy as it continues to heal. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief US Economist, says another 75 basis point hike from the Fed wouldn't be surprising. Regina Mayor, KPMG Global Head of Energy, expects triple digit oil prices through the end of the calendar year and into 2023. 

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Published 2022-07-26

Surveillance: Inflation Downturn with Emanuel (Podcast)

22 min Transcript
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Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, sees signs of inflation turning down. Saira Malik, Nuveen Chief Investment Officer, says we are likely already in a recession. Representative French Hill, Republican from Arkansas, says the Fed has to focus on price stability. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman and Host of "Bloomberg Wealth," discusses his interview with Trian Group Founding Partner Nelson Peltz. 

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Published 2022-07-25

Surveillance: Severe Recession with Roubini (Podcast)

27 min Transcript
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Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Macro Associates CEO & TheBoomBust.com Co-CEO, says the idea of a short, shallow recession is a delusion. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist and Head of Global Economic Research, thinks the Fed will begin pulling back on tightening sooner than next year. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says financials will perform well, even through a mild, technical recession. Steven Englander, Standard Chartered Bank Global Head of G10 FX Research, expects 2023 to be a weak dollar year. 

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Published 2022-07-22

Surveillance: Fed & Recession with Lacker (Podcast)

28 min Transcript
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Jeff Lacker, Former Richmond Fed President, says the Fed should be willing to tolerate a recession to get inflation down. Rich Greenfield, LightShed Partners Partner and Media and Technology Analyst, believes that Elon Musk will be forced to buy Twitter. Lauren Sauer, University of Nebraska Medical Center Associate Professor and Special Pathogens Research Network Director, says we must bring trust back into vaccines. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, expects only a mild and brief recession. 

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Published 2022-07-21

Surveillance: ECB Surprise (Podcast)

16 min Transcript
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Vassili Serebriakov, UBS FX & Macro Strategist, says the key question for the ECB going forward is going to be the growth-inflation mix. Gilles Moec, AXA Investment Managers Chief Economist Officer, says wage growth data is going to be key for the ECB going forward. Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Chief Market Strategist, thinks the odds of both a European and US recession are increasing. 

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Published 2022-07-20

Surveillance: Standing Markets with Slimmon (Podcast)

23 min Transcript
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 Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says markets are in a standing mode right now. Blerina Uruci, T. Rowe Price US Economist, says the recession doom and gloom is exaggerated. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research President, says inflation is going to stay a problem. Elsa Lignos, RBC Global Head of FX Strategy, says the bulk of the euro-dollar move is behind us. 

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Published 2022-07-20

Chief Future Officer: GM CFO Paul Jacobson

22 min Transcript
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Chief Financial Officers now play a critical role in shaping corporate strategy and positioning organizations to meet future challenges. Bloomberg's monthly program, Chief Future Officer, profiles these leaders and explores the impact they're making on their companies and industries. This episode focuses on General Motors CFO Paul Jacobson, who discusses the company's transformation with David Westin. GM has committed to invest $35B into producing electric and autonomous vehicles, and intends to phase out the manufacture of gas-powered cars and trucks by 2035.

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Published 2022-07-19

Surveillance: Energy Policy with Malpass (Podcast)

21 min Transcript
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David Malpass, World Bank President, says the West needs to prioritize less carbon-intensive energy sources. Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross Asset Strategist, says the key message in this market is patience. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Director of Research, says the oil market is defined by under-investment. Russ Koesterich, BlackRock Global Allocation Fund Portfolio Manager, says valuations are at a much more reasonable place than they were a year ago. 

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Published 2022-07-18

Surveillance: Strong Dollar & Crypto with Rogoff

26 min Transcript
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Ken Rogoff, Harvard Professor of Economics & Public Policy & Former IMF Chief Economist, discusses the impact of a stronger US dollar on the global economy and says central banks are "way behind the curve" on cryptocurrency regulation. Mondli Gungubele, South African Minister in the Presidency, discusses how the country is dealing with an economy that is weaker than before the pandemic. Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief US Economist, says higher rents will put more pressure on inflation. Marko Papic, Clocktower Group Chief Strategist, would expect a fraying of the US-European alliance after end of the war in Ukraine. 

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Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-Chief Investment Officer, sees signs of stress on Main Street. Claudia Sahm, Sahm Consulting Founder & Former Federal Reserve Economist, explains why a "job-full" recession may be ahead. Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, discusses the state of American banking as Wells Fargo reports second-quarter earnings. Vince Reinhart, Dreyfus & Mellon Chief Economist, says the US Treasury market is less liquid than it was in 1998, calling it part of the consequence of QE. 

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Published 2022-07-14

Surveillance: Fast as Lehman with McDonald (Podcast)

22 min Transcript
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Larry McDonald, The Bear Traps Report Founder, says credit risk is about to veto the Fed's policy path. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of US Rates Strategy, says the market is pricing in a recession. Conrad Dequadros, Brean Capital Senior Economic Advisor, says the Fed still has some work to do to get policy tight and inflation down. Andy Blocker, Invesco Head of US Government Affairs, says inflation could have a real impact on the midterm elections. 

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Published 2022-07-13

Surveillance: Red Hot Inflation (Podcast)

20 min Transcript
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Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says the Fed is solely focused on inflation and will keep hiking as far as needed. Michael O'Rourke, JonesTrading Chief Market Strategist, expects a rough second half of the year. David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors Chairman & Chief Investment Officer, says this is not a normal inflation shock. Liana Fix, Korber Foundation Program Director, says there is a lot of fear and uncertainty among the German population over rising energy prices. 

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Published 2022-07-12

Surveillance: Euro Weakness with Rochester (Podcast)

21 min Transcript
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Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 Currency Strategist, says the euro may tumble to 90 cents in the coming months. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says the move to duration has come. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities Equity Strategist, expects volatility to persist until the Fed eases. Ellen Wald, The Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, says Russia is holding the cards for oil. 

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Published 2022-07-11

Surveillance: Market Conditions with Cooperman

33 min Transcript
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Leon Cooperman, Omega Family Office Chairman & CEO, doesn't expect a bull market anytime soon. George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank Global Head of FX Research, says we've had a very big regime shift in currency markets this year. Sonal Desai, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO, says there may still be further hawkish surprises in store. Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management CEO, says we are heading for a financial accident in the next few months.

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Published 2022-07-08

Surveillance: Walsh Says US Still Moving Forward on Jobs

31 min Transcript
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 Marty Walsh, US Secretary of Labor, says jobs report shows US still moving forward on jobs. Former Fed Governor Randy Kroszner and BlackRock Portfolio Manager Jeff Rosenberg react to the June US jobs report. Tobias Harris, Center for American Progress Senior Fellow for Asia, discusses the assassination of Former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, Japan’s longest-serving premier. Helane Becker, Cowen Senior Research Analyst, discusses outlook for airline industry. 

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Published 2022-07-07

Surveillance: Boris Johnson Resigns

41 min Transcript
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Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President & Former BOE Policy Committee Member, says Boris Johnson has caused untold damage. Brian Deese, White House National Economic Council Director, says the White House has tools other that tariffs they can use to counter China. Alifia Doriwala, RockCreek Group Managing Director, says the slowing global economy, monetary tightening and the impact from the war in Ukraine will hit portfolios for years to come. Heather Boushey, Council of Economic Advisers Member, says President Biden is making clear that price fairness is his main goal. Stephanie Aaronson, Brookings Institution Head of Economic Studies, says the Fed needs to slow the economy.

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Published 2022-07-06

Surveillance: Oil Demand with Morse

21 min Transcript
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Ed Morse, Citigroup Global Markets Global Head of Commodities Research, expects oil to go down to $85 a barrel. Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, expects a 75 basis point Fed hike in July. Dean Maki, Point 72 Chief Economist, says we are not currently in a recession. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, says Senate Democrats have a very shaky majority.

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Published 2022-07-05

Surveillance: Renewed Recession Fears Rattle Wall Street

28 min Transcript
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Ben Laidler, eToro Global Markets Strategist, says a "recession freight train" is picking up speed. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Analyst, says a mild global recession is already priced into energy markets. Still, she says prices are unlikely to slip below $80-$90 a barrel. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G10 FX Strategist, says the euro's slide against the US dollar will continue due to rising natural gas prices and the risk of a global recession. John Ryding, Brean Capital Chief Economic Advisor, says recession is inevitable, but not imminent.

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Published 2022-07-01

Surveillance: Travel Woes with Syth (Podcast)

18 min Transcript
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Savanthi Syth, Raymond James Airlines Managing Director, says there is still too much demand for airlines' supply. Jordan Rochester, Nomura International G-10 FX Strategist, expects emerging markets to underperform. Michael O'Rourke, JonesTrading Chief Market Strategist, expects to see decelerating inflation growth the rest of this year. Terry Haines, Pangaea Policy Founder, says congress has become more performative than legislative. 

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Published 2022-06-30

Surveillance: Market Slowdown with Stanley (Podcast)

21 min Transcript
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Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, says markets are starting to smell a slowdown. Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Global Head of Macro Strategy, says it's inevitable that the Fed and other central banks will feel political pressure. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says we could see euro-dollar parity. Seema Shah, Principal Global Investors Chief Strategist, says we could see a technical rally over the next couple of months, but it won't be sustained. 

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Published 2022-06-29

Surveillance: Policy Mistakes with Chiavarone (Podcast)

21 min Transcript
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Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, says the Fed has a lot of work to do to get inflation down. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says corporate bond issuance is waiting for yields to fall. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, says it will be hard for the Fed to switch back to cutting mode after they're done hiking. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief US Policy Strategist, says it's possible Hillary Clinton may run for president again. 

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Published 2022-06-28

Surveillance: Financial Conditions with Peters (Podcast)

23 min Transcript
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Greg Peters, says financial conditions have to worsen. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Wealth Management Head of Equities & Capital Market Advisory, says there is a 50% chance of a recession. James Stavridis, Carlyle Group Vice Chairman of Global Affairs, Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO and Author of 'To Risk It All: Nine Conflicts & The Crucible of Decision,' says says we will see Finland and Sweden in NATO. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman and Host of 'Bloomberg Wealth,' discusses his interview with Rockefeller University CIO Paula Volent. 

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